Friday, January 23, 2015

Obama's Yemen Problem - The New War on Terror


Lets Get Real:

The fall of the Yemen President is a problem for the Oval Office, the Huthi Shiite Militia are supported by IRAN, thus on the one side the last government supported the use of US drones to strike Al Qaeda in Yemen, the question is will Iran carry on that support and what does that mean for the US and Iran nuclear talks.    The US needs to keep Al Qaeda on the ropes but IF Iran is in control it might use that to force the US to grant Tehran a better deal.  AS stated Israel is already worried that the US will sell them out, this added pressure on President Obama could help Israel with its message, that IF Obama does a bad deal with Tehran to keep the Yemen operation going what will he give away, the Obama Oval has two years to go, Israel has to take long the long view on the strategic front , they can outlast Obama and any sanctions he might place on Israel should Israel attack Iran over the objections  of the Oval Office.  In politics everything is connected. 

Greece OUT of the Euro - The Euro Crisis is BACK


Lets Get Real:

This is the time for decision for Greece, the view from Berlin, Germany is clear, the Greeks for getting life support on the economic front have to follow through with tough austerity, if Athens backs off this agenda, the Germans have made it clear that Greece will be OUT of the Euro.   The Germany taxpayer is not going to pay for the left wing promises of the Syriza Party in Greece.    The Greek people have to smell the coffee, there is only the German way or it is OUT of the Euro.   The Sundy ballot will be decision time for Greece and the EU. 

Israel vs. The Obama Oval - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real:

The Israeli PM and the US President do not get along, the main focus now is Iran, the Oval Office wants a BAD deal, any deal over no deal.    The  Oval Office knows that if there is no deal there is a chance that the US will have to take military action against Iran for its nuclear development.   The Israeli Government feels that a nuclear armed Iran is a THREAT to its existence, thus is placing pressure on the US not to take a bad deal.   The visit to the US Congress is the reaction the State of the Union address by the President were he stated that he would veto any new sanctions against Iran.   The Israeli Government is placing pressure on the US through the Israeli lobby to be tough with Iran, at present ALL it sees is weakness.    In this debate one has to give ones support for Israel, they feel under threat, and its their neighbourhood. 

Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Obama, Iran vs. Israel, the US Congress, Israeli Lobby - New War on Terror


Lets Get Real:

The Israeli Government has to place pressure on the Israeli lobby to use their political influence to move Democrats in to opposing the talks with Iran, IF the US Congress passes sanctions and the Oval Office places a VETO, then the Republicans in the Senate and the House will need to get Democratic support to ove rule a Oval Office veto.   The Democrats can not hand their political fate over to President Obama, he wants a BAD deal rather than no deal.   The Israeli Government and Lobby can outlast President Obama, the Democrats running for the Oval will need to distance their campaign from the foreign policy of Obama.  There are always elections and elections need money, and the Israeli lobby gives out millions to their candidates. 

VP Biden for President - That is Funny!


Lets Get Real:

The though that VP Biden is even thinking of running for President is a laugh, when this blogger saw the headline he laughed, and it takes a lot in politics to make this blogger laugh. There is more chance of my dead dog lucky, who was Welsh to be elected President before Biden, and Lucky never chased cats in his old age, just sniffed and walked long, that should have gotten a Nobel Peace Price.   Lets try to take this with some serious interest, NOT REALLY, but its, fun, the last VP to be elected President was Bush 41, but with the best will in the world, Obama is NO REAGAN.   One does not see the US voter wanting a third Obama term.    Just read and smile. 

Iraq and Tony Blair - The Iraq War


Lets Get Real:

The UK Civil Service is about to drop a brick on the legacy of Blair and Iraq but does not want to do it before the General Election, if before the Election it would be seen as an attack on the Labour Party, lets recall if Labour does not want too, that Blair was the Labour leader and Prime Minister.    The faults of the Iraq War will be placed on a political level, thus the civil service will be in the clear, their hands area always clean before placing a political dagger in the back of their nominal bosses.   One can assume that the Iraq report will be highly critical of Blair years in power and his political relationship with Bush 43.    It is always quiet before the dawn, and trouble is coming for the Blair Era Ministers. 

East Ukraine Crisis Update - New Cold War 2


Lets Get Real:

This is the ONE crisis that keeps this blogger awake, Putin pushes and pushes, and the West does nothing.   The Russian air force invades West air space and is causing problems and worry for the Baltic States.  IF the Russian rouble goes through the floor the Kremlin might decide that a crisis with the West is in its best interest, thus support Russian locals in the Baltic States, or cause problems on the Polish border.   Putin so far has taken the Western sanctions and caused worry, what if his job and life are on the line, Putin might go to far, this Russian bear has its claws out and is after what he can get, keep an eye on the Ukraine, this is a major developing story.