Wednesday, July 15, 2015

Obama on Iran Deal - Historical Record



Lets Get Real:

On this issue lets see if the President is right, does hope overcome history, does Obama failures at the domestic front mean that by extension he is a failure on the international front.   There are so many things outside the control of the Oval Office, will Israel and Saudi Arabia take action if they think that the Iran nuclear deal is a farce, do Democrats on the whole want their names attached to this deal.  Lets recall that Neville Chamberlain was seen as a guilty man of the 1930s with his policy of appeasement,  Is that the fate of Obama and Kerry, only time will tell and the future is out there. 

Thursday, July 09, 2015

The US and Iran Talks - Iran Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The Tehran Regime can smell that the Obama Oval is weak, the Obama Administration wants a deal at any cost, otherwise the Obama Administration will look weak and out of touch with reality.   The State Department does not want another Munich, it does not want to be shown up as fools in a rush to get a deal.   The Russians due to Ukraine sanctions are playing games, they are pushing to arm Iran, while also wanting it seems a non nuclear Iran. One has to assume that Putin is pushing Tehran to be tough, the Russians are looking to undermine Obama and the US in Europe and the Middle East.    Thus further talks leading nowhere. 

The Greeks Fold - Greek Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The Greek crisis is OVER, or seems to be over, how many will bet that Greece never does the real reforms, that the issue will be thrown in the long grass and Germany will take a modest hair cut and the Athens Government will give the PR of doing real reform.  Typical EU fudge and down the road there will be more printing of money and others with their hands out.  At least the PR of Greece is OVER, thank God. 

Greece Lates - Greek Crisis

BBC News - Greece Live: Reports in its 8.50pm post via the WSJ that Greece will give its plan to the EU within the hour. 

Lets Get Real:

The Stock Market is up, they must know something that the rest of us do not, one can assume that a deal is in the works between the EU and Greece.   Lets see how much pain Germany is willing to take with hair cuts to the debts that Germans banks hold of Greek debts.   In return for the cut in debts one can expect that on the PR side the Greeks will say they will do reforms, of course once the news cycle moves the Greeks will do bugger all and it will be to late for the EU to demand reforms.   The next countries with their hands out will be Spain and Italy. 

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

The Master Chancellor and the Budget - UK Budget

Telegraph - The Budget Live: Reports in its 3.56pm post the following on the Chancellor and his Budget, " In coalition, he brazenly lifted the Lib Dem plan to raise income tax thresholds.
Lets Get Real:
Are we looking at the next PM, Chancellor Osborne produced a Budget that will make Conservatives happy, both on the domestic front and the international  front,  the Conservatives will become more seen as a Party of those that get up early and go to work, also makes sure that those on low wages have a living wage.   The Labour Party was ALL over the place, so was the BBC.   Thus good defeat of the left by the Chancellor. 

Greece Crisis - Greek Update


Lets Get Real:

This is a game, it really depends who has the upper hand in Europe, either France or Germany, the Greeks have promised reform before, and it never happens, the political system is corrupt, paying TAX is an extra option for the Greeks.   If the French push an agreement based on the above then the Euro is doomed, all the Greeks want is for the ECB to bring money.   They will never reform and the problem will come back with extra inflation, does anyone recall the Weimar Republic in Germany, if you print to much money the coinage itself is debased.   If the Euro is for the long term it has to have rules, that means juking the Greeks out, otherwise in the long term the Euro will fail. 

The Living Wage - UK Budget 2015

Lets Get Real:
The living wage policy was a shock for the Labour Party and one could tell the BBC was not ready for the Conservatives to steal the policy of Ed Miliband,  the Budget will be hard for the Labour Party to oppose, they stated in the General Election that they would take tough decisions, so which policy are Labour going to oppose, a living wage, higher tax threshold or the policy to spend more money on Defence as in line with NATO.   This is an excellent first Conservative Budget, it wrong foots the Labour Party and the left wing elite at the BBC, its a good policy and makes the Opposition look wrong and weak should they oppose the Budget.