The Polls before the 1st Debate - US Election

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): In its daily tracking poll it finds that President Obama leads Governor Romney by 49% to 47%.  A 2%.

Gallup ( RV ): Reports in its daily tracking poll that President Obama leads Governor Romney by 49% to 45%.  A 4% lead.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks POTUS has a lead of between 2% to 4%.   It will be interesting to see if the 1st debate secures that lead, or extends it, or even in national polls brings the Candidates closer.   Given the economic mess of the Obama years the Republican ticket should have been miles ahead, also they should have expected the tough Campaign by Team Obama.  As  the Romney/Ryan ticked failed on both counts it is no surprise that they will lose, these debates as sideshows, the game is over, but they are fun to watch.   It is nice to put OUR leaders on the spot, make them sweat a bit, lets face it folks, US voters do not have much fun these days. 

1st Presidential Debate of 2012 - US Election

BBC News: Reports on the build up to the first Presidential Debate of 2012 between President Obama and Governor Romney.  

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks we come to last major event of the US Election cycle, the winner of the 1st Presidential Debate, as this blog has already called this election for President Obama it can be objective about the winner.   Both sides in the race have told the Media that their candidates can barely walk and speak as to lower expectations.   Thus the argument is that as long as the candidates do not fall off the Stage or start to speak Russian they have had a good night.    This blog will tweet the debate that starts after 2am UK time.    On the whole it can be predicted as the Candidates have had tons of prep that it will be draw.   There are examples from recent history of debates that have changed the race, in 1976 President Ford stated that Eastern Europe was not under the control of the USSR, bad mistake, that was tough clean up job for the Ford Campaign, in 1980 Reagan just had to look Presidential, in 1984 against former VP Walter Mondale the age issue came up, Reagan took Mondale down with a joke.  In 1992 Bush 41 looked like he was bored with a debate when he looked at his watch.   In 2000 then VP Al Gore gave the impression that he was less than impress with Bush 43, the voters were not impressed.    Thus in less either Candidate makes a major mistake it should be a draw, even boring, lets see how it turns out. 

12 Million Jobs over 4 Years - Romney/Biden Advert

Lets Get Real: 

This is a good advert by Governor Romney, a promise to create 12 million jobs over four years.   The problems is the candidate, there is no passion, even fake passion would be nice, the Republicans need a large that life character next time around.   The need someone who can skip the liberal main stream media and connects to the voter.   The Obama team have defined Romney as a rich guy out of touch with main street, not true, but politics is about selling a message, the truth gets thrown out of the window.   Poor Governor Romney. 

Romney and China - Obama/Biden TV Advert

Lets Get Real:

Easy message folks, business IS BAD, therefore Romney is bad.  Of course the advert does not mention that POTUS has been in power for four years, what has he done about CHINA, bugger all, the Democrats will forget this message after this Campaign.   Its low, and not in the real world, but very effective, thus Obama 2nd term.   The Republicans failed to play hard ball with Obama, thus the Chicago Obama Team defined Romney before he could define himself.   That is the Chicago way folks, low but they WIN. 

Obama and Foreign Policy - Romney Super Pac

Lets Get Real: 

This is hard hitting advert folks, it seeks to define POTUS as more interested in talking to the US voter via light TV shows, and not dealing with terrorists threats to the US.    The Republican Super Pacs have really failed to nail Obama, so many weak points and they missed the board.   Thus the reason that POTUS will get his 2nd term.   The only benefit for Republicans is the fact that Nixon, Reagan, Clinton, Bush 43 had troubled 2nd terms. 

The Polls before the Debates - US Election 2012

Lets have a look at the US polls before the Debate season starts folks.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): In its daily tracking poll it finds that President Obama leads Governor Romney by 50% to 47%.  A 3% lead.

Gallup ( RV ): Reports in its daily tracking poll that President Obama leads Governor Romney by 49% to 45%.  A 4% lead/

Lets Get Real:

This race is over folks, the Obama lead is between 3% to 4%, the debates do not have any clouds on the horizon, thus one can expect a narrow Obama win, with the Congress going to the Republicans, the House is  secure for the Republicans, while the Senate could be a even split, with the VP Biden giving the Democrats the Majority with his vote.   Thus the 2nd Obama term will have to deal with the financial cliff that the US faces, to avoid going like Greece and Spain the US has to reform its taxes and welfare state.   The question that has to be asked will the Congress work with Obama, or are we facing standstill for the next two years in till the US Mid Terms in 2016.    This blog predicts an economic recession, and a political cold war.  President Obama can not run for a 3rd term, thus Candidates will be in Iowa for 2016 early next year.   Also    should Obama try to place pressure on Israel expect Democrats and Republicans in Congress to block such moves, 2nd terms are never fun folks. 

The Angels Take Manhattan - Doctor Who Review

Doctor Who News Page: Reports that the good Doctor was the top drama on BBC 1 on Saturday, in the over night ratings the episode had 5.9 million viewers. 

Lets Get Real:

This was a powerful episode folks, at the end of the day it was about choices, Amy's decision to leap to be with Rory twice, made this viewer quite emotional,  no crying!!  Also it was nice to see River back, one always wonders how much she knows, she never likes to give spoilers AWAY.   Thus Doctor Who without Amy and Rory, it will be interesting to see how the new companion makes out, can she be as successful, if she is Dalek she might have problems with the TARDIS steps even with thrusters.  It was fun to see that the Doctor loves his wife, YES this blog she's River as Lady Who, can not think of better title.  That the Doctor would give away some regeneration  power to fix River was a touching scene, her anger was nice, bickering couples. No more Ponds, but the Doctor goes on, he never ends, thank God for that folks.