The EU Budget and New Alliances - PT4

Daily Mail: Reports the following from the EU Summit after the no by the UK and Germany, " France, Italy, Spain and other southern economies who do best out of the budget were horrified at the new alliance between the pair.. ".

Lets Get Real:

What do France, Italy and Spain have in common, more debt than they can handle and a out of control welfare state, of course they are not going to support cuts in the EU Budget, they have major internal problems that are leading these Countries over a cliff with no safety net.    The UK and Germany in a tough time of austerity want a slim down EU, one that lives in the real world, the welfare state Countries expect the German and UK taxpayer to bail them OUT.     Those days are over folks, if you debase the Euro any more it becomes worthless, go ask the Weimar Germans what came NEXT.   Yes folks, the EU has to live within its means, not spend money it does not have, the good days are well and truly over, time to suck in that bloated welfare state gut and go for big run, and no stops for expensive lunches or very fine wine.    If the EU is not to become a JOKE, it has to grow or it will wither away, nothing last forever folks, we walk through time but we are not masters of time. 

Germany and the EU Budget - PT3

Guardian: Reports the following on the role of Germany at the EU Summit, " ..blocked all attempts to isolate the veto-wielding prime minister and so prevent a much worse bust-up. ".

Lets Get Real:

The simple reason folks, the German Government faces a tough election next year, the Berlin/Paris relationship is not as it was, the new French President from the view from Berlin wants to spend Germany tax payers money to fund his election promises, that is not going to happen.    The NEW French President and his election promises have meet the reality of the market, this fight to keep the French Farmers happy is about stopping the nose dive in the polls by President Hollande.   What has been interesting is the tone by the left win press, the BBC tone is that Cameron is ALONE, that is not true, the Guardian is shocked that a German politician is more worried about the German tax payer than then EU.   It is a funny old world folks. 

EU Budget - PT2

Telegraph: Reports the following from the EU Summit meeting, " ..David Cameron won German support in a row with France about his demands for more cuts in spending. ".

Lets Get Real:

This fight is a fight the PM Cameron wants, he could in 2015 go in to a general election that could also be a day to hold a referendum on the role of the UK in the EU.    If Cameron was VERY cynical he could force through a YES/NO referendum, then force the Labour Party to choose a side, the Conservatives would be for OUT, while the Labour Party would be split, it can be argued that Labour Leader Ed Miliband could not prevent Labour splits.  As Ed Mililband is pro EU, he would be forced to support the EU with UK voters, not a good idea.   Lets see if PM Cameron is that cynical, after all folks it would be democracy, the UK voter would have a final say on the role of the UK in the EU and would make sure that the Conservative Party WON the election. 

NO EU Budget Deal - EU

BBC News: Reports that EU leaders have not agreed a new EU Budget, and that the UK PM David Cameron stated that the deal on the table was not good enough. 

Lets Get Real:

That PM Cameron has fought the UK corner will go down well with the UK Conservative Party, even Liberal Democrats in the Coalition Government are supporting the UK resistance.   The Labour Party has stated that the PM is alone in EU, this is bit rich when you consider that the Labour Party with Conservative rebels defeated the Government in the House Commons on the issue of an increase in the EU Budget.   It is time that the MODERN UK voter was given a vote on the issue should the UK be part of the EU.   On the whole in the subjective, the UK should be OUT, free trade with the EU YES, not run by the EU.    

Iran and Gaza

Guardian: Reports the following from Iran, " ..elite Revolutionary Guards has publicly admitted that...supplied the Islamic militant group Hamas with the knowhow to develop Fajr-5 missiles ..". 

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks this why Israel will not let go of the Gaza blockade, should Israel have to strike Iran it does not need the worry that that Gaza will turn violent again with either rockets or technology supplied from Iran, thus Israel will expect that Egypt will enforce a military blockade of Gaza, if Egypt fails expect the WAR to start again soon, this is just a temporary true that suits all sides for the MOMENT.   Iran is playing a deadly game folks, it needs Gaza and Syria up in flames, this diverts Israel while Iran gets the bomb, the Israeli Cabinet has to make sure it does not get suckered in to a war on two fronts, with Gaza and Syria, one could see Iran forcing Syria to give some of its chemical weapons to Hamas, then they hit Israel, thus forcing Israel to act, thus more time for Tehran to get the bomb and have endless pointless talks with the Oval.   That is the game of the Middle East folks. 

Israel and the Gaza Blockade

Telegraph: Reports the following on the ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, " ..talks will begin to address Hamas's demand that Israel's blockade of Gaza be lifted. ".

Lets Get Real:

This is will NOT happen folks, the Israeli Cabinet with a WAR with Iran on the horizon can not afford for Tehran to re- supply its ally Hamas with longer missiles, the Israeli Intelligence service Mossad will be looking for Egypt to enforce a strict military blockade of Gaza.   The US and the West has made a long term mistake with Hamas, its is undercutting the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank.  Hamas is a terrorist group that has close links to Iran, its ONE objective is to destroy Israel, this is not Northern Ireland folks, you can not deal with these people, they seen any weakness by the West as a victory for their terror tactics, they will push again and Israel will have to take action, that is the nature of the Middle East folks, weakness get you killed, go ask Gaddafi what happens when you are seen as weak and loser, a bayonet in not a nice place.   The West and even Israel might regret not taking out Hamas in the long term, but Iran has to be the main target at the moment. 

Gaza Ceasefire - Middle East

BBC News: Reports that the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas is holding so far after the ceasefire agreement. 

Lets Get Real:

This is temporary deal folks, Hamas have taking a beating, their leaders wanted a deal as not to get killed by Israeli strikes, while Israel got what it wanted, no more rocket attacks from Gaza for a time, the operating world is TIME folks.   This deal with breakdown in a few weeks or months, the question from a strategic point is can Israel use that time to get ready for a strike on its major enemy Iran.   This deal is a blow for Iran, it had a hopped that a Israeli ground war in Gaza would lessen the chance of an Israeli strike on Tehran, thus expect Tehran to rearm Hamas with longer missiles that can hit further in to Israel, this will move will be a try to counter any Israeli strike on Iran.   The game is not over folks, it never ends.