Obama's Final State of the Union Speech - Election 2016

The White House: President Obama's Final State of the Union Speech.

Lets Get Real:

The speech was one long attack on Donald Trump. the Trump Campaign must have loved it, it showed to the Republicans  voters who the Obama White House is really afraid off,  also it was  a legacy tour, POTUS stressed ObamaCare and the deal with Iran, after nearly eight years in the White House you would think there would be more, more meat on the bone when it comes to political success, but when you have a failed Presidency you do not have that much to show for it, your legacy depends who your successor is, thus one can expect the White House to do favours for the Hillary Clinton Campaign, of course HRC has to win the nomination first. 

The Sanders Surge - Election 2016

The New York Times: Reports in its 12.46pm the following post, " Senator Bernie Sanders is breaking away from Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire and is edging ahead of her in Iowa, according to new polls that show him solidifying the support of Democrats ahead the first two 2016 presidential primary election contests...The polls add to mounting pressure on Mrs. Clinton, who was seen for months as an overwhelming favorite in the race.."

Lets Get Real:

If this blog thought HRC would lose it would be supporting Senator Sanders against Donald Trump, that is not going to happen, although the Clintons could lose Iowa and New Hampshire they have  a firewall in the South, also one expects with the support of the Oval that African - Americans will come out big for HRC, also women is good for HRC.  The Clintons insiders  might think its 2008 again, its not, Senator Sanders is no President Obama.   Thus those that fund HRC should not worry, its the White House all the way with HRC.  

Biden Praises Sanders - Democratic Race

CNN - Politics: Reports " Vice President Joe Biden offered effusive praise for Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders Monday, lauding Hillary Clinton's chief rival for doing a "heck of a job" on the campaign trail and praising Sanders for offering an authentic voice on income inequality.

Lets Get Real:

The Oval might think that Sanders is the same path as them, they also know that if HRC is elected then the only President who will matter is Bill Clinton, once HRC has the nomination she will move to the right when it comes to foreign policy, the weakness of the Obama policies for the Middle East have been shown to the World.   Obama/Biden understand once HRC is the Oval they will have little influence in the Democratic Party or in D,C, the Clintons will be back, its pure political reality, no matter what they say it must hurt to know that their time in power is short!  There is always the next election and the election cycle, and that costs money, the Clintons will be running for 2nd term on their first day back in the White House. 

Is Assad on the way OUT in Syria? - Russian Move

Guardian: Reports " Putin hints that Russia could grant asylum to Assad.Russian president says it was more difficult to shelter whistleblower Edward Snowden than it would be to welcome Syrian leader "

Lets Get Real:

Is Putin worried he will be caught in his own version of Afghanistan, it can be stated that the failure of the USSR was one of the causes for its downfall.    Thus Putin might be looking for a way out, before there are major Russian loses in Syria, or Russians are caught by Daesh.   On the other hand it could just be Putin playing games, wanting to look moderate while keeping Assad in power, MR KGB is a tricky Russian bear. 

Terror in Turkey - Daesh Threat

BBC News: Reports " A suspected member of the Islamic State (IS) group has killed 10 people, at least nine of them German tourists, in a suicide bomb attack in the Turkish city of Istanbul, officials say. "

Lets Get Real:

As long as Daesh has bases in Syria, Iraq and Libya it is a threat to the West and to Western allies, the West under a new US President will have to do something, it can not wait for local forces to do the job, there is chance they are not up to it, the Iraqi Army has been having success of late, that does not mean that Daesh is on the way out, it needs US/UK Special Forces to take out the threat.    This means more boots on the ground, one does not want to think of Daesh with WMD, it would be  nightmare for the West and the Middle East.   Thus the West has to be ready for a ground war that will be bloody. 

PM Cameron and the EU Vote - EU Vote 2016

Guardian: Reports " David Cameron: I will stay as PM if I lose EU referendum..Prime minister says his authority rests on holding the vote on British membership, not winning it "

Lets Get Real:

I would think if David Cameron is on the losing side of the EU Referendum this year that he would have to go, for a PM to lose on such a major policy would undermine his authority as PM.  Also the PM has stated that he is not running in 2020, thus the Conservative Party will need a new leader before 2020, and to be fair a new leader would have to have some time to bed in, so if its out for UK, then one can argue that it will be out for David Cameron.   Of course the runners and riders are getting ready, a policy failure like the EU would push Cameron out bit early, that is the nature of the political beast, it does support losers. 

The UK and the EU - Referendum Vote

BBC News: Reports " David Cameron says he is "hopeful" of reaching a deal with European leaders in February that will allow him to hold the UK's EU referendum. "

Lets Get Real:

This is blog has not made its mind up about the referendum vote, lets see what kind of deal the PM brings back in February, either leaving or staying have their good and bad points, if the UK leaves we will be alone, therefore we will not have to follow EU policy on most things, that is good, but what happens if something goes wrong the economy or Jeremy Corby is elected in 2020, we are stuck in the UK.  Lets see the details of the deal first, then this blog will have an answer to the Euro question. One does hope that PM Cameron gets  a good enough deal, the UK voter are not great fans of the EU, it would not take much for the UK voter to vote to leave, one should never think one totally understands the voter, that was the mistake the pollsters  made with the 2015 election.