Has Putin just stated the HIS justification for invading the Ukraine - Ukraine Crisis

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports the following in its 2.44pm post, " Russian president Vladimir Putin has said there has been no constructive response to Russia’s proposals on security and once again claimed there are “human rights violations” in the Donbass in eastern Ukraine.  "

Lets Get Real:

WHY is Putin playing the same record if he is going to withdraw troops, as stated the removal of troops from the borders of the Ukraine could have been done just to get some better tv news coverage before the new German Chancellor arrived.  It will be interesting to see what happens after the meeting between the Putin and the German Chancellor, will there be more troop withdrawals or does Russia invade.  One expects that the NSA in the US and GCHQ will be following communication traffic from the troops in the area.  The military satellites in orbit will be able to tell if the Russians are really removing troops and their equipment.  If the Russians leave the heavy kit it can be argued that the removal of troops is a faint, that the troops can return.  It seems that Putin will use human rights violations in East Ukraine as a reason to invade.  The Russian Bear doe not change that much, it still has sharp claws.

UK PM Johnson on RUSSIAN THREAT - Ukraine Crisis

Daily Mail: Reports " Boris warns Russia is still building FIELD HOSPITALS on Ukraine border as he urges West to stay 'tough and united' - saying Putin is giving 'mixed signals' on invasion and must order full troop withdrawal "

Lets Get Real:

The UK PM is right, the West should not celebrate YET, lets see if the Russians remove their new bases on the Russian border, around hundred thousand troops and air support.  Also will the Russians remove their troops from Belarus after the military games, also the troops in the Crimea have moved from the old bases to new bases on the border, that is a short distance to remove their troops.   Putin one doubts is going to go back to his bear cave, he has see that the West has reacted as one when it comes to the Ukraine, this might have been a surprise to him, he might have expected some links weak links in the Allies.  As has been noticed in his meetings with other World Leaders and his own Ministers, he keeps them at a great distance, one is starting to question the information he is getting and from who, his kitchen cabinet could be telling him what he want to HEAR, that is a problem.  Thus the West has to keep its eyes and ears open, the Russian Bear might RAW back to life and fast.

UK weary of Russian to remove troops from its border - Ukraine Crisis

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 1.31pm post the following, " Despite Russia's claims that it has pulled back some troops from the Ukrainian border, the UK government still seems concerned about an imminent attack....Foreign Secretary Liz Truss tweeted this out only a couple of hours ago, warning Russia could invade Ukraine "at any moment".

Lets Get Real:

We live in age of disinformation so the Russian Bear could be playing games, it has seen how UNITED the WEST has been and might decide it better to wait a while and keep its forces on the border and take action when it feels it can get away with it, that is a problem for the NATO Countries, do they still increase their troops presence at the front line or can they go back to their regular bases.  It might be that the Kremlin has not expected a united front, it might have thought that France or Germany might weaken, the Germans have a new Left wing Government and gets most of its gas from the Russians, the Biden Oval has made it clear that the German and Russian pipeline would not be allowed to operate if Russia invades the Ukraine.  The Russian Bear might give the impression of hibernation plan but its still has it claws out and its eyes set on the Ukraine.

Are the Russians really withdrawing Troops from Ukraine Border ? - Ukraine Crisis

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports in its 12.13pm post the following, " Jens Stoltenberg, the Nato secretary-general, is speaking to reporters in Brussels. "We haven't seen any de-escalation so far" by Russia on the borders with Ukraine, he says. "

Lets Get Real:

The Russians are saying that there drills have come to end and thus removing their troops, and Gipper would have said, TRUST but VERIFY, one is sure that NATO has the latest up to date satellite images from its member states, this could be a FAIT by Moscow, say they are moving then attack when the West is dealing with another crisis down the road, it could be Iran and its nuclear ambitions or China with Taiwan, the hundred and thirty thousand Soldiers on the Ukraine border are still there, if PUTIN was going to move them it would take some time, and it depends how far they are moving, are those Eastern Troops going back to the China border or are they staying close.  It will be interesting to see what Putin says at the presser with the new German Chancellor.  The CIA, MI6, NSA AND GCHQ in the UK needs to keeps it ears open, something does not feel right, Putin has given in to easily. 

Lets Get Real:

The Russian PLAN for INVASION of the UKRAINE - Biden Era

Daily Mail: Reports " The race to Kiev: Plans presented by Kremlin military chiefs show how 130,000 Russian forces will bid to topple Ukraine government in 'multi-axis' invasion from Belarus and Crimea before swarming in from the east "

Lets Get Real:

Thus if the Russian Bear is going to the fast route to Kiev will have to go through the Chernobyl Forbidden Zone, it is now a tourist attraction, will Putin really send his troops through the hazard  of radiation for a quick victory, will the Russians really throw missiles over the site, what if something goes wrong and a Russian missile hits Chernobyl itself, the Ukraine and the rest of the World and that includes Russia would feels the consequences for years, also PUITN will want to know how much of a insurgency will he face, he does not want another Afghanistan, it can be postulated that Biden and the West will support any insurgency, and as Iraq and Afghanistan has shown that can hurt the occupier.  The Kremlin must know that RUSSIAN TROOPS will die, that is why pits have been dug to taker the dead, the Kremlin does not want them to come home to their families.  One hopes Putin pulls back, but the with the forces around the border and more coming, one has doubts, has Putin LOST THE PLOT?.

The Western Military Posture in the Ukraine Crisis - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Also on Monday the US said it had sent eight more F-15 fighter jets to Poland to take part in Nato air patrols. The US earlier said an extra 3,000 soldiers would be sent to Poland in the next few days to boost Nato military strength in the region.  "

Lets Get Real:

If the US had moved the above forces to the Ukraine this crisis would not have started, the Russian Bear can smell weakness, and the West is weak, the Germans sent five thousand caps to the Ukraine, that is really going to help, the West in general is afraid of the economic consequences or blowback from the RUSSIAN SANCTIONS.  Also if Putin does invade, what happens NEXT, does the West support a Ukraine insurgency and how will the West support such move, by land or air, the Russians will say that is a ACT OF WAR and will try to stop any supplies, they remember Afghanistan during the Reagan Administration in the 1980s.  This endless shuttle diplomacy is getting samey, the usual talks but not a lot happening, the West in the shape of the US and the UK has sent lethal aid, but this will not counter massive forces of Russia.  Thus what is this blog's prediction, 6/10 that Putin gets worried and withdraws his troops, 3/10 Putin invades, 1/10 World War 3.  Lets hope this blog is right that Putin takes the concessions he has gained and goes back in to his bear cave. 

President Biden TALKS to PM Johnson of the UK - Ukraine Update

The White House: Reports on the readout of the call between President Biden and UK PM Johnson over the Ukraine Crisis, " President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. spoke today with Prime Minister Boris Johnson of the United Kingdom. The leaders discussed their recent diplomatic engagements with Ukraine and Russia. They also reviewed ongoing diplomatic and deterrence efforts in response to Russia’s continued military build-up on Ukraine’s borders and reaffirmed their support for Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. They discussed efforts to reinforce the defensive posture on NATO’s eastern flank and underlined the continued close coordination among Allies and partners, including on readiness to impose severe consequences on Russia should it choose further military escalation.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thu usual about the diplomatic moves by the Wests to talk Putin down from his military position, the actions the West will take in sanctions and the defence of Eastern European States in NATO.  ALL this is reactive, Putin from recent talks with his Foreign Minister, in a staged meeting, said to carry on with talks.  This could mean that he sees a way to divide Europe and get his concessions, that the Ukraine will never join NATO and that NATO will withdraw to its 1997 borders.  Thus far NATO has kept to its line, that it is open to Countries to decide if they want to joint NATO and will not withdraw them to 1997 borders.  The Ukraine Ambassador put his foot in to it, when he gave the impression that the Ukraine would consider not becoming part of NATO, the Ambassador retracted this statement and so did the Kiev Government.  Thus the War was supposed to start on Tuesday or Wednesday, so far just the Russians building up their forces.  At some point Putin will make a choice, some talks with NATO and the the US on the reduction of nuclear forces, and an agreement to military games or he goes to WAR with the Ukraine faces heavy sanctions.  The German Chancellor was in Kiev today, and stated his support for the Ukraine, he is Moscow tomorrow, one does wonder will he have to sit at the end of a long table with Putin.  At some point something has to give, the pressure could wreck the Ukraine economy and the West has been clear to its citizens, GET OUT.  If and when will PUTIN pull the trigger!! One feels stuck in a time loop, endless diplomacy going nowhere fast and Putin pulling the strings.