Tuesday, July 12, 2022

The 8 Candidates in the First Round of the Conservative Leadership Contest - After Brexit/Boris


Lets Get Real:

Thus a bit of shock, eight have gotten through, thus we have a real fight on the right of the Party, one would assume that the final 2 could be known by next Monday, as stated in this blog, it postulates that it will be down to Rishi Sunak and Lizz Truss, the members of the Conservative Party are to the right of the MPs, thus as Truss is seen as more of the Brexit supporter she might get the nod from the members.  Overnight there will be a lot of deal being done, to get the support of the candidates who fall out and do not reach the 30 need to get to the next round.  When it comes to Conservative leadership contest, MPs are as devious as your worst cynic, more fun to follow.

Conservative Government REJECTS Labour motion for No Confidence - After Brexit/ Boris


Lets Get Real:

This is the Labour Party playing games, any no confidence vote is in the Government, they want some attention, they know that the Conservative Party leadership will have the press attention for the next few weeks.  They wanted BORIS out on Thursday, that didn't happen, the Queen appoints the PM, the Queen must have a Prime Minister, this is the norm, the Labour Party have some cheek, their hatred of Boris has coloured their actions, the Labour Party know that if the NO Confidence is in the Government that Conservative MPs will vote for it, they do not want a election.  A very cheap trick by Labour. 

Those in the First Round Tomorrow for the Conservative Leadership - After Brexit / Boris


Lets Get Real:

The process is going the way this blog predicted, it will be Sunk and Truss in the final around.  Those on the right of the Party will have to place their support in Truss, the Foreign Secretary was a REAMINER in 2016, but has been converted to a firm BREXIT supporter, while Sunak has been accused for not supporting the opportunities of Brexit in Cabinet.  The NEXT PM has to be a firm Brexit supporter otherwise the membership will not support a iffy PM.  One hopes the Conservative MPs get that FACT, that they need the membership to knock on doors during elections, they need the NEXT PM to be the same page as the members up to a point. 

The Other Crisis, Iran - Biden Era


Lets Get Real:

This is what happens when rogue nations get to together, the Tehran Government is not sincere when it has talks with the US and the West about its nuclear development, the Tehran Regime is backing up Russia that is in a WAR with the West.  One does hope that the MOSSAD, the Israeli Intelligence network is keeping an eye on the nuclear sites of Iran, it can be postulated that by NOW, the Regime has enough nuclear material for a NUCLEAR BOMB.  POTUS is on this way to the Middle East, it is expected that Saudi Arabia and Israel will pressing for the Biden Oval to do SOMETHING, if the Democrats lose the US Congress in November, the only area that a President has most of the power is FOREIGN POLICY.  Let's look at the Donkey in the room, Biden is coming under pressure not to run in 2024, does he cave like LBJ in 1968 or does he do a Carter and run and lose.   Interesting developments in foreign policy. 

Monday, July 11, 2022

The RULES for the Conservative Leadership Contest - After Brexit/Boris


Lets Get Real:

This will cut down the number of candidates, some might find it a struggle to get to 20.  One can presume that the former Chancellor Sunak and the Foreign Secretary Truss will get through, but the rest, well depends who the MPs want to tie to their futures too.   As noted in my previous post the political knifes have come out already, it is reported that some campaign's have give the Labour Party dossiers in attempt to smear fellow campaigns.  Tuesday is going to be interesting, who gets through and what do the candidates who can not hit 20 nominations give their support to on Wednesday.  This blog is going to predict it will be the Foreign Secretary who finally gets the nod, of course this blog could be very WRONG, it happens. Keep your eyes on the news channels, they will get the results faster that print media. 

1922 Committee Rules for the Conservative Leadership - After Brexit/Boris


Lets Get Real:

As of NOW there are 11 candidates, it could go up one if the Home Secretary jumps in to the race.  The political knives are already out, ALLEGATIONS are being thrown about the various candidates, affairs, sexual deviance, personal finance and if people have paid their taxes in the UK.  The 1922 Committee needs a quick and fast contest, the number of nominations that a candidate needs should go up from 8 or even 36 it has been reported.  That will get rid of those candidates you have NEVER heard off, and those that even Conservative MPs do not know that well.  Then the race should be over by next week after various rounds, with the last candidate being out, in till we get to the final two and the vote by the Conservative members.  The favourite in the former Chancellor, but how will his tax increase go down with the members, then final candidate should be a FIRM BREXIT supporter, the Foreign Secretary is the most well known, but voted REMAIN in 2016, that could be a problem.  The fun has started. 

Saturday, July 09, 2022

The Knifes come out in the Conservative Leadership Contest - After Boris


Lets Get Real:

Thus there is no loves lost between the PM Boris and his present Chancellor and his former Chancellor, so expect the PM to try to make sure that the successor he wants gets the job.  Yes PM Boris is till there, to think that he will keep quite over the next few weeks  IS MAD, he will want to get those that bought him down.  Also the Government cannot just STOP everything that is going on, the Northern Ireland Protocol is going through the House of Commons, the economy needs a push in the right direction, thus there is a need for TAX CUTS.   The War in the Ukraine is still going on, one can expect that Putin will try something as he sees the US and the UK at weak at present, with Biden polls down the toilet and PM Boris on the way out.  In many respects democratic politics is a brutal business, you develop a career and by errors on your part or external event you find yourself in BIG TROUBLE and your career goes down the toilet.  Whatever you think of Boris, you will know who people are talking about, with others you might require more information.