Wednesday, July 31, 2019

The Boris BOUNCE, Conservatives LEAD Labour by 10% - General Election 2019?


Lets Get Real:

After tomorrow the Conservative majority will be down to 1 Seat and this is will the support of the DUP.   The maths in the House of Commons does not look good, it might be time for Boris to call a General Election or force the Labour Party to bring a NO CONFIDENCE VOTES, by pushing ahead with a NO DEAL BREXIT.  The UK voter has to make up its mind, in 2016 it voted for BREXIT, but then in 2017 gave power to a minority Conservative Government.  The House of Commons is full of Remainers with a bias Speaker.  Let's be honest here, with the best will world, no one can say that former PM May was a good campaigner, on the other hand Boris breaths for campaigning.  No 10 should get ready for an early election. 

Off Colour joke by then Governor Reagan to President Nixon, 1971 - 1970s Era


Lets Get Real:

This blog is a firm supporter President Reagan, as one of the greatest Presidents in US history, he was no perfect, he made mistakes, he was human.  Let's recall that the first President of the US, George Washington had slaves, that Woodrow Wilson had big ideas for the World but was a racist when it came to African - Americans working for the Federal Government.  Then we have JFK's numerous affairs and his intern.  The above recording was made when the UN recognition China over Taiwan and gave them their Seat at the UN.  Then Governor Reagan was angry, sometimes when we are angry we make mistakes, this is an example from the above.   Also he did not know that Nixon was recording his calls and office meetings.  One can assume the LEFT will run with story, they are so PC, will they be that when the Martin Luther King Jr tapes are released, we shall see. 

The First Democratic Debate - Review - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

This blog watched the two hour debate; ( CNN had  a good format, and stopped the candidates just speaking their talking points ); the main winners when it comes to Democratic politics was Senators Warren and Sanders, they fought their positions and did not buckle when under attack from the moderates.   As the base of the Democratic Party is very far left, the two main candidates did not suffer in the room or from larger exposure on TV.  Of course US voters are not the Democratic base, Trump would have no problem is taking down either Warren or Sanders, he would use their support for getting rid of private medical cover, a policy that would hit Union members, who have fought for good medical cover.   Also giving medical cover to illegal migrants will not sell on the open market, in fact the Trump Campaign had a political advert out before the debates.  It is hard hitting and makes the claim that the Democratic candidates are socialists, something neither Warren or Sanders could really refute in a Presidential Debate with Trump.   It is said it is good to sleep on a debate to see what you think the following morning, well the one quote this blog does recall is one by Senator Sanders, when he was coming under attack for his bill on health, the Senator snapped back that he " wrote the dam bill ", thus knew the details.  It will be interesting to see what the frontrunner VP Biden says about last night's debate, he will come across as a moderate.  The VP faces both Senators Harris and Booker tonight, to his left and right, will they go after him, on race yes, how will Biden react, he just has to look like he is alive, after the last debate, that he can counter punch.   The real winners after the two debates can be seen after tonight's debate, there are 20 candidates after all. 

Tuesday, July 30, 2019

Trump ATTACKS Democrats on Health Care - Election 2020



Lets Get Real:

The Trump Campaign Committee is placing race at the forefront of its campaign.  It is painting the Democrats as FAR TO LEFT WING.  The 2020 race could come to RACE, and how safe the health care for Americans is with a Democrat in the Oval.  POTUS will try to define the Democratic Nominee as a socialist, tax hiking candidate.  The 2020 will get dirty very fast. 

Alastair Campbell OUT of Labour - General Election 2019?


Lets Get Real:

This blog never thought it would see the day that Alastair Campbell would leave the LABOUR PARTY in the hands of Jeremy Corbyn.   This blog as has many others have predicted that there will be a General Election either in September or October, the Labour Party with the support of the HARD REMAINERS will either STOP BREXIT or bring a No Confidence vote against Boris Johnson.  The UK voters will have a final say on Brexit, also the Conservative Party can get rid of those Conservative MPs who bring down the government, the Conservative whip can be withdrawn from them.  In that context the hard remainers can stand as Independent candidates, let's see how many votes they get!

Tuesday's Democratic Presidential Debate - Election 2020

Lets Get Real:

Tuesday is the first round, the main contest will be between Warren and Sanders, will they fight each other for the same voters or will they unite against the other more moderate candidates.  The big match so to speak is Wednesday, that will see VP Biden vs. Harris and Booker.   The VP has fought back since his disaster in the last debate, is still leads national polls and State polls in Iowa and New Hampshire.  The VP can expect Senator Booker to go after his support of the 1994 Crime Bill, while Harris might want to attack Biden for his civil relationship with racist Senators, but since she has done that before, she might want to go on to other subjects.   In the bigger picture POTUS is not helping himself, his racist tweets is taking away a look at his successful economic record, high employment within ethnic groups, the stock market is high, and the economy looks good.  Any other President would be a shoe it for a 2nd term, but Trump is making it harder for himself, Reagan in his first term had a major recession, but he turned it around and won 49 States against Walter Mondale, it should be noted that Reagan did not appease Russia, as his speech on the " Evil Empire ", he was tough on foreign policy.   Trump should learn from Reagan, he really was the Teflon President. 

Monday, July 29, 2019

Boris REFUSES to meet EU Leaders while the Backstop remains - Election 2019?


Lets Get Real:

As stated Boris is going ALL IN, as they say in Texas poker, he knows he one job is to get the UK out of the EU by the 31st of October, otherwise he is toast.  The Hard Remainers will use any underhanded method to prevent a NO DEAL BREXIT, in this they are helped by a bias Speaker, who overturns Centuries of convention if it helps the Remainers.   At the end of the day the decision might come down to the Queen, she is the Sovereign, she as is custom will follow the advice of her PM, this could get quite tricky for the Palace, one only hopes the Hard Remainers and Hard Brexit supporters do not go to far, after all the Queen should not be political, but in the case of Brexit it might be her final decision that ends debate.  No one, not even the Speaker would go against the Queen. 

Conservatives LEAD Labour in WALES - Brexit Bounce for Boris


Lets Get Real:

This is nice bounce for Boris, but a by - election is expected to go against the Conservatives, just cutting their majority, the Liberal Democrats are expected to win.  The No 10 political operation should get ready for a general election, the House of Commons is expected to BLOCK a No Deal Brexit, thus Boris will have to go to the Country in September or October.  The Hard Remainers do not care about democracy or the unwritten UK Constitution, thus they should be de-selected by their local associations, the HARD Brexit supporters  have to take a nuclear weapon to a gunfight, they have to win, they represent the last chance for UK Democracy. 

The Pound FALLS - Brexit Update 1 - Will the UK get Brexit?


Lets Get Real:

One can expect the REMAIN papers and channels, that includes BBC News and Sky News to focus on the BAD NEWS of Brexit.   The Pound goes up and down, the point of the story is to undermine support for Brexit, make the people peeved at the government for making their pound do less when they are abroad.  Those that support LEAVE has to counter these arguments with the FACT that no one knows what will happen on the 1st of November if the UK leaves without deal.  Airplanes will fly, boats will go in to ports, a banana will get to the shops, we got through WW1, the Spanish Flu, WW2 and the end of Empire.  This is the change for the UK to reclaim her Greatness. 

Trump uses racist language to attack a Democratic Congressman - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

In low political terms, one understands what POTUS is doing, he is trying to give the impression that if the Voters vote for a Democrats they will get a disaster, he is using the Squad and this attack as an attempt to define the Democrats and their nominee while the nomination process is going on.   POTUS seems to have missed the Great Society of LBJ and his civil rights reform, he is going for broke.  One must assume that he thinks if he can frighten enough white Americans in the rust belt they will vote Trump, who has it can be argued has given them a good economy.   The sublet message, well hardly subtle is that African Americans run Districts and States are BAD.   This was the same message used by Nazi Germany in the 1930s, Trump is not appealing to the better angels inside us,he is looking for the worse, and thus his attacks on the squad and Rep Cummings, he is forcing Democrats to defend them.   Thus Trump hopes to win 2020 by getting white votes to vote as if they are a minority, think when African - Americans as a whole voted for President Barack Obama.   This blog gave POTUS the benefit of the doubt at the start, this blog will have to get ready to support either Biden for Harris for President in 2020. 

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Rudd a Remainer stays in the Cabinet - Update 4 - Boris Era


Lets Get Real:

Amber Rudd was seen as  a firm Remainers, the type that would go down with the ship, also she said that Boris could not be trusted in car if you were female, strong words you might think.   Well politics is about politics, keeping your job and getting up that greasy poll of politics.  Those in the Boris Cabinet; ( it will be hard to think of Boris as PM, he just makes this blog smile ); have had to make a blood oath to support a NO DEAL BREXIT on the 31st of October.  As stated the HARD REMAINERS could bring the Boris show to end FASTER than expected, thus hold on your hats, its is going to be rough ride for the UK and the Conservative Party.  Will Boris go down in history as another Churchill or Gordon Brown ?  Time awaits the answer. 

Conservative Remainers could bring down their own Government - Update 3 - Boris Era


Lets Get Real:

The new Chief Whip has a big job on his hands, he has to remained these Remainers MPs, that if they bring the Government down, then they will not be Conservative MPs at the forthcoming election, there will be no honours after it is all over, no OBE, CBE or  a Knighthood, or a peerage, NOTHER EVER.   In fact it has to be assumed that as Chief Whip he will have access to the private files on MPs, from their expenses to their personal lives, all that would be fair game.  If the Remainers want to play dirty, the new Johnson Administration has to go LOWER.   This is about winning and following the Democratic choice of the UK voter in 2016.  This war could get nasty and fast. 

UK Reshuffle - Update 2 - Boris Era


Lets Get Real:

It can be argued that Boris is going for broke, he has set himself a 99 day window to get out of the EU, with a deal or with NO DEAL.  If you are going ALL IN as they say in Texas poker you might as well throw in ALL YOUR CHIPS.   The question is can it be done, the EU will want to see if the Johnson Administration is stable before giving any concessions, also the HARD REMAINERS and those that Boris has just sacked will want to flex their elbows on the backbenches.  The different this time, is that the WHOLE Cabinet will be united on one simple message, there will be a return to Cabinet Collective responsibility at ALL LEVELS.  The PM has to be ready for a snap election, his Majority will go down to about 1 after a by election that is coming up, all seem to agree the PM will lose a seat to the Liberal Democrats.   Time might not be on the side of BORIS. 

Boris's Afternoon of the Long Knives - The Boris Era

BBC News: Reports the high level leavers and those that have been sacked from the new Boris Johnson Administration. 

Lets Get Real:

In his few hours as PM, Boris has shown that he is a good butcher, that is one of good aspects required by a good PM in the opinion of Sir Humphrey ( Yes Minister, Yes Prime Minister ), all the important Cabinet jobs have changed, Philip Hammond resigned before getting the sacked, the new Chancellor is Sajid Javid, while at the FCO, Jeremy Hunt refused the offer of being Defence Secretary, thus moves back to the backbenches, in his place we have Dominic Raab as  foreign secretary.   At the Home Office, Priti Patel will become home secretary.   These at just the top jobs, half the Cabinet that was in the May Cabinet has gone, it seems like Trump, our new PM is very thin skinned when it comes to critical comments.   Even hard Brexit Ministers who were Brexit before Boris have gotten the chop,  because they were either to critical during the leadership contest or supported the wrong candidate.   The timescale for the Administration could be  very short, Boris has given himself 99 days to get BREXIT, he has to get a deal with EU or try for  a No Deal Brexit in the face of opposition from the House of Commons.   Boris could be the shortest serving PM ever, just 99 days if he fails.   One can see a General Election in September.  The Hard Remainers will use any underhand method to prevent Brexit, this is why this blog is wary of the process. 

Tuesday, July 23, 2019

Will Boris Johnson become PM on Tuesday ? - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

The Labour Party could call a No Confidence votes in the Boris Johnson Administration, those HARD REMAINERS could abstein or vote with Labour, this could force a General Election, even the HARD REMAINERS could not justify placing Corbyn in 10 Downing Street, the Country would never forgive them for such a vandlation to the UK Constitution, also the idea of Remain National Government without Corbyn is non starter, the National Government of the 1930s saw the Labour Party split, this won't happen again.   Thus the UK could face a general election quite soon, it depends how PM Johnson plays his cards.   If he gives the impression that he is looking for DEAL, then EU just might give him something that he can sell to the House of Commons.   Politics just become FUN again. 

Monday, July 22, 2019

Trump and the Squad - Election 2020 - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval likes to use the bully pulpit when it comes to the Squad, he is most racist President since Woodrow Wilson and Richard Nixon, at least these two Presidents had success when it came to foreign policy, ending of WW1 for Wilson and the opening of China for Nixon.   What has President Trump gain on the world stage, bending over backwards to kiss the backside of Russia and North Korea and taking the US out of the Obama deal with Iran.   Let's call a spade a spade, Trump is the modern Neville Chamberlain when it comes to Russia and North Korea, the next POTUS will have to build up the Western alliance and make sure the Russia and North Korea know the score, that the United States will no be a pushover any more.  Of course the Democrats have to WIN the 2020 race, the fight so far is between Biden, Harris, Sanders and Warren.   There are two debats next week, the first one will have Warren vs. Sanders, one of these two candidates has to knock the other out, then they will get their voters, at present the split the vote and that helps Biden.  The following debate the next day will have Biden at the centre of the debate stage, and will have Booker to his right and Harris to his left.  The Biden Camp will expect in coming from these two candidates, the former VP has to show that he is up the job, otherwise he will find it hard to get to Iowa in 2020.   As a former Democratic Speaker of the House used to say, all politics is local. 

US increases Troops to Saudi Arabia - Iranian Crisis Update - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

The theocracy ruled IRAN, better watch its step, the Trump Oval could do with a good war, as the US will not use combat troops in Iran, it has learned the lesson Iraq, it could simply take Iran out by air power alone.  If should attack Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the US has forces in the region and ships to counter any real threat from Iran.   Let's recall the US has the mother of ALL BOMBS, non nuclear but can destroy mountains as happened in Afghanistan.  The Tehran Regime, both the secular and religious is under pressure due to the economic sanctions on Iran by the US, it is a question of time, can the Tehran Regime out last the Trump Administration, of course that depends on Trump is losing in 2020, what happens if he wins.   Thus expect more fireworks in the Gulf, Iran could be close to the Trump red line, and not know it, time might be on the side of the Trump Oval. 

What is LOVE and WHEN can it HAPPEN? - Culture

It is  a question that has been asked for centuries, what is LOVE, is it mental connection, lust, context, or is it destined.   This blog will discuss the case of Edward and Marie ( names changed to protect identity ).   Edward used to have red hair when he was young, and was fat and had BAD TEETH.  Edward in Junior School was in the slow class, he was not good at any subject, with the exception of History.  YOU ask when does Marie come come in to the article, that requires context, Edward and Marie were born a day apart at the same small hospital, and their mothers stuck a friendship, the Hospital did not have  a lot of cots, thus Edward and Marie shared the same cot.   Over the years, Edward's mother would remind him that he shared a cot with Marie, if fact it quite annoyed him.  Marie lived outside the town, so they did not meet in their early years.

As it was a custom in the 1980s, those going from Junior School would be taken to the Secondary School to see it, well the day arrived, Edward to this day recalls the day, he was only 11, there was Terry Wogan on the radio, this was before Breakfast TV, well before anything really, no wifi, no mobile phones, no blogs, and of course people had black and white TV with three chanel's.   The day started with Edward's mother calling him down for breakfast, it was normally tea and toast or porridge, must it admit it was rather nice porridge, warm, filled you up and nice tea ( that has not changed, tea is still the best ).   This was a day Edward had dreaded, he was going to visit his new Secondary School, Edward in fact had wanted to stay in his junior school, at least he knew everyone, well those in his class.   Before going off to School, his mother reminded him that he should be on the lookout for Marie, Edward thought she would mention that FACT.  The walk, and people walked, from the junior school, down the deep lane, cross the zebra crossing, down the bridge, and through the local Park to the School ( let's call it Chairhouse School ), Edward and his friends, reached the gate, the school was up a semi long hill, so we marched in order and then we were there, our home from  the next six years.   At first we were taken around the classes, only our group, the group that included Edward, he could recall the smell, everything was fresh, or felt like it, everyone was in school uniform ( Edward would learn to love that uniform, it gave order to his life, Edward was only 11 but he knew order when it saw it, and liked it, he understood, the best days of your life was school, formatted, classes, breaks, lunch and then home, no worries about taxes and getting a job.

At the end of the walking session around the classes, we were taken to see the gym, that was not something Edward wanted to see, as stated, he was fat and he found sports a bore, his father was the great sportsman, singer, popular, Edward might look him, strong DNA there, but he was the complete opposite, and did not try to compete, you are still wondering about MARIE, we are getting there, then as stated we came to the gym, we were told to stand by the walls, in groups, I look to see the names on the badges the school had given us, then I saw the name and looked up.  It was fair to say Edward felt like a mountain had fallen on him, he just knew he was in LOVE with her, he had not spoken to her, she did not seem to notice him, that was good, as Edward when embarrassed went red and with red hair that looked bad.  Edward could not take his eyes off her, she was tall, red hair and green eyes, the perfection of love.

As of that point Edward could not wait to get to Secondary School, he just wanted to see her, she was all he would think about for five years.   Edward being shy, fat and with red hair was VERY SHY, in five years he seemed to make it plain that Marie was the one for him, since he had told no one, it just seem to come out.   Thus for next five years Edward always gave a her birthday present and christmas, without saying anything, these days we would call that staking, well this was the 1980s, we did not have behind the bike sheds as they had in the OLD DAYS, well the 1960s and our school was poor.  So question dead reader, was this LOVE, LUST or just GROWING PAINS.   This blogger likes to think it was LOVE, in its purest form, the only time the School bully really hurt Edward, was when he while pushing Edward harshly by  a door stated  that Marie had asked him out, in the nearly six years of violence, was the only time Edward felt hurt.  On the hand, Edward was happy that Marie had asked him out, this showed that his romantic quest had not touched on her ability to have  a good time and get on with her life.  

Thus the lesson is it does not matter when you fall in love, if your 11 to 60, you need to make your feelings known, what can happen, you are told to get lost, saves time,  five a years is a long time to be doing a romantic quest, that might be a delsion.   Also you fall into trap of falling for someone again, when your in Uni and do the same thing, so learn from this lesson.   Here endeth the LESSON. 

Friday, July 19, 2019

Two UK Oil Tankers taken by Iran - Gulf Crisis 4 - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

One can hear the FCO Mandarins NOW, saying the UK can do nothing, that the Foreign Secretary should visit Iran and the tanker seized in Gibraltar should be LET GO.   The FCO is like the BBC, it forgets it is there to protect UK interests not some other side.   The UK can not be BLACKMAILED, if we give in to Iran, then they will try something else, this time against the Americans, that might be a VERY BAD IDEA.  The UK for once should stand firm, the COBRA meeting should think what Lady Thatcher would do in such a case.   One thing they can do is send more Royal Navy Ships to the region, with the authority to take military action if any UK ships, Royal Navy or tankers come under threat from Iran.  When will the UK stop appeasing Iran!!

Two UK Flagged Tankers taken by Iran - Gulf Crisis 3 - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

This is a fast developing story, thus far Iran has taken two flagged tankers, Sky News reports that all though the tankers are UK Flagged there are no UK citizens on board the vessels.  Tehran must have lost the plot, the problem with Iran is there are two power structures, the secular and the religious, and the religious side has the upper hand when it comes down to it.  The Tehran Regime is pushing its luck, PM May is on the way out, she will not want to play the part of Neville Chamberlain and be seen to appease Tehran, and the new PM, Boris Johnson will not want that role either, this could get very tricky.  The US will be on alert for any of its ships to be targeted by Iran, the Trump Oval might be ready to carry a BIG STICK and warn Iran off with sterner measures. 

Why did IRAN Seize a UK Flagged Tanker - Gulf Crisis 2 - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

The above is TOMMY ROT as they used to say in my day, it is LIE, the UK Tanker was in international waters, the Tanker was taken by Iran as a result of the UK taking an Iranian tanker in Gibraltar.   In the 1930s there was Winston Churchill who warned about the threat from Nazi Germany, in the early 1980s Reagan coined the phrase the " Evil Empire " for the USSR, at the end of the 80s the Cold War was finished and so war the USSR within a few short years.  When looking at the modern leadership today,  who will stand up to appeasears, the US shot down a Iranian drone as a counter to Iran shooting down a US drone, but the Trump Oval did not strike Iran, thus Iran thought it could get away with taking a UK tanker.  Sometimes when leading you have to face down the enemy and be willing to finish them off.   As stated what happens IF and WHEN Tehran gets the nuclear bomb, it will be to late then.  Appeasement gets you WAR. 

Iran SEIZES UK Flagged Tanker - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

This is DIRECT BLACKMAIL by Iran, the UK has a Iranian tanker in Gibraltar, the Tehran Regime it can be assumed wants a trade, the problem is that any trade NOW, would look like appeasing an aggressor, also if Iran is successful, they might try something else.  What if they go after a US flagged tanker, will Trump carry on holding a small stick, or he will get his head out of the sand and DO SOMETHING about Iran.   What happens when the day arrives and Iran has the bomb, it would be ever more of THREAT, very much like North Korea.   At least the tyrants of Iraq and Libya were taken down before they become a nuclear threat.  At some point Iran will have to be dealt with, the appeasement of the Foreign Office will have to be overlooked for the REAL WORLD.   Appeasement gets you War, one really must learn the lessons of the 1930s. 

Thursday, July 18, 2019

Iran's NEW OFFER to the US - Middle East Crisis - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

This is the type of offer to make NYT/Guardian readers happy, also appeasers of Iran.   The offer does nothing about Iran's missile technology or its terrorists actions in the region.  The left will see this offer as away to avoid WAR in the region, it could have the reverse effect, it could force Israel and Saudi Arabia to take action to prevent Tehran getting the bomb.   The simple question would YOUR TRUST IRAN, and how about their secret bases, and they do have them.  This is shallow offer by a theocracy Government in trouble at home.   The Trump Administration has to keep up the economic pressure on Iran. 

Boris in the MAN to LEAD the CONSERVATIVES to VICTORY - Brexit Update 1 - NO REAL BREXIT


Lets Get Real:

If this blog was Boris Johnson it would announce a general election the moment he becomes PM.  Before the announcing the election the new PM should throw the hard remain MPs out of the Party, remove the Conservative whip from them, allow them stand as independent candidates to become an MP.  Also the new PM should announce that since the Speaker has broken faith with his role as Speaker, that a Conservative candidate will oppose him in his seat if he is standing again.   It will be interesting to see how Boris acts as PM, this blog does not see him taking a risk of a general election, he will sack the REMAIN CABINET Ministers, but then they will be a hindrance on the backbenches, thus a general election is not that far away.

Iranian Drone SHOT down by US USS Boxer - Update 2 - Gulf Crisis - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

One the whole US Presidents have more power in the foreign affairs than, they can start wars without the approval of the US Congress, the Wars Powers Act of 1973 states that after about certain of weeks the Oval Office has to ask the Congress for financial support for the War.  If Trump was Richard Nixon, he would strike Iran HARD, unite the Republican Party, there would be some who would oppose but they would be in the minority, the Democrats would be VERY DIVIDED, the left wingers in the House would want to impeach Trump again, while the moderates from Conservative Districts would be placed on the spot.  The Democratic candidates for President would also be placed on the spot, would they support the action or go to the LEFT.   This is why Presidents prefer foreign policy, they hold nearly all the Aces, but one doubts that Trump is that bright. 

US Ship SHOOTS down Iranian Drone - Gulf Crisis - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

Thus the US has shot down a Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz, this balances the fact that Tehran shot down a US drone in the region.   The question NEXT, is what will Iran do, will it do as the Trump did and do NOTHING, or will it try its luck again with a full attack on a US ship.  Has Tehran come to the conclusion that POTUS is full of hot wind and will not follow up if Iran does take action in the Strait of Hormuz.   This would be a MISTAKE, Trump has started a race storm with tweets and the shouts of his supporters, of course POTUS has disavowed the shouts, but as CNN noted it took him 13 seconds.   A War with IRAN might look good to Trump, it would unite the Republican Party and course discord within the Democratic Party.  One doubts that POTUS is that quick witted, also one gets the impression that Trump is risk averse or gun shy you might say.  The World will have to await  for EVENTS, EVENTS as a great UK PM once said to a young Minister, when asked what could go wrong. 

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Biden attacks POTUS - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

This is a good sound bite by the former VP, on the other hand Biden has to be careful, he was under attack of late for having a civil relationship with racist Senators in the 1970s, and let's not forget his touching of women ( in a non sexual or violent way ) throughout his political career.   The VP must have seen the latest poll from NH that showed his front runner status had declined to level begging with other candidates, thus the VP has to carry on with his attack on Trump but also start to attack his Democratic opposition, he could be looking at Trump while either Warren, Sanders or Harris walk all over him in the caucus and primary States.   It is July 2019, not July 2020, we have a long road to go, Senator Harris looks like the candidate that can beat Trump, also POTUS has not given her a nickname, could he be afraid of her. 

POTUS furthers ATTACK on the Squad - Trump Era

Sky News: Reports " 'Four horsewomen of the apocalypse': Donald Trump in new attack on 'The Squad'..It comes after days of sparring between Donald Trump and the four Democrat congresswomen in a row over his "racist" tweets.  "

Lets Get Real:

POTUS is not letting this go, he has been censured by the Democratic House, and the liberal mainstream media is calling him a racist, the tweets have been panned ALL over the World, thus why carry on.  The simple answer is political, the Squad, the term the Congresswomen use for themselves are on the extreme left wing of the Democratic Party, when they are not arguing with POTUS they are having a civil war with the Speaker.   The Trump Oval wants to force the Democratic Party to be seen as being represented by the Squad, and the next time they say something loony, and they will, the Democrats will be forced to defend them.   As a morale question it is to be censured, but as politics, its very smart, and could win POTUS re-election next year. 

House of Lords STOP Parliament from being closed down - Brexit Update 1 - NO REAL BREXIT


Lets Get Real:

As stated the HARD REMAINERS would find a way to block Parliament being closed in the run up to BREXIT, thus the above vote today by the House of Lords.   The Amendment has to be approved by the House of Commons, one would not be surprised if HARD REMAINERS within the Government support the move, thus making sure it becomes law.  The new PM, in this case Boris Johnson will be forced to get a weak "new " deal from the EU, in less the new PM has to guts to go to the Country and get a overall majority that is for BREXIT.  It is sad day for democracy, the House of Lords has allowed its remain ideology to take a higher call than the will of the UK voter in 2016. 

Monday, July 15, 2019

Is Kamala LEFT WING ENOUGH ? Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

The above is the reason that Democrats do not win Presidential elections, this blog has argued that Senator Kamala Harris could just be the right candidate to take on Trump, she is good when it comes to debates, she brings people along, also she was a tough prosecutor in California, also she happens to be African - American.   In many respects she has to follow the Obama playbook, she has to spend a awful lot of time in Iowa over the next few months, she has to show to black voters that she can bring white voters along.   The black vote is not just going to vote for her because she is black, Biden has shown over the years that he is friend and supporter of the black community and they are loyal to him, thus his present front runner status.  Senator Harris has to take Biden down at the next debate, the Harris camp can expect that the Biden camp will have gone through her record as a prosecutor, they will look for cases were Harris was tough on African - Americans.   Then after the debate, Harris should go for broke in Iowa and NH in 2020.  No one said American politics was nice. 

Trump to be CENSURED by US House of Representatives - Update 3- Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

The House Democrats could be playing in to the hands of POTUS, the 4 radical left wing Congresswomen will say something that will not go down well with fellow Democrats and these Democrats will have to defend them, the same goes for the Democratic candidates for President.  This is hardball gutter politics, type that wins elections. It should be noted that the four Congresswomen were in a civl war with the Speaker of her support for a bill to fund migrant centers.   The Trump Oval will make sure that any twitter comments or speeches by the four that looks bad with for the Democrats will be well known and published to make sure rust belt voters see the Democrats as being on the extreme wing, even Socialist.  This fight is going to be a lot more ugly, that is called Chicago politics 101. 

Donald Trump is a RACIST - Update 2 - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

The latest Trump tweets are about 2020, it can be argued that his campaign is afraid that the Democrats will chose the " moderate " VP Biden, and thus the Trump is trying to push the Democrats to vote for any one else, such as LEFT WINGERS, Senators Warren or Sanders.  Even this blog knows that if the Democrats selected either of these two Senators the Trump Oval and Campaign Committee would crush them.   The risk for Trump  is that the Democrats could chose Senator Kamala Harris, the Senator has shown that she is strong in a debate, was a former tough prosecutor in California and also happens to be African - American.  This could be the real threat to Trump in 2020.  What happened to the Republican Party of Ronald Reagan, the President that gave amnesty to illegal migrants in 1986, the Gipper would not have approved for their lack of comment on these tweets. 

Trump is a RACIST, but politically that is something else - Trump Era

This blog has been clear about its view on POTUS, it has supported his removal by the 25th Amendment, but that would take the agreement of the VP + US Cabinet = Removal.  This blog is about the politics of the Trump racist attack on four Democratic Congresswomen. 


Lets Get Real:

POTUS could be thinking that he needs " white voters " as a block to support him in 2020, thus he is picking on VERY LIBERAL Congresswomen.  Trump has seen Speaker Pelosi state that a half a glass of water could have been elected in the District of AOC if it had a D by its side on the ballot paper.   This has allowed Trump to see an opening to split jewish voters and other non ethnic voters from the Democratic Party.   The Trump re-elect campaign is based on defining the next Democratic nominee as an extreme liberal, thus Trump will go deep in the gutter to make sure he elected in 2020.   One never thought would could help supporting VP Biden for the Democratic nomination or Kamala Harris, it should be noted that in a recent poll of direct match - ups, Biden beat Trump by a good margin, while Harris would have an even race with Trump.  The campaign for 2020 will go low in the gutter, it will get even more nasty as we head in to 2020. 

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Profile of Kamala Harris - Next President ? - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

IF Senator Harris wants to be President Harris she has to take out VP Joe Biden and Senator Warren, the nearest political threat to her from the LEFT.   Next week sees the CNN DEBATES, Senator Harris has to clobber Biden on his civil relationship with racist Senators in the 1970s and also go after his Iraq vote in 2003.  One left she has to make the point that the plans of Senator Warren will never take place as the Country will not vote for a Socialist President, also Trump would have to much fun in attacking Warren over her CLAIM to be a native American decent.  In politics you either win or lose, if you lose you become a commentator on CNN, while the winner will be in the Oval Office.  It will be interesting to see if the other candidates go after Biden and Harris, the Harris record as prosecutor will be gone through, they will be looking for any cases that shed a bad light on Harris. There are more ups and downs to go in this campaign, it's only JULY 2019. 

Biden on Trump's Foreign Policy - Election 2020 - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

VP Biden set out three Countries were he argued POTUS has failed, Russia, North Korea and Iran.  The problem is that it would require Biden to be tough with Russia and North Korea, how will the left of the Democratic Party take to that, also we have a present crisis with Iran, will Biden allow them to go nuclear, will he appease them, that would allow Trump to make him out to be a warmonger and a appeaser in 2020.  One can see the political advert NOW, Neville Chamberlain morphing to Joe Biden, when it comes to Iran, while the advert will show Biden voting for the Iraq War, thus the warmonger.   The problem these days is that there is video, also the IRAQ WAR was in 2003 and the removal of troops from Iraq in 2011 under the Obama Administration allowed for the growth of Daesh.  One might come to the conclusion that Biden time had passed, he allows Trump to come on the attack, and the Trump Oval loves to counter attack. 

UK Arrest Iran Tanker Crew - Iran Crisis update 2 - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

It can be postulated that the thwarting by the Royal Navy of Iran from taking a UK commercial tanker will lead Tehran to try such an operation again, also with the arrest of the Captain and Chief Officer of the tanker taken in Gibraltar will lead Iran to try and save face and taking a UK tanker or UK personnel.  Also Tehran is on the way to getting the bomb, as stated by this blog and may others, that will not be allowed to happen, thus one can expect Saudi Arabia and Israel to start having off the table talks about taking joint action, my enemy of enemy is my friend as the old saying goes.  One gets the feeling that the Gulf is on a slow burn to something happening, the question is when will someone go to far, when will that unofficial red line be passed, something has to give. 

Iran is a ROGUE Regime - Iran Crisis - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

The Tehran Regime is a rogue regime, it is trying to get back at the UK for the taking of a Iranian sanction busting tanker that was taken in Gibraltar by UK military forces.  The escalation by Iran from mining ships to the attempt of taking a UK commercial vessel shows that the Trump sanctions are working, the Tehran Regime is feeling the pressure.  The US should increase sanctions, make it impossible for the Iran theocracy to run the Country, make the people unhappy, get them on the streets, thus forcing Tehran to DEAL, on Western terms, no nukes, no more terrorism, no missile tests, in other words behave like any other Country.   This is a developing story. 

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

What is the House of Commons Speaker up to ? Brexit Update 2 - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

The question is what is the House of Commons Speaker up to, he has thrown out past historical precedent, so why follow the rules now.  If your of a devious mind you would think that the Speaker and his Remain allies have something up their sleeve for the next time.  The new PM has to ge to work FAST, get the UK out of the EU as fast as possible, and not to extend the 31st October deadline.  The BBC has already had a show that attempted to place the fear of God in to those that believe in Brexit, the implications being if there is BREXIT, it is the end of the World, you will have to wait a week for your apples from France.  One gets the impression that these smeg head Reaminers are not the types you would want a fox hole with your or going over the top of a trench, worse they would have been appeasers in the 1930s.  That is how far they are out of it, poor UK. 

Boris Johnson WOULD WIN in a General Election - The New Boris Johnson Era


Lets Get Real:

As the Labour Party has gone " FULL REMAIN " the Conservative Party under new PM, Boris Johnson should hold a General Election, with the Conservatives supporting a NO DEAL BREXIT, make the hapless Corbyn defend something he does not believe in, you do not change your spots after decades of being an anti European.   The Labour Party elite of London has stabbed its Northern supporters in the back, will the Labour MPs take the Labour whip when it comes a fresh Brexit vote, will they support a Labour No Confidence votes, that is open to question.   The ultra left is out to destroy BREXIT and the long historical links between the Labour Party and its working class supporters.  The London elite are more interested in what the elite middle class think than REAL WORKERS.  A shameful Day for Labour.


aA

Labour STABS Brexit supporters in the BACK - Brexit Update 1 - May Era


Lets Get Real:

The ultra elite Remain within the Labour Party has won the day.   Those Labour MPs representation Northern Seats that voted LEAVE in 2016 will have  a choice, if as expected Boris Johnson becomes a PM and develops a new deal with the EU, will these MPs take the Labour whip when it comes to voting on a new deal.  The Labour elite has stabbed its supporters in the back when it comes to BREXIT, it has gone from accepting the Brexit result to wanting to negate it, a sad day for the Democracy within the Labour Party.   It can be postulated that Corbyn was pushed in to this move by the fact that the Labour Party has a massive anti-Semitism issue, the Labour leadership is trying to divert attention from that to this issue.  One wonders how many MPs have the courage to quiet the Labour Party over both issues. 

Monday, July 08, 2019

Warren on the move in the POLLS and the MONEY FRONT - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

Let's postulate that Biden is one of the two contenders for the Democratic nomination, let's also postulate that the Sanders Campaign goes nowhere, the question is where does the Sanders voters go, they could end up supporting Senator Warren.   The Senator is full policy ideas and is also not taking big money but getting along from small contributors.  The Democratic voters must know that Trump will tear Warren apart, she is so LEFT, she makes Lenin look like a Adam Smith supporter.   Thus in essence the Democratic supporters have only once choice, they must support VP Biden.    Thus if the above is right, we have endless  months of a phony war, of course it depends on the above being RIGHT!!  This blog hates being WRONG!!