Monday, October 01, 2012

The Polls before the Debates - US Election 2012


Lets have a look at the US polls before the Debate season starts folks.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): In its daily tracking poll it finds that President Obama leads Governor Romney by 50% to 47%.  A 3% lead.

Gallup ( RV ): Reports in its daily tracking poll that President Obama leads Governor Romney by 49% to 45%.  A 4% lead/

Lets Get Real:

This race is over folks, the Obama lead is between 3% to 4%, the debates do not have any clouds on the horizon, thus one can expect a narrow Obama win, with the Congress going to the Republicans, the House is  secure for the Republicans, while the Senate could be a even split, with the VP Biden giving the Democrats the Majority with his vote.   Thus the 2nd Obama term will have to deal with the financial cliff that the US faces, to avoid going like Greece and Spain the US has to reform its taxes and welfare state.   The question that has to be asked will the Congress work with Obama, or are we facing standstill for the next two years in till the US Mid Terms in 2016.    This blog predicts an economic recession, and a political cold war.  President Obama can not run for a 3rd term, thus Candidates will be in Iowa for 2016 early next year.   Also    should Obama try to place pressure on Israel expect Democrats and Republicans in Congress to block such moves, 2nd terms are never fun folks. 

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