Friday, October 30, 2020

The State of the UK/EU Talks - Brexit Update 1 - Transitional Phase

Guardian: Reports " Brexit talks making good progress, says Ursula Von der Leyen....European commission president says key issues are level playing field and fisheries  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the talks are progressing, but the main sticking points seem to be fishing and state support for industries.  On fishing we have to blame the French, they want the same concessions they have NOW, that is a non starter, the point of Brexit was that the UK gained control of our fish in our waters, it does not matter were the started, its were the end up.  As to State support, in less I am missing something all the EU countries have backed their hospitality sectors or they would have gone bankrupt, due to COVID - 19 the rules have to be relaxed, after  COVID - 19 is done with, the rules wanted by the EU can be put in place, of course its a matter of interest in the UK, when a Labour Government comes along, there needs to be a legal wall to stop them taking over large areas of Industry.  Interesting week ahead for the talks.


Is the Labour Party in a state of CIVIL WAR ? - Labour Party under Sir Keir Starmer


Lets Get Real:

Since Sir Keir has started the CIVIL WAR with the LEFT, he should follow through, advance is the best strategy, never wait for the other side to take action, he should make sure that ALL HIS MPs sign up for his definition of anti - semitism and his polices in general, if they do not then they should find themselves in the same club as Corbyn.  Those with a brain will know that they are only MPs because they have the Labour Stamp by their name, without that most of them would not get elected dog catcher.  The removal of the Whip is a major punishment, it should be used rarely but when used, follow through, being seen as tough is better than been WEAK.

The suspension of Corbyn by Starmer could lead to Starmer as next PM - Labour Party and anti-Semitism


Lets Get Real:

The removal of the Parliamentary Whip from former Labour Leader, Jeremy Corbyn might just have unlocked the door to 10 Downing in 2024 for Sir Keir Starmer.  The new leader might not have planned to remove Corbyn, but the fact that the remarks by Corbyn left the leader with no other option, Corbyn as the Deputy leader of the Labour Party has stated has a blind spot when it comes to anti - semitism, ( the Deputy leader herself was in trouble for calling a Conservative MP scum in the House of Commons ).  For those voters in the middle who could never vote for Corbyn, the fact that Sir Keir stood up and took action will show he is ruthless, although Sir Keir was in the Shadow Cabinet lead by Corbyn for years.  The removal of the whip could start a civil war in the Labour Party, Starmer has to stand tough, If the new leader does this then he might just be the next UK PM.

Thursday, October 29, 2020

The first 100 Days of the Biden Administration - Biden Era - US Presidential Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

In less ALL the polls are wrong, then Biden election will sweep more Democrats in to the House and the Democrats will take over the Senate.   As a new President Biden through executive orders can reverse many of the Trump polices, election victories have consequences, as the above shows a new Biden Administration will appease Iran, thus we come to the question what will Israel do in that event, with they and their new Gulf Allies decide that they can not trust a Biden Administration and strike Tehran's nuclear structures between November and January, one can see a peeved Trump going along, just to drive the liberals and CNN bonkers and hand over to the 46th President a major war in the Middle East.   Also a Biden administration will have to worry about North Korea, they have been VERY QUIET of late, what are they thinking, they  have an appeaser in the White House at the moment, will they want to send a clear message to Biden, they could have a nuclear test or send another missile on its way to the US.  Geo politics goes on, no matter if there is a domestic election. 

UK/EU Talks - Brexit Update 2 - Transitional Phase


Lets Get Real:

There are a couple of tough points that the talks have to get over, the first is the French demand that they have the same fishing concessions that they have NOW, that is non starter, what would be the point of BREXIT if the Paris had the same concessions that they had before, the idea would die a thousands cuts in the House of Commons.  Thus the French will need to be bought off by the Germans, grants for their fishermen etc.   The next problem is the right of the UK to support industries in trouble, given COVID - 19 that should be a minor problem for the EU.  Then last problem, who decides if either side break the agreement.  It can not be the ECJ, that is a non starter in the UK House of Commons.   It will be hard or easy to get a deal, it will depend on the French and the Germans wanting to protect their economy from a no deal Brexit after COVID - 19.

Progress in UK/EU talks over Free Trade Agreement - Brexit Update 1 - Transitional Phase


Lets Get Real:

If the UK/EU delegations are drafting agreements that is good, actual progress, the question is will FRANCE move on its demands for the same fish concessions it has NOW.   The French economy has gone in to LOCKDOWN, will the French President want to cause problems for the French economy by going for a NO DEAL BREXIT over fish.  It has been reported that the UK PM is waiting for the US election before making his mind up on the kind of Brexit he wants and can sell to the House of Commons. COVID - 19 is causing havoc around Europe, the Germans will not want a NO DEAL BREXIT, it would harm their economy, crucial few days ahead.

Wednesday, October 28, 2020

On the Docket for the New Justice - US Presidential Election/ Law

Daily Mail: Reports " Amy Coney Barrett joins the Supreme Court and faces immediate baptism of fire - including voting rights, Obamacare, Catholic bans on gay couples adopting and possibly the election result itself "

Lets Get Real:

The first few cases faced by Justice Amy Coney Barrett will define how she is judged by the LEFT AND RIGHT.  The Uber liberal news media will look at her view on ObamaCare, it was the major achievement of the Obama Administration in the domestic field, if you follow her logic from the past, then she should strike it down, would a new Justice really do that before Christmas or require the US Congress to come up with a solution by January 1st as an example.  The Judge will face the opposition by the catholic church to the adoption of kids by gay couple, one does hope she is liberal on that, it would be cruel to stop loving parents adopting kids.  As to the election itself, one hopes the result is CLEAR on the night, otherwise we face more Court trials from State to the Supreme Court.