The New York Times: Reports that the protests in Iran has gone beyond the rigged election to the foundation of the state, the NYT writes the following, " demonstrators have made it clear that their target is not just.......... the disputed election......but the entire foundation of Iran’s theocracy. " Thus we come to the nuclear issue, the Government of President Ahmadinejad needs the success of the bomb to keep it in power, thus Iran is in a race to get the bomb before the UN passes tough sanctions, if Ahmadinejad does not have the bomb and quick and the there are tough sanctions or a US Naval Blockade of Iran the regime could fall if it does not have the bomb. The question is will Obama follow through and enforce UN sanctions, what if Russia and China just wont go along, what will Obama do, he cant dither or Israel will take action, but can the Obama ego take being the same club as Bush 43. If Israel sees weak sanctions they will strike, Obama can dither but he will have to support Israel or the Congress will over rule him, at the end of the day the Israeli lobby is lot more powerful than the Chicago run West Wing. Lets be honest Obama cant use the race card on Israel. Harsh but true folks, just go and ask Bill Clinton. Thus 2010 should be quite interesting folks, advice to drivers, make sure you have enough petrol in your car, the price of crude Oil could go through the roof.
A look at the Politics of the United States and the UK. The Foreign Policies of both countries and how they behave in the International Community.
Friday, December 11, 2009
Time for sanctions on Iran - France
BBC News: Reports on the call by France for the UN to place sanctions on Iran due to its move to become a nuclear armed Power. As stated in previous post, the UK Telegraph reports that Iran is seeking special equipmenet from Taiwan that would allow it to be a nuclear armed power, also President Obama stated the following in his speech in Norway, " I -- like any head of state -- reserve the right to act unilaterally if necessary to defend my nation. .........But it is also incumbent upon all of us to insist that nations like Iran and North Korea do not game the system. Those who claim to respect international law cannot avert their eyes when those laws are flouted. Those who care for their own security cannot ignore the danger of an arms race in the Middle East or East Asia. Those who seek peace cannot stand idly by as nations arm themselves for nuclear war. " Thus it could be argued that if Iran goes not agree to the UN deal and the sanctions do not work this only leaves two options, the acceptance by the UN and USA that Iran will join the nuclear club or Israel and the USA will take military action. The clock is heading close to actions folks, Obama in his own way could be telling the world that 2010 could make the Cuban Missile Crisis look like happy hour. Lets hope that he is no JFK, Kennedy sold out Turkey in 1962, a NATO ally, lets hope Obama does not sell out Israel, his record is not great, just ask Poland and the Czech Republic. The question is does Iran really want a showdown, in a crisis the people of Iran would support the government, thus an end to the protests on the streets of Tehran, it will be interesting to see if Iran makes the same mistake as Iraq in 2003 and think the USA will not take action, its either USA or Israel, there is not third way folks, not in this case, interesting times ahead folks.
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Thursday, December 10, 2009
Iran and the Bomb Redux
Telegraph: Reports that Iran is using Taiwan as way to secure equipment that will allow it to become a nuclear armed power. The clock is ticking folks, either Obama or Israel will strike Iran, lets hope its Obama, that just might avoid a regional War in the Middle East, he might have to give back his Nobel Peace Prize, but it would still be the right decision.
USA in Afghanistan for the LONG HAUL - Obama
Fox News: Reports on comments by President Obama that the July 2011 withdrawal from Afghanistan will be conditions based. In 1963 before Dallas JFK withdrew around a thousand troops form Vietnam, the last time I looked events on the ground can change any War planning. Thus this is a wise move by POTUS, it gives him options, if the security is better in 2011 he can withdraw more troops but if the Taliban are still a threat it can be a very slow hand over to the Kabul Government. It can be postulated that the Taliban will try a Tet style offensive in the New Year as to place pressure on Obama, they will want to make Obama the next LBJ and 2011 to be 1968 all over again. Thus the next 18 months will really test President Obama and his policy in Afghanistan. Out of ten I give the Obama policy a 4.5% chance of being a success, and that's being very optimistic.
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36bn Cuts in UK Spending!
BBC News: Reports that the UK will need to cut thirty six billion to get out of the financial mess that the Labour Party has placed the country. Its an odd world folks, our brave Armed Forces and fighting and dying in Afghanistan, and it seems Labour will have to cut the defence spending, so that Labour can pander to the left, our soldiers will die or face injury due to the lack of equipment, a national disgrace folks, Mr Brown have you no SHAME.
The OTHER Farce - Health Care Reform
The Hill: Reports on the US Senate version for health care reform, how the public option would only come in under a trigger, if the private market failed to provide cover. This shows how moderate and conservative Democrats have no backbone, rather than making their own minds up they want to see how the Congressional Budge Office grade the cost, does not matter if costs a $1 or a Trillion, the cost will always go up, a public option will bankrupt the United States in the long term. If Democrats want to destroy a Super Power they are going down the right road, it was the economic decline that in the end saw off the Roman and British Empires, it seems that Democrats have forgotten that the USA was meant to be the New World, but it seems that the Democrats want to turn the USA in to a weak European power. This is the time to contact your Senator folks, tell him or her, this is deal breaker, if they vote for the Obama health care reform they will be out on their ears at the next election, make it clear, if they go down this road they cant come back and get re-elected.
Farce Day - Obama and the Nobel Peace Prize
Guardian: Reports on the anger by Norway that President Obama has a very limited visit to pick up his Nobel Peace Prize. Lets get honest here folks, POTUS should rather that Norway posted the Prize to him and even better if it got lost in the post. But it seems that President Obama cant help himself, has to be the STAR, thus he is going to collect his Nobel Peace Prize, perhaps Norway felt he had the best suit of the present world leaders, it was not for doing anything on the world stage. As the Guardian notes even Obama knows it is ironic that a President that has just sent another thirty thousand troops, YES TROOPS to Afghanistan is getting a Peace Prize. The real irony will be if Obama has to bomb Iran next year, what will the daft Nobel Committee do then, give him a second Nobel for his wisdom, have my doubts, the clip of Obama getting this prize will be used by Republicans and comedians for years to get under the Obama skin, now that is funny, very funny in dark sense of the term, the perfect pin to the hot air balloon that is the Obama ego.
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