The REAL World and the Mid Term Elections

Telegraph: Reports on the problems facing President Obama in the 2010 Mid Term Elections, the article states the following, “ …Democrats are denying links to Obama, running away from their votes for health care reform and conveniently leaving their party affiliation off their election literature…”. Thus what will November 3rd look like for the Oval, well one can predict that the Oval will face a Republican House, it would not surprise this blog if the Republicans take between 60 and 65 Seats in the House, also depends on the wave in the Senate, the Republicans could try and persuade the Conservative Senators that the best way to keep their Seats is to move to the Republicans, do they want to defend ObamaCare in their Conservative States. The Oval will have to learn to be pragmatic, just like Reagan and Clinton the Obama Oval will have to cut deals or the Hill will be frozen after November 3rd. The question is can President Obama move to the centre, does have the flexibility to understand the result, or will he state that he just needs to explain health care one more time to thick Americans. Thus still keeping to my early prediction that Obama wont run in 2012 or will lose by 49 States, in many respects Obama echoes LBJ, he liked to be loved and when that love by the voter went he went in March 1968. Does Obama have the inner dude to change, or is so left he cant see beyond his own press statements.

Death in Afghanistan

MOD: Reports that a UK Soldier was killed on Saturday in Afghanistan, the Soldier was from the “ 101 (City of London ) Engineer Regiment (Explosive Ordnance Disposal) serving with the Counter-Improvised Explosive Device Task Force ”. Thus since 2001 the UK has lost 342 of its Armed Forces Personnel in Afghanistan, of that total it has lost 302 in combat operations and 40 due to illness, accidents or other incidents.

Mid Term Generic Congressional Polls

RCP: Reports on its Average of the generic congressional polls, the RCP has the following, Republicans 48.8% and the Democrats 42.8% a Republican lead of 6.0%. Thus the question that has to be asked will the present terror alert help President Obama, all things are political folks, depends how the President deals with this terror alert, if he gives the impression that he will deal with these terrorists cells in Yemen in a harsh manner that might help on the margins of close House Seats, any show of weakness of any kind and it could be a disaster, the next couple of hours and days will be interesting folks, this is really up to POTUS, the C in C of the US Armed Forces, does he have the ability to be a JFK or Reagan and not himself, is he just another weak Jimmy Carter

Leaving the Sinking Ship - House Democrats

Time: Reports that Liberal House Speaker Nancy Pelosi could retire if the Democrats lose the House to the Republicans in November. One has to wonder how many top Democrats will get jobs in the Obama White House, the poor foot soldiers who voted for ObamaCare will be in the cold of defeat and without a job. One has to wonder why Democrats don’t learn, are they just thick, the Clinton Presidency is not that long ago, in 1994 Bill Clinton lost the House after nearly half a Century of Democratic rule, the issue was health care reform, one would think that Democrats in the House would have learnt to say no to a young Democratic President. This blog has no sympathy for stupid politicians, they allowed themselves to be rolled by Obama/Pelosi who do not care about conservative and moderate Democrats, these Congressmen/women should have bailed on Obama but they allowed his extreme Liberal Agenda to pass, thus they pay the price, lets hope its cold losing.

9/11 and the Bush 43

Guardian: Reports on leaks from the Presidential memoir of Bush 43, the article reports Bush 43 thought his order to shoot down suspected hijacked planes had lead to the shooting down of Flight 93 on 9/11. These are the kind of tough decisions that only a President can take, in the case of Flight 93 the heroic passengers took on the terrorists which lead to their deaths but the saving of thousands of others in the Capitol. It will be interesting to see from the UK perspective how Tony Blair was seen in the Bush 43 Oval, how much influence did he have over Bush 43, also what the President thinks of the War in Afghanistan and the success in Iraq. It will be interesting to see how much influence Bush 41 had over his son, did they discuss Iraq War before 2003 invasion, cant wait to read this memoir.

The White House and the Terror Alert

Here is the White House reaction to the Terror Alert:

“ Last night, intelligence and law enforcement agencies discovered potential suspicious packages on two planes in transit to the United States. Based on close cooperation among U.S. government agencies and with our foreign allies and partners, authorities were able to identify and examine two suspicious packages, one in London and one in Dubai. Both of these packages originated from Yemen. As a result of security precautions triggered by this threat, the additional measures were taken regarding the flights at Newark Liberty and Philadelphia International Airports. The President was notified of a potential terrorist threat on Thursday night at 10:35, by John Brennan, Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counter-terrorism. The President directed U.S. intelligence and law enforcement agencies, and the Department of Homeland Security, to take steps to ensure the safety and security of the American people, and to determine whether these threats are a part of any additional terrorist plotting. The President has received regular updates from his national security team since he was alerted to the threat. ”

Lets hope President Obama is more connected to the process than he was during the Christmas bombing scare, that was not his finest hour!
　

Obama 44% Approval - Gallup

Gallup: Reports on its latest Poll on President Obama in the last weekend before the 2010 Mid Term Congressional Elections, this Friday President Obama has a 44% Approval rating, while 49% Disapprove of the Job performance of the 1st Dude. What ever possessed President Obama to go on to comedy chat show, can you see Ronald Reagan doing that, yes Richard Nixon appeared on a 60s comedy show but that was before he become President. The one thing that Politician must prevent is being laugh at, a comedy show can either go two ways, the audience will either laugh with you or at you, the clips show a arrogant President out of his depth, the US voter wants some regal aspects to the President, thus the charge thrown at Reagan by Liberals that Reagan was a bad PM but a great King, thus Kings don’t do comedy shows, Reagan was a natural wit so he could use comedy to undercut some of the attacks on him, Obama does not take well to critical comment, before Obama went to the Studio the Press Secretary should have made sure the Office of the President was respected, thus no dude jokes, does not help President Obama, if Obama wants a second term he should not look at Bill Clinton who won with 49% vote in 1996 but Reagan who won with 59%. Obama is NO Liberal Reagan, he is just a Chicago dude who got lucky in 2008 sad to say.