Deal or No Deal on Brexit - General Election 2020

BBC News: Reports " Boris Johnson will set out details of his "final" negotiating offer to the EU on Wednesday in pursuit of a "fair and reasonable" Brexit compromise.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus we have come to IT, the final offer of a DEAL from PM Boris, the mood music well by the tone of the BBC and Sky has not been good, it is expected that the EU will reject the ideas for new Brexit Deal.   By law then PM Boris has to ask for an extension of Article 50, but the PM has stated that is not going to happen, so what happens next.   It can be expected that the Opposition Parties will bring a NO CONFIDENCE vote in the Government at the end of this week or the start of next week, then we have doubt, there is then 14 days for a new government to be formed, or there will be a General Election. IF the Liberal Democrats and the rebel 21 Conservative MPs do not support a limited Corbyn Government or Corbyn does not support a different PM, then we have a general election. Thus in November or December we will have a  general election.  What will the UK voter decided, that is open to question. 

The Whistleblower Complaint - US Election 2020

Fox News: Read the transcript of the Whistleblower complaint against President Trump.

Lets Get Real:

Always read the documents when it comes to a case of impeachment.  The 24/7 news networks always hype what they want the viewers to know, that goes from CNN to Fox News. Always make up your own mind, an impeachment process should take a year and have endless Committee meetings, the Democrats want it over in 8 weeks, whenever someone tries to push for this something this fast, you always have to ask why?  Are they afraid that the charge will not hold up, also the Democrats do not want the process to overtake the Democratic race for the nomination.  Even with Iran Contra, the Gipper was lucky, it came at the end of November, after the 1986 Mid Terms, and the hearings did not last that long, the special prosecutor at the end did not achieve much and Bush 41 pardoned the main actors in the fair, the Gipper could transfer the problem to his successor, and not have deal with any pardon issues, kept his hands clean, a great politician. 

*After reading the whistleblower complaint I am not impressed, a lot of 2nd hand knowledge, and lot open press reports, if this is ALL the Democrats have got, they are in trouble.  The Congressional hearings better have something more, or the Democrats are going to look like fools and this blog does not even like POTUS. 

The Impeachment of Trump and the US voter - US Election 2020

Daily Mail: Reports " Support for impeachment swells to 49 per cent as Americans absorb whistle-blower's bombshell allegations about Donald Trump "

Lets Get Real:

In 1974 Richard Nixon only agreed to resign when the Republicans in the US Senate told him it was over, if this had not happened the history could have been different.   Also the polls for Nixon were bad, it was the reverse for Bill Clinton, the US voter did not think that Clinton deserved to be impeached because of an affair and he was found not guilty by a Republican US Senate.   As long as Trump can keep the defections to a few Senators up for re-election in 2020 he will be all right.  Of course if House hearings next week can push the story along, then there might be a difference, does the White House hold other compromising transcripts of Trump with other State leaders.   This blog would be interested to read the transcript of the talks between Trump and Putin, one would assume that the Trump White House will fight tooth and nail to keep them quiet.  It is going to be dramatic week next week. 

The Impeachment Fight - A Dirty War starts - US Election 2020

Sky News: Reports " Donald Trump calls for sacking of political rival leading impeachment inquiry...As the investigation into Donald Trump's call to the Ukrainian leader continues, the president hits out at the inquiry. "

Lets Get Real:

The Democrats expect to get through the impeachment process by the start of December, that is just 8 weeks, a real honest investigation and hearings would take a YEAR, the Democrats are showing their true colours, most are political hacks that would be on the other side if it was  Democratic President.   The Democratic base has wanted to impeach TRUMP since his election win in 2016, the failure of the Mueller report was a shock to them and to CNN and other liberal press.  Thus they had started on impeachment when rumours of the UKraine scandal had just broken.   This process could hand TRUMP a 2nd term, the base will be furious with the Liberal House, that could get them to vote for Trump for a 2nd time, the Democrats are really bad at basic politics. 

POTUS vs. Senator Warren ? - US Election 2020

BBC News: Reports " Trump v Warren rallies preview possible 2020 populist duel "

Lets Get Real:

The above article is interesting, it was published a few days before the Ukraine scandal broke, and looks at the possible match up of Trump vs. Warren.   The Democrats are rushing for Impeachment to finish by the end of November, of course they have already made their minds up, a thorougher impeachment would take almost a year, the Dems want to keep their base happy, also they do not want the process to damage the Democratic race that will start in 2020 with the Iowa and New Hampshire votes.   The blog has read the transcript, it is damaging, but not enough to impeach a duck never mind a President, it depends of the House Committees can bet officials to come to talk to them and how much roadblocks the White House places on the process.   Trump will be ready for bear, he is a good counter puncher, the CIA official who was the whistle blower better have no connection to the Democrats in any form, otherwise Fox News and the supporters of the POTUS will go after him or her with a fury.    As long as Trump keeps the Senate the trial will be very short, there is no chance, that 20 Republicans will defect to support impeachment, POTUS will be found innocent, and then he can go in to 2020 with the mantra that the Democrats have tried two Coups in attempt to overturn the 2016 Election, and Warren will argue that TRUMP is corrupt, it will be a VERY DIRTY campaign. 

Warren TOPS Poll - US Election 2020

Politico: Reports on a  new Quinnipiac University poll, for the Democratic race, " Twenty-seven percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents polled ..said they favor Warren, according to a survey released Wednesday morning. Twenty-five percent said they prefer former Vice President Joe Biden.  "

Lets Get Real:

The race is not looking good for former VP, Joe Biden, he is behind in Iowa and New Hampshire and now Warren is beating him or is neck in neck with him in national polls.  The Trump's Ukraine scandal should get him some sympathy, the fact that POTUS was looking for political dirt on him and his son.  On the other hand the Democrats might think there is some smoke to that fire and will move for the left wing firebrand Senator Warren, it can be argued that their hearts are for Warren but their brains are telling them that they should support the moderate Biden.   This blog has advised Biden to move to Iowa and NH, he might not get to South Carolina at this stage, if Warren can take both early States in 2020 she could run field.   The one good point for Biden is that there is still time for him to get back in to the race, he as the brand name and the money, does he have the fire in the belly is the question.  Developing....

2nd Suspension of Parliament - General Election 2019?

Sky News: Reports " Boris Johnson hints at second parliament suspension in angry Commons..In his first Commons appearance since his prorogation of parliament was ruled unlawful, the PM again pushes for a Queen's Speech.  "

Lets Get Real:

The PM should suspended Parliament if he does not get a deal on the 19th of October, then barge through to the 31st of October, have the UK out, in essence go through or around the House of Commons and the UK Supreme Court, it was a novel idea that has failed.  Once people are seen celebrating around the UK, it will not matter what this RUMP Parliament thinks, that goes for the Courts ALSO, let them try to pull it back, that would lead to peaceful unrest, since the appeasers and surrender merchants claim to be liberal, well the people are SOVEREIGN at the end, they want out, the RUMP Parliament and UK Supreme Court will just have to take it, defacto we will be OUT.