The Time to Strike Iran

The Times: Reports on the disastrous Summit meeting between President Obama and the PM of Israel, Binyamin Netanyahu. This could be the perfect time for Israel to hit Iran, the USA under Obama is NEVER, NEVER going to strike Iran or place tough sanctions on Tehran. Thus the Obama ego after health care reform has gone stellar, someone needs to remind the President that when he is Mayor of Jerusalem he can have viewpoint on planning or even a vote. Think if Russia decided to make a point about building in Washington D.C. The problem with the Obama ego is that while its effective on the domestic front in till the November elections, his ego could cause a war in the Middle East due to the fact that Obama has no clue about the Middle East, he might have been trained a lawyer but don't recall him ever getting a degree in International Politics. Lets see Obama has damaged the US relationship with Israel its main ally in the Middle East but is appeasing Iran and North Korea. One has decide on the empirical evidence that Obama wants to be a one term President, he has pushed health care reform down the throats of the US voter, he has appeased Russia at the expense of the Czech Republic and Poland, and now he is letting Iran off the hook and being critical of Israel. Thus if your in Israel one has to ask why not attack Iran, really show that Obama is holding jokers, the US Congress will always support Israel over Obama when it comes to the security of Israel. Obama has not learned an important lesson, its the same lesson that LBJ failed to learn in Vietnam, the other side can say NO, and they can roll you, if your poll ratings are going South when you need the support of the American people you will find that you left alone with your ego.

Another League of Nations = The UN ?

Fox News: Reports that the Obama Administration has walked back from tough sanctions on Iran due to the pressure from China and Russia. One can postulate that the UN is fast becoming the another League of the Nations of the 1920's/30's the precursor to the UN of today. The Obama Administration is allowing US Foreign Policy to be defined by Russia and China, Iran is a direct threat to the USA and Israel, thus sooner or later Obama or Israel will have to take action outside the remit of the UN. The cold freeze level of diplomatic relations between the USA and Israel over the right of Israel to build homes on its homeland could make the decision by Israel more easier, they could strike Iran due to the fact that the relationship is so cold between the two supposed Allies. It can be argued that Russia and China will never allow tough sanctions on Iran due to their economic ties, thus Obama is fast becoming another Jimmy Carter.

The Ghost of Tip O’Neill

A great Democratic Speaker of the House of Representatives, Speaker Tip O' Neill in his autobiography bought up the power of the Israeli lobby in Congress, it was the one issue that both Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan asked about before they become President. Both Carter and Reagan wanted to know how powerful was the Israeli lobby, in other words by a PR standard they had presence in Congress. As Speaker O' Neill stated Jewish voters wrote to him even when they agreed with him, they played an active part in all parts of the US civic structure, thus that equated with political power. Thus we come to to the frosty relationship between the Obama White House and Israel at the present, even Ronald Reagan made a threat to end the special relationship with Israel due to its actions in Lebanon, the President was right and Israel came to heel. Lets be honest you can be a friend of Israel but also make it aware when it goes well over the line. In the case of building 1,600 new homes in East Jerusalem the Israeli Government should tell Obama to get lost, its Israel after all not Chicago, and Obama cant use the race card on them as he used it on Clinton Campaign in 08. Also in an excellent article in RCP the power of the Israeli lobby in the Democratic Party could decided who runs the Congress after 2010. In other words the Israeli lobby could turn off the money stream to the Democratic Party, give it to the Republicans. Thus if Obama does not want to lose Congress in 2010 and the White House in 2012 he might want to back off his own arrogance towards Israel.

A Divided Relationship, the USA and Israel

BBC News: Reports that the Obama White House has admitted that there are problems between Israel and the USA. A good piece of advice to the Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu, tell Obama to take a running jump, as the Obama appeasement of Iran, North Korea and Russia has shown if you say NO hard enough to Obama he will appease you, thus Israel should build more houses in East Jerusalem, make the Obama Foreign Policy choke on its own arrogance, it seems that President Obama is ready enough to sell out the Czech Republic, Poland and the Middle East Allies of the United States by allowing Iran to become a nuclear power. The problem with Obama is that he thinks his own rhetoric is the reality, news to POTUS your not that good, a majority of Americans opposed health care reform, every time the President spoke on health care reform the negatives of the policy went up, your no JFK or Reagan, the President is under the illusion that he has options when it comes to Israel, he does not, the Congress will over turn any negative policy when it comes to Israel, also as stated the election calender is now starting to work against the Obama White House, thus we have the 2010 Mid Term Congressional Elections, a lot of Jewish voters in Florida and New York, then we have the 2012 Presidential Election, Obama cant be seen favouring Iran over Israel. Thus again to the Israeli PM, call the Obama bluff, he is bluffing, his cards are jokers, while your at it strike Iran, just before the Mid Term Congressional Elections would be quite good.

Binyamin Netanyahu = NOT OUT

Guardian: Even the left Guardian has some words of caution for the Obama Administration, the Guardian states the following, " But Netanyahu's fight plan is formidable, his red lines clear, and his blood is up.....Bibi is a tough nut to crack. ". Thus those that think that because Obama has won over health care reform that makes him stronger in the Middle East are misreading the Middle East and American politics. Th US Congress in the shape of Speaker Pelosi will always support Israel, the Congress will rebuff actions that have a negative effect on Israel. Also they will do that due to the political calender, the Democrats can not afford to lose the Israeli Lobby before the 2010 Mid Term Congressional Elections and Obama can not afford to lose them before the 2012 Presidential Election. The real worry is that Iran will misread the relationship between Israel and the USA. They could go for broke and try to get the bomb faster than most intelligence agencies think at the present. Thus Obama should have a picture of LBJ on his desk, it was not the Great Society that bought down LBJ it was Vietnam, lets hope Obama does not allow Iran to bring him down as it bought down President Carter.

Obama vs Israel

CBS News: Reports on the tense frozen relationship between the Obama Administration and Israel. As stated many writers have made the connection between Obama winning health care reform and his ability to bully Israel. There is no connection, just because POTUS could bully his Democrats in the House, he can be told to get lost by Israel due to the fact as shown of late the Israeli Government has a lot of support on the Hill. At a recent news event Speaker Pelosi made of point of stating that the Republicans and Democrats stood as one when it came to the support of Israel. Thus the Israeli PM can tell Obama to get lost, Obama could threaten to cut funds for Israeli security, a) Congress would rebuff him and also restate the money b) the Israeli lobby would would and could cause a political nightmare for Obama on the Hill. Its when a firm support of Israel like Ronald Reagan makes a threat as he did over Israeli action in Lebanon that Israeli Government have to take notice, also Israel has a Ace up its sleeve, it can bomb Iran at a time of its choosing, and place Obama in a tight political spot, support and lose the Middle East or be critical and lose the Presidency in the 2012. The Israeli Government can wait out President Obama, as can Russia, China and Iran.

USA and Russia - Nuclear Arms Deal

Fox News: Reports that the USA and Russia are close to a major nuclear arms deal, the treaty will be signed in the Czech Republic. Thus the Obama appeasement of Russia at the expense of the Czech Republic and Poland seems to have born some fruits. As your humble correspondent was a child of the Cold War the ending of the Cold War was a major achievement by Presidents Reagan and Gorbachev, thus its time that the USA and Russia really made deep cuts in their nuclear arsenals. But to quote the Gipper lets " Trust but Verify "*

* "Remarks on Signing the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, December 8, 1987 ".The Public Papers of President Ronald W. Reagan. Ronald Reagan Presidential Library. (accessed 24 March 2010)