The Queen and the House of Commons - General Election 2019?

Daily Mail: Reports " How the Queen could be dragged into a constitutional crisis with demands for her to SACK Boris Johnson as MPs and the PM clash over No Deal Brexit "

Lets Get Real:

What if the Queen says NO, will the HARD REMAINERS start attacking the Queen, there are limits of how much the people will put up from an OUT OF CONTROL House of Commons. A national Government would never work, one does not see Jeremy Corbyn allowing Labour moderates to serve in power while he is just expected to support their moves, this would be like the 1930s all over again.  The Remainers sooner or later will have to face the VOTERS, they will no care if some politicians think that they are better and understand the issues. If a Conservative MP votes to bring down the Government, then the whip should be removed, this would mean that the MP can stand as an Individual MP but not as a Conservative MP.  All political careers end in FAILURE, but there would be no forgiveness this time, no honours, no knighthoods or a place in the House of Lords, these MPs would be froze out political life, no coming back, it can be lonely if you are seen to have betrayed the Party and the Country. 

Biden FEELING THE HEAT in New Hampshire - Election 2020

The Hill: Reports on a new poll in New Hampshire, " Biden at 21 percent support, followed by Sanders at 17 percent and Warren at 14 percent. No other candidate has double-digit support in the Granite State.  "

Lets Get Real:

This could mean trouble for the moderate Joe Biden, the former VP to Barack Obama, it shows that the attacks on him from his Senatorial to his Vice Presidential record have had some effect.  The Biden Campaign should be concerned that it could be defeated in Iowa or New Hampshire, one does not have to go back in history to show what happens if that occurs, HRC was seen as the presumptive nominee in 2008, but then she lost IOWA and Barack Obama showed that he could win over white voters, the fear for the Biden camp is that Sanders or Warren could build the BIG Momentum from such a win.  It would be wise for the former VP to spend  a lot of time in Iowa and NH, the voters in these States liked to be asked for their votes, not just assumed to be voting for the right candidate.   Also the next debate will have fewer candidates, so more time for a better debate and not just sound bites. 

General Election in September or October - Election 2019?

Daily Mail: Reports " Boris Johnson says an election is the 'last thing I want' despite claims aides are ALREADY plotting a pro-Brexit campaign - as PM vows the UK WILL leave the EU by Halloween 'whatever the circumstances' "

Lets Get Real:

This blog does not trust the House of Commons and its Speaker, they will find someway to BLOCK BREXIT, they do not play by the rules, thus neither should Boris, even if he loses a No  Confidence vote he should not resign, as the House of Commons passed the fixed term Parliament Act there is no need, there is a 14 day intervention for another Government to be formed.   Thus Boris should take us out of the EU and then have an election, do the people want to go back to the EU and accepting the Euro and not getting our money back under a Lady Thatcher's deal in the 1980s.   The election would be the people versus the House of Commons, also will Labour MPs from LEAVE Seats really fancy an election, that is the question the REMAINERS should be asking themselves. 

The need for TOUGH Gun Control in the US - Election 2020

BBC News: Reports " President Donald Trump has condemned hatred and white supremacy in a public address following mass shootings that left 31 dead in Texas and Ohio.  "

Lets Get Real:

There needs to be tough gun control in the US, there is no reason for there to be so many handguns or other weapons out there.  Only the Police and other authorities should have guns.  One can see the argument for guns on ranches, and for the Army and the National Guard to have guns, but why anyone else needs guns is a mystery.  If you had a strong President who would take the political attack to gun owners then you might get somewhere, Trump will not, and neither will the US Congress,  money is the mothers milk in politics and the Congress is always in campaign mode.  It would take a BRAVE Congress to ban guns except for the groups above, thus will not holding my breath.    The US has move to restrict gun ownership. 

The NEXT Democratic Debate - Update 3 - Election 2020

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 4.08pm post, " Only seven candidates have qualified for the next Democratic debates, according to the New York Times.  They are: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Cory Booker and Beto O’Rourke.  "

Lets Get Real:

This sounds about right, at least you can get all the candidates on the same debate stage, and the questions and answers can take longer.   Of course it allows for more bust ups, one can expect Warren to go after Biden, they are fighting for the soul of the Party.   As for Mayor Pete and Beto, they are at the start of their political careers, they might be looking at the VP spot on a Biden or Warren ticket.   This blog is not writing them off, just it does not feel that this is their political cycle.   One can expect some in fighting in between Warren and Sanders, one of them has to LOSE, more likely it will be Sanders, he moved the Party but might not have the fire in the belly to be POTUS, you really have to want it, and it can be seen that Warren really wants to be President.  It is only August the 1st, we have a very long road to go, Iowa in 2020 is in February of next year. 

Brexit Update - New 10% bounce for Conservatives - Update 1 - Election 2019?

Guido Fawkes: Reports in its 11.55am the following post, " Boris bounces 10 points ahead with Ipsos Mori. Reinforcing yesterday’s 10 point lead with YouGov… "

Lets Get Real:

This could be the golden time for Boris to shaft the HARD REMAINERS in the House of Commons.  The Hard Remainers will try any underhanded method to block BREXIT, the best way avoid this,  is to  call a General Election, make these HARD REMAINERS have to be selected by their Local Associations.   The Seats that voted LEAVE should de-select MPs that are going against the will of the 2016 vote.   Also a Conservative win on a NO DEAL BREXIT, would force the EU to agree our terms.  The clock is ticking for 31st of October!  PM Boris has to recall that the HARD REMAINERS have a bias Speaker in their pocket, he cannot be trusted. 

What WAY for the Democrats ? - Update 2 - Election 2020

Sky News: Reports " Biden in the firing line but the Democratic race is still his to lose..Two nights of debates see the party struggling on whether to adopt a progressive or moderate vision to take on President Trump.  "

Lets Get Real:

At the end of the day the Democratic race in all probability will come to a moderate as represented by VP Biden and for the Liberals, or progressives as they like to call themselves by Senator Warren.  It is interesting from 2016 Senators Sanders has moved the Democrats to the LEFT, but like Moses he might not get the prize, it can be argued that Warren has the fire in her belly to take the fight to Biden, it will be interesting to see them on the same stage, that will lead to fireworks.  The problem for Democratic voters is while the Democrats have gone LEFT, the rest of the Country is more to the Centre, even centre right.  Senator Harris will have a HARD TIME selling her health plan, as it removes private health cover from a hundred million Americans, that will go down like a LEAD BALLOON.  Also her time as Attorney General will be looked closely by other candidates, God knows what they will find before the next debate.  Thus my prediction for what it's worth, it will be a Biden vs Warren fight for the soul of the Democratic Party.