Friday, August 10, 2012

Obama vs. Romney - Friday Polls


It is that time of the week folks, lets see how President Obama and Governor Romney stand in the National US Polls. These are daily Polls.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): Reports on its daily tracking poll, today Governor Romney leads President Obama by 47% to 43%. A 4% lead.

Gallup ( RV ): Reports on its daily tracking poll, today President Obama leads Governor Romney by 47% to 45%. A 2% lead.

Bonus Poll:


Lets Get Real:

Folks this blog is flagging a trend, the pollsters admit that they over sample Democrats for their polls, last night Fox polling stated that they had 5% more Democrats in their polls and they were just following a news trend, BS, if you look at the poll in the RCP average, Fox has POTUS with a 9% lead. Lets recall the 5% over sampling of Democrats, that is down to 4%, if you add a margin of error of 3%, that gives a dead heat. That is why this blog goes with Rasmussen and Gallup, okay there is a diversion, but not that much, a dead heat if you take in to account the MoE. This race will be interesting, someone should really go through hundreds of polls and see what actually works, likely voters, registered voters, adult voters. It is troubling for this blog that you start to doubt all POLLS, you want a fair average, not over sampling of Democrats, Republicans, or any specific gender or ethnic group. It is going to be a long Campaign folks.


Wednesday, August 08, 2012

Obama vs. Romney - Mid Week Polls


Thus folks, lets look at the Polls Mid Week. What a great surprise, a tied race, even political geeks can get bored with stalemate on the political battle front. Here are the numbers folks.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): Reports that President Obama and Governor Romney are tied at 45%.

Gallup ( RV ): Reports that President Obama and Governor Romney are tied at 46%.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks we have a TIED race, it is August folks, people who do not love politics, WHO ARE THEY! might be doing something better than following the day by day fight between the Obama and Romney Camps. Thus the National Conventions should give the candidates a bounce, lets see, its not a logical step. Before then Romney is expected to declare who will be his VP, lets hope he goes for an attack dog, someone will go after Obama and his dirty Campaign. Lets be honest here Obama makes Nixon look clean in election terms. The 68/72 Campaigns did not have this level of laying and dirt be thrown by Nixon, other things yes, but not directly in the Campaign. What is surprising is that the Romney vote has held up, lets see what happens to the polls after the Super Pacs and the Republicans after their Convention let lose their millions on Obama. The race is in a holding patter folks, that is politics!.


Tuesday, August 07, 2012

The Koch Brothers vs. Obama


The New York Times: Reports that the Koch Brothers backed Super Pac is to go after POTUS, the article states the following, " the Tea Party organization backed by the Koch brothers, is set to begin a $25 million advertising assault..".

Lets Get Real:

The Uber liberal NYT hates the Tea Party and its supporters, the view of the elite media is that the Tea Party are EVIL, they are demagogues, if you think this hype go and watch recent episode of the The Newsroom on Sky Atlantic, the liberal main stream media really hate the Tea Party, they never ask who backs the liberal Super Pacs, the US Supreme Court in a great decision has allowed individual people who are wealth to support Super Pacs, this is Democracy, and the elite media hate it, in the past they decide what was news, thus you never head about President Kennedy's women, or FDR' or LBJ's, it took a US magazine to get the John Edwards story out, while the uber liberal NYT was doing a character hit job on Senator McCain. The elite new media hate Fox News, because its not liberal, you only have to see how objective Fox News is when you look at the Evening News in the US, they tend to follow the line of the NYT. Thank goodness individuals and business can NOW talk in the public square, its called fairness and democracy folks.

Iran and Syria - Syrian Update



BBC News: Reports that Iran has confirmed its alliance with the Assad Regime in Syria.

Lets Get Real:

The Tehran Regime has no choice but to support Assad, without the Assad Regime in place its strategic power in the region would be limited. The Assad Regime allows Iran to support its terrorists allies in Lebanon, also threaten Israel. Also if the Assad Regime goes one has to ask how long can the Tehran Regime last, its under harsh international sanctions due to plans to become a nuclear armed power, the civic structure of Iran is falling apart, people make off the books deal to just to get through the day, thus Iran needs Assad in place, in this it is joined by Russia, it wants to keep its only warm water port, also the diversion of Syria allows Iran to develop its own nuclear power structure, the West is diverted, and Israel is under pressure from the Oval not to strike Iran before the US Presidential Election in November. The UN is blocked by the veto power of Russia and China, the Assad Regime will fall folks but the blood bath will be high and the World can not say it did not know.

Monday, August 06, 2012

Money - Mothers Milk of US Politics


The Hill: Reports that the Republican Nominee Governor Mitt Romney and Republican National Committee has out raised in donations President Obama and Democratic Party in July, Romney raised 101.3 million while Obama raised 75 million.

Lets Get Real:

The Obama Camp has been raising money but its been spending its faster, it has gone for the 1996, 2004 play book of Bill Clinton and Bush 43, it has tried to define Romney before the National Conventions and his choice of VP. This means that in the latter months of the Campaign that Romney will have more cash on hand, this could be of great benefit to Romney and the Republicans in getting out the vote for November and buying adverts in swing States. The Obama Strategy has worked so far, in swing States POTUS has a lead, but will that last when the Republicans let lose their adverts, they will have the money to change the picture of the Campaign, the election is not over folks, lets recall we have the debates. If the election was today you would have to give the nod to Obama, but that is based on the polls in the swing States, do you trust these polls, this blog has found that that samples of these polls over represent Democrats and African Americans, and even then the race is close. Thus its not over in till the fat elephant sings folks.

Never TRUST the LibDems - UK Coalition Government in Crisis


Telegraph: Reports that the UK Coalition Deputy PM Nick Clegg has stated that the Liberal Democrats will oppose boundary changes for Parliamentary Seats in the 2015 election because the Conservative Party has not supported House of Lords reform.

Lets Get Real:

The Liberal Democrats have show their true colour, YELLOW, they have shown they are not a Party of their word, the Coalition deal gave the LibDems a vote of PR in exchange for a vote to reduce the number of MPs in the House of Commons, and to give Parliamentary Seats equal voters. The breaking of the deal by the LibDems should make PM David Cameron throw in the towel when it comes to the Coalition, he should sack the LibDems Cabinet Ministers, and run a minority Conservative Government, it should move to the radical right, this is the time to play hard ball with the LibDems, if they want to act like selfish children, well send them to their room and run the House as it should be run, in a Conservative manner.

Syrian PM Defects - Major Blow to Assad Regime


BBC News: Reports that the Syrian PM Riad Hijbab and his family have defected to Jordan, the Assad Regime stated he has been sacked.

Lets Get Real:

This does have echoes of Tsarist Russia at the end, the top does not understand that the structure that kept the Regime above water is going rotten day by day, how long can President Assad trust his Ministers or Army, could Assad have the same fate as Gaddafi of Libya, or Tsar Nicholas II of Russia, it might be a only a matter of time, the Russians Foreign Office will be planning how to get rid of Assad and get in to the good books with the rebels, it wants to keep its only warm water Port, they might be to late for such a move, on the other hand the West should be wary, some excellent reporting by the The Times of London has shown that the rebels are formed by different groups, those seeking democracy and those with links to crime and terrorists structures. Thus folks decay will wither the Assad Regime, it just depends on the level of blood spilled.