Thursday, October 29, 2020

The first 100 Days of the Biden Administration - Biden Era - US Presidential Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

In less ALL the polls are wrong, then Biden election will sweep more Democrats in to the House and the Democrats will take over the Senate.   As a new President Biden through executive orders can reverse many of the Trump polices, election victories have consequences, as the above shows a new Biden Administration will appease Iran, thus we come to the question what will Israel do in that event, with they and their new Gulf Allies decide that they can not trust a Biden Administration and strike Tehran's nuclear structures between November and January, one can see a peeved Trump going along, just to drive the liberals and CNN bonkers and hand over to the 46th President a major war in the Middle East.   Also a Biden administration will have to worry about North Korea, they have been VERY QUIET of late, what are they thinking, they  have an appeaser in the White House at the moment, will they want to send a clear message to Biden, they could have a nuclear test or send another missile on its way to the US.  Geo politics goes on, no matter if there is a domestic election. 

UK/EU Talks - Brexit Update 2 - Transitional Phase


Lets Get Real:

There are a couple of tough points that the talks have to get over, the first is the French demand that they have the same fishing concessions that they have NOW, that is non starter, what would be the point of BREXIT if the Paris had the same concessions that they had before, the idea would die a thousands cuts in the House of Commons.  Thus the French will need to be bought off by the Germans, grants for their fishermen etc.   The next problem is the right of the UK to support industries in trouble, given COVID - 19 that should be a minor problem for the EU.  Then last problem, who decides if either side break the agreement.  It can not be the ECJ, that is a non starter in the UK House of Commons.   It will be hard or easy to get a deal, it will depend on the French and the Germans wanting to protect their economy from a no deal Brexit after COVID - 19.

Progress in UK/EU talks over Free Trade Agreement - Brexit Update 1 - Transitional Phase


Lets Get Real:

If the UK/EU delegations are drafting agreements that is good, actual progress, the question is will FRANCE move on its demands for the same fish concessions it has NOW.   The French economy has gone in to LOCKDOWN, will the French President want to cause problems for the French economy by going for a NO DEAL BREXIT over fish.  It has been reported that the UK PM is waiting for the US election before making his mind up on the kind of Brexit he wants and can sell to the House of Commons. COVID - 19 is causing havoc around Europe, the Germans will not want a NO DEAL BREXIT, it would harm their economy, crucial few days ahead.

Wednesday, October 28, 2020

On the Docket for the New Justice - US Presidential Election/ Law

Daily Mail: Reports " Amy Coney Barrett joins the Supreme Court and faces immediate baptism of fire - including voting rights, Obamacare, Catholic bans on gay couples adopting and possibly the election result itself "

Lets Get Real:

The first few cases faced by Justice Amy Coney Barrett will define how she is judged by the LEFT AND RIGHT.  The Uber liberal news media will look at her view on ObamaCare, it was the major achievement of the Obama Administration in the domestic field, if you follow her logic from the past, then she should strike it down, would a new Justice really do that before Christmas or require the US Congress to come up with a solution by January 1st as an example.  The Judge will face the opposition by the catholic church to the adoption of kids by gay couple, one does hope she is liberal on that, it would be cruel to stop loving parents adopting kids.  As to the election itself, one hopes the result is CLEAR on the night, otherwise we face more Court trials from State to the Supreme Court. 



Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Biden leads in NATIONAL US Polls - US Presidential Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

If Florida or Ohio go for Biden then we know its OVER on election night, of course if the rust belt States go together, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania go for Biden the its a massive victory for Biden.  The interesting races will be the Senate races, do the voters really want to give the Democrats a CLEAN SWEEP, that would mean that it would be DOWN to the US Supreme Court to stop any massive liberal polices.  One can assume if its  a massive victory for Biden then even Trump will have to go quietly and hand over the power on January 20th 2021.   The question is what he will do between November and January, there  is only one President at a time, and a angry Trump might start a war with Iran and hand it over to Biden.  On the foreign policy side one should expect former Obama officials, also will Biden really be that tough with Russia and North Korea, also of course he will appease Iran, back to the Obama deal with them.  If the US Supreme Courts does revoke OBAMACARE, then Biden will need to build up his support for another attempt.  On the whole one expects a more quiet time from a Biden White House. 

Amy Coney Barrett - 2nd Part - 2020 Presidential Election


Lets Get Real:

The general election next Tuesday could be thrown in to the Courts if the election is VERY CLOSE, the polls would have to be completely WRONG.  Of course the best thing that can happen is that Biden wins BIG, the Oval, the house and the Senate, and then the Republicans on the Hill might have to place pressure on Trump to leave on his own speed.  After losing big Trump might think he needs to leave the Office with some grace, so no rushing to the Courts if the election is CLOSE.  It is interesting one the first cases that Judge Amy Coney Barrett will have before her will be ObamaCare, it would be ironic, if the strikes it down, then Biden will have to rebuild the support for ObamaCare again in the US Congress, getting the US Congress to pass a mandate, in other words US voters being forced to buy cover might be a hard SELL.  Interesting days ahead at the Court.

Trump's forever Victory - US Supreme Court - 2020 Presidential Election


Lets Get Real:

Whatever happens next week, Trump has shaped the future of the US Supreme Court, had had three nominees and thus pushes the Court to the right.  The Democrats are furious, they could decide to PACK the Court with liberals, but the argument against that is the Republican could do the same when they are power.  Also VP is on the record in opposing such plan, he has thrown the idea in to the LONG GRASS, he will set up a commission to look at the US Court system.   The LEFT will push for Biden to pack the Court, it could be a early battle for Biden in his first term ( and only term, does any really think he will run for 2nd term, he is already losing it, he called Trump, George twice in a recent speech ).   The Biden foreign policy will be a return to the Obama Era, thus Obama re-treads in post such as NSA and Secretary of State.  It will be nice to have a quiet Presidency, Trump will be giving him hell ever day through his tweets, and watch in till Trump starts his own TV network, it will be Trump 24/7.