US Position on the Ukraine and Russian Tensions - Biden Era

White House: Presser by Senior Administration Official, view on US actions on Russian reactions to the Ukraine, " President Biden laid out two paths, two aspects of the U.S. approach that will really depend on Russia’s actions in the period ahead.  One is a path of diplomacy leading toward a de-escalation of the situation, and the other is a path that’s more focused on deterrence, including serious costs and consequences should Russia choose to proceed with a further invasion of Ukraine.  And those costs include economic costs, include adjustments and augmentations of NATO force posture in Allied countries, and include additional assistance to Ukraine to enable it to further defend itself and its territory, as we’ve laid out previously.  "

Lets Get Real:

It can be postulated that Russia has blinked, the Russians asked for the CALL, they might feel uneasy with the FACT that the West can bring the Russian economy to its knees and that the Russian people might not want more Western sanctions, however much PR that Putin creates for himself.  There are always ways to get information in this modern age, its not the OLD USSR, were people had only access to the TV and Radio.  It might be that Biden has made it CLEAR that the US will supply the Ukraine with ALL it needs defend itself, that means ARMS, MILITARY EQUIPMENT, AIR TO AIR MISSILES, GROUND DEFENCES, also the US could give the latest Satellites information to the Kiev Government.   On the other hand Putin could be waiting for the JANUARY talks to fail and then go in to the Ukraine, he would be showing that he tried everything before invading.  Interesting MONTH ahead. 

What the US will do if Russia INVADES the UKRAINE - Biden Era

White House: A Presser with a Senior Administration Official, the Official stated what the US would do should Russia invade the Ukraine, " We have coordinated with our allies to impose severe sanctions on the Russian economy and financial system, far beyond what was implemented in 2014.. We have made plans to reinforce NATO’s force posture in Allied states in the event of a further invasion, which would destabilize the security situation in Europe and demand adjustments to NATO forces and capabilities, especially on the eastern flank...And we are prepared to provide Ukraine with further assistance to defend its territory and respond to a potential Russian occupation should a further invasion proceed in the coming weeks.  "

Lets Get Real:

Its the last bit that is interesting, the US has stated for some time that a great economic cost would befall Russia if it invaded the Ukraine, the statement that the US would supply the Ukraine is interesting, that would mean military kit, missiles, satellite information on Russian movements in the Ukraine, even supporting   Insurgence operations against the Russian, that was the policy of the Reagan Administration in the 1980s, this forced the Russians out of Afghanistan in 1989.  IF Putin invades and he fails, this could mean the end of his oppressive regime in Russia.  There would be thousands of DEATHS, the people of the Ukraine would suffer and Putin would face having to deal with thousands of Russian body bags, does Putin really want to make the same mistake as the USSR did when it invaded Afghanistan in 1979, that was one of the factors that lead to the fall of the USSR in 1991.  As stated it will be interesting to hear the US readout of the call and also the Russian one, let's see if they match up and who blinked. 

New Call between President Biden and President Putin of Russia - Biden Era

White House: Statement by the NSC Spokesperson on the call between Presidents Biden and Putin, " President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. will hold a phone call with President Vladimir Putin of Russia on Thursday, December 30, 2021 to discuss a range of topics, including upcoming diplomatic engagements with Russia....The Biden Administration continues to engage in extensive diplomacy with our European Allies and partners, consulting and coordinating on a common approach in response to Russia’s military build-up on the border with Ukraine. President Biden has spoken with leaders across Europe, and Biden Administration officials have engaged multilaterally with NATO, the EU, and the OSCE. Officials have also held numerous consultations with their counterparts, including those from eastern flank countries bilaterally and in the B9 format as well as Ukraine.  "

Lets Get Real:

This could be Putin wanting a diplomatic face saving way to get off the ramp he has created and his officials have talked about a new Cuban Missile Crisis, or it could be Putin wanting to place more pressure on the Biden Oval.  The Putin DEMANDS cannot be met, he wants a LEGAL TREATY that prevents the Ukraine becoming part of NATO in the future, also that Eastern States in NATO have no NATO troops or equipment on their soil.  These demands have to get a firm NO or the security structure of Western Europe falls apart and gives Russia back its influence over the Baltic States and Poland and other Eastern States.  It will be interesting to hear the readout of the talks, Biden cannot afford to be seen to appease Putin in anyway, or he will become the new Neville Chamberlain, and it will be compared to Munich 1938.  One does wonder how far Putin is willing to push this, does he really want to risk WW3 over the Ukraine, as the US would be forced to support and supply the Ukraine.  What is the pay off or Putin, has he gone MAD, or is he trying to buy popularity with the Russian people, any invasion of the Ukraine would be bloody and it would cost Russia and the West.

No Russian INVASION of the Ukraine before 10 January 2021 - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " US and Russia to hold talks amid Ukraine tensions...Deal reached for talks on 10 January that are likely to be followed by discussions with Nato  "

Lets Get Real:

Is the off ramp that Putin will use as to why he has not invaded the Ukraine, the Biden Oval cannot give Russia a VETO of who joins NATO and where NATO forces are placed.  Thus Putin will come away empty handed, this will not look and should hit his poll ratings, not that Putin cares about the polls, the whole Russian system is now SET UP for the protection of Putin and his friends.  There is a fake Democracy, Putin and his Party always wins.  The reason that Biden cannot appease, even if he wants too is the fact that he also faces a problem with Iran and its nuclear ambition, after Afghanistan the Biden Oval needs to look strong, for the poll numbers of Biden and to face rogue nations like IRAN.  Of course all this TALK about diplomacy could be a faint by the Kremlin, Russia might invade in the New Year, before the talks, if that happens the US will cancel the talks, thus for the Kremlin's point view it would be better to invade after the 10th and blame the West and Biden. 

Vienna Talks RESUME - US vs. Iran - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " Iran nuclear deal: eighth round of talks begins in Vienna...Tehran is keen to verify US sanctions have genuinely been lifted  "

Lets Get Real:

This is Tehran slow marching the process, they will agree to deal and then go back on them or want to change them, the Tehran Government has agreed with the IAEA for cameras to be replaced at their nuclear facilities but are blocking the pictures being sent to the IAEA, the Tehran Government wants to get in to the weeds, divert the West, while it carries on making nuclear material, Biden already has a crisis brewing in the Ukraine with Russia, and longer term problem with China over Taiwan, the Iran Regime it can be postulated think that Biden is WEAK and thus will appease them, the real threat to this deception is Israel, if the Israeli Intelligence network, the MOSSAD, gets wind that Iran is close or already has the nuclear material for the BOMB, they will attack, as stated by this blog they have form on this, with IRAQ in 1981 and Syria in 2007.  Also Biden after Afghanistan and the tensions with Russia, might want to show that he will ACT, and Iran would be perfect example to Russia and China that when the bell tolls Biden will give the ORDER. Otherwise the Mid Terms next year might be a disaster, everything is political, the American voter never forgives WEAK President, just ask JIMMY CARTER.  Troubling times ahead for the World as the old China saying goes, May you live in interesting times!

Is the Ukraine a NEW Cuban Missile Crisis ? - Biden Era

Daily Mail: Reports " The West is facing a new Cuban missile crisis unless it caves in to Putin over his NATO demands 'here and now', Moscow warns as Putin stages fresh war games "

Lets Get Real:

One does wonder if Putin understand the history of the Cuban Missile or understands to much, in 1962 it looked like Khrushchev had blinked when the US found nuclear missiles in Cuba, 90 miles for US shores, in fact Kennedy and Khrushchev had one a SECRET DEAL, the USSR would take it missiles out of Cuba, while the US would promise not to invade, the secret deal was that Kennedy would take NATO nuclear missiles out of Turkey six months after, but the secret deal has to remain secret and Kennedy Oval stated that if it came out the Kennedy Oval would say it was a lie.  Thus the Kennedys had their PR victory, while in private the USSR got its missiles out of Turkey.  2021/2 is not 1962, there can be no secret deals, the Russians have blocked that by stating that there has to be a legal agreement on the deal, that Ukraine will not join NATO and NATO troops would be withdrawn from Easter Europe States in NATO.  These can never be agreed to, it would make NATO pointless, it all works, a attack on one is a attack on all, that what keeps the Russian paws off the Baltic States and protects Poland and other East Europe States.  Thus Biden cannot afford to LOSE the Ukraine, the Democrats would be called appeasers, it would be called another Munich, 1938, while Putin would look weak if he blinked on the THREAT. So how does this work out, any talks will be short with the Russians, there demands will get a NO, and then what will Putin DO, invade the Ukraine, the American voters would force the Biden Oval to supply the Ukraine people, thus you run the risk of another Cuban Missile Crisis or WORSE.  Yes folks Dec Con1, all out WAR.  Thus if Biden was more nimble, he should send in the 101st Air Born, on a surprise New Year trip to the Ukraine, and backed up by NUCLEAR FORCES if needed.  Does Putin want to be the LAST PRESIDENT of Russia, do the Russian people want to suffer all out war with the WEST.  But then Biden is not that nimble, so what then, that is the question. 

Did the Russians JUST BLINK over the Ukraine ? - Biden Era

The Hill: Reports " On Saturday, Reuters reported that more than 10,000 Russian troops were leaving regions near Ukraine and returning to permanent bases. The news service cited the Interfax news agency, which quoted the Russian military.  "

Lets Get Real:

This COULD be true, this would mean either Putin is waiting for the January talks to FAIL, the West cannot agree to demands, that the Ukraine can never join NATO and the removal of NATO forces from Easter Europe States in NATO.  Then invade by claiming to the Russian people that he has tried and this is the only option left to him OR this could be a faint, troops removed from the BORDER can always be returned to the border.  This blog wants to see Independent reporting of these troops removal, not the Russian Military.  Also it has to thought possible that Putin has blinked, aka Russians in 1962, that was the impression, before it was discovered decades later that President Kennedy had his brother Robert F. Kennedy inform the Russian Ambassador that the missiles in Turkey would be removed six months later, but it would be a secret and if it came out the US would say it was not true.  Later the USSR tried to give a letter to the President that had the plan written out, the Oval refused to take it. This time Biden cannot make such a DEAL, Putin has demanded a legal TREATY on the issue, in other words Biden might want to do a Munich, but Putin has tied his hands.  One is not totally convinced that Putin will not take action over the Holiday period, never trust a KGB MAN, as Biden said to his face, he does not think that PUTIN has a soul. 

Happy Christmas and Happy New Year

Happy Christmas and Happy New Year 

Let there be Peace and Goodwill towards ALL Men

Let's forgive the Past 

Celebrate Christ and the A NEW YEAR 

US vs. Iran Talks in Vienna - Biden Era

CNN: Reports " Talks to resurrect the 2015 Iran nuclear deal will restart on Monday after a brief and "disappointing" pause.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Tehran is playing the US and the West, the talks on show in Vienna is an attempt to gain time so they can develop their nuclear facilities and hide them from the West, last week the agreed to the IAEA placing new cameras in their nuclear facilities but would block them from seeing what is going on, they have also " LOST " previous footage, in other words they have stole and destroyed it as it would show that Iran is going for a nuclear bomb.   The Tehran Regime through 24/7 news knows that POTUS has to deal with Russia over the Ukraine, also there is World pandemic of Covid -19.  The unknown FACTOR is Israel, how long will they wait, when will the intelligence of Israel the Mossad get the information that Iran is within hours or days of getting the BOMB.  The Government in Jerusalem will not wait for Biden to be happy about the action, they will take the action and expect Biden to support them, the Israeli Government has form on this, in 1981 and 2007.  Also there are the Mid Terms in the US, the Biden Oval will not want to be seen as being critical of Israel, no matter what Europe thinks.  Also with Biden's poll rating in the toilet, he cannot be picky as to what he likes or does not like, should Israel take action.  That could be a lot closer than we think. 

The REAL Putin, Russia on the Ukraine - Update 2 - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports " Russia doesn't want conflict with Ukraine but the West must provide 'unconditional security guarantees', Putin says.. Speaking at his annual news conference, Mr Putin said NATO had "fooled" Russia by saying it would not expand eastwards across Europe in an agreement made in 1990 - adding that since then the alliance had carried out "five waves of expansion" that went against that guarantee. "

Lets Get Real:

This is the REAL PUTIN, he wants to roll back the gains of the end of the Cold War and the dissolution of the USSR, next he will want to invade the BALTIC STATES, this is the Munich 1938 moment for the WEST, the US and the West should support Ukraine, through economic and military means, if the Ukraine is to stand up to Russia it needs fast amounts of military equipment and a ready supply, as noted in previous post the Ukraine and Russia have agreed to restore a 2020 Ceasefire, this could be an illusion for the West to take it eyes off the border tensions between the Ukraine and Russia, Putin could be thinking of a quick invasion and taking the WHOLE of the Ukraine, he has made numerous escalating remarks, if he backs down he could face his poll numbers going down ( not that this blog trust the polls in the Russia, they are on the whole controlled by Putin or his friends ).   The WEST has to be on alert for that 3am call with the news that Russians Tanks have entered East Ukraine.  

Ukraine - Russia Ceasefire - Update - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Russia and Ukraine have agreed to restore a 2020 ceasefire deal in eastern Ukraine, prompting a top official in Kyiv to say that the coming holidays "should be peaceful". "

Lets Get Real:

Those could be famous LAST WORDS, if the Russians invade on Christmas Eve, it should be noted that Putin not allowed Christmas off for his Soldiers, he has given them New Year's Eve, that could mean that he expects a quick victory if he invades the Ukraine, if that happens, he has two options, the East Ukraine, and claim its part of Russia or go for the whole of the Ukraine, it is reported that he has one hundred and twenty thousand soldiers on the border of Ukraine and is backing them up, this blog would not take its eye off the Russians on the Ukraine border, Putin could invade on Christmas Eve, recall the Ukraine is a few hours ahead of the US and the UK.  One hopes the US President and the UK Prime Minister will be alert and ready to take action.  Of course one also hopes that the Russians keep their WORD, this blog will always be wary of the Russian Bear, it will take the your food hamper ( the Ukraine ) when your eating your turkey. 

The NEW THREAT from President Putin - Ukraine vs. Russia - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " Putin warns of possible military response over ‘aggressive’ Nato...Russian leader’s speech to top commanders comes as tensions grow with the west over Ukraine "

Lets Get Real:

The way PUTIN is going he will have to invade the Ukraine or he will be seen as WEAK at home, the problem with invading the Ukraine is that Putin cannot control the outcome, it can be postulated that the Ukraine people will not just walk over, they will fight, there will be thousands of deaths, on both sides, Putin will not be able to hide this, as he has done with the Russian action in East Ukraine.  There will be Ukraine refugees going to the BORDER, will they be allowed through, of course the US will have to do something, Biden cannot just sit in the Oval Office and DO NOTHING, he will be forced by pressure on the Hill to support the Kiev Government with military support, in this case equipment, but what happens if a Russia misfires and hits a NATO Country or NATO planes, one cannot game that out.  The WEST will have to bring the Russian Economy to its knees as to follow through with its harsh economic threats, that could force Russia in to more drastic action, the Baltic States could come under threat, also Poland, is Putin willing to cross that line.   This is why appeasing Putin is a very BAD IDEA, you just have to understand the lessons of Munich 1938, never give a tyrant a inch, they will take more.  As noted in the article Putin is creating a fake impression that the West is about attack Russia, the POOR Russian people have know way of knowing the TRUTH.  One expects a Russia invasion of Christmas Eve, one hopes one it WRONG. 

US and Iran Talks - Vienna Update - Biden Era

CNN - Politics: Reports " US Special Envoy for Iran warns of 'escalating crisis' if talks fail to revive Iran nuclear deal "

Lets Get Real:

The Tehran Regime is playing the Biden Oval, it can see that Biden has trouble on the domestic front with with COVID - 19 and abroad with the THREAT from Russia on the Ukraine.  The Tehran just needs a few weeks to get the BOMB, after that it will be a great risk to bomb them, the Biden Oval will also have to deal with the FACT that Israel will take military action if they think through MOSSAD they discover that Iran is a few hours or days from the bomb.  The Biden Oval has to make it CLEAR to Iran, they have been given enough time, at some point the Iran Nuclear Deal is DEAD and the US and its Allies will take action to prevent a nuclear armed Iran.   Let's recall Iran has missile technology already, they have to learn or buy the information from North Korea on how to place nuclear material in a missile.  The most dreadful nightmare for Biden is been woken with the news that the Russians have invaded the Ukraine and that Iran has gone nuclear.  How many people think that Biden is up to the job?

How NOT to Treat a US Senator, who gives you the Majority - Biden Era

The Hill: Reports " Democrats set to play hardball with Manchin "

Lets Get Real:

This is a very BAD IDEA by the Democratic Leaders of the US Senate, if you force Manchin to vote NO on numerous times just to appease the Democratic Base, he could just leave and join the Republicans, he would get a better reception and would treat the Democrats a lesson, never appease a extreme base, the Twitter World is not the universe of REAL VOTERS, its just people listening to other people agree with them, and in this case it is true, the LIBERALS in the Democratic Party CANNOT count, well give the American Education System that is a shock, Manchin allows the Democrats to control the US Senate and get their nominees through from Judges to Cabinet appointments and other posts, without Manchin they would NOT have that power.  As a canny operator, Manchin has give the Biden OVAL a OUT, he stated that it was the White House Staff who were out of order, and the White House after its ill tempered statement is trying to roll back the attack of the White House, the problem is that the liberal elite media, think that AOC and her Squad are the real leaders of the Democratic Party and Nancy Pelosi the House Speaker has lost the ability to count, how many times can see get her moderates to pass things if he only dies in the Senate, the Democrats only have a 3 to 4 seat majority in the House, those members will be looking at re-election next year, they do not want to be seen as trench Fodder for LIBERL DEMORATS from safe seats.  It is time the moderates in the House and Senate drew in their leadership, the main message should be, TIME TO PLAY NICE with Manchin, we need him MORE that he needs us. 

Why Senator Manchin said NO to Biden Agenda - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports on remarks by Senator Manchin on why he said No to the Biden Domestic Agenda, " "I cannot take that risk with a staggering debt of more than $29tn and inflation taxes that are real and harmful to every hard-working American at the gasoline pumps, grocery stores and utility bills with no end in sight," Mr Manchin said.  "

Lets Get Real:

FDR and LBJ will be turning in their graves, Biden was trying even what they never pushed for, welfare from birth to death, the mistake Biden did was not understand or could not recall that FDR and LBJ had big majorities in the House and Senate and LBJ only got his civil rights bill passed with the HELP of Republicans as the Democratic Party then had right wing Democrats as part of its majority.   It has been interesting to watch CNN this morning, they had every LIBERAL on, these Liberals cannot count either, the Democratic Leadership should go to Senator Manchin and tell him to write up a bill, that he likes and support, and also get some moderate Republicans in to the talks, one could see Senator Romney might vote for it, if he can fine tune it, and there might be others, you have to ask people for their vote, not assume its not there or it will be a NO.  The Elite Media Press will want the Biden White House to make life hard for Manchin, let's recall the Democrats only have the majority with Manchin, without Manchin its OVER.  Liberals needs to learn to COUNT.

President Biden vs. " President " Manchin - Domestic Agenda - Biden Era

 This will annoy the hell out of Senator Manchin... This is the way piss off a US Senator that you need!

The White House: The following a statement by the White House Press Secretary, " Senator Manchin’s comments this morning on FOX are at odds with his discussions this week with the President, with White House staff, and with his own public utterances. Weeks ago, Senator Manchin committed to the President, at his home in Wilmington, to support the Build Back Better framework that the President then subsequently announced. Senator Manchin pledged repeatedly to negotiate on finalizing that framework “in good faith.”.....On Tuesday of this week, Senator Manchin came to the White House and submitted—to the President, in person, directly—a written outline for a Build Back Better bill that was the same size and scope as the President’s framework, and covered many of the same priorities. While that framework was missing key priorities, we believed it could lead to a compromise acceptable to all. Senator Manchin promised to continue conversations in the days ahead, and to work with us to reach that common ground. If his comments on FOX and written statement indicate an end to that effort, they represent a sudden and inexplicable reversal in his position, and a breach of his commitments to the President and the Senator’s colleagues in the House and Senate....Just as Senator Manchin reversed his position on Build Back Better this morning, we will continue to press him to see if he will reverse his position yet again, to honor his prior commitments and be true to his word....We are proud of what we have gotten done in 2021: the American Rescue Plan, the fastest decrease in unemployment in U.S. history, the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, over 200 million Americans vaccinated, schools reopened, the fastest rollout of vaccines to children anywhere in the world, and historic appointments to the Federal judiciary....."

Lets Get Real:

One hopes this was done by the Press Secretary and not the Oval, as a Senator for decades Biden must know that he could lose Manchin to the Republicans and then he loses the US Senate, one does not mend bridges or try to get someone to change their mind if you are calling their word no good and a liar.  The Biden Oval should put out another statement, saying the Press Secretary had gone rogue and this was not the view of Biden Oval.  Otherwise Manchin could be a pain in the arse for Biden and other policies.  One has to say that Manchin has been very true to his word, he has never liked the BBB, and he has had regular meetings with POTUS, at the end of the day he went on FOX NEWS, this is a DIRECT MESSAGE to the Biden Oval, try something else!  One can say LBJ and Reagan would have done a better job, so far Biden does not look great and is nowhere near a good or great President as were LBJ on the domestic front, also Reagan.  Also Reagan could keep his troops in line, Biden one presumes has known Manchin for Years, is he that bad at reading people.  To clear the above he needs a new Press Secretary.

Biden's DOMESTIC AGENDA DOA in the SENATE - Senator Manchin is a NO - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " Joe Manchin tells Fox News he’s a ‘no’ on Build Back Better in huge blow for Biden...$1.75tn domestic spending plan all but dead in the water....President said talks with West Virginia senator would go on  "

Lets Get Real:

In less Senator Manchin has a conversion in the Christmas Period a MAJOR PART of the Biden is DEAD ON THE HILL.   The Biden package was to much for Manchin, he comes from a STATE that voted by 40% for Trump, I know how I would vote in such a case. CNN had that old Socialist Senator Sanders on, it would be fun to see a Vermont Liberal go to WEST VIRGINA, you would be need the national  guard around him to prevent the eggs being thrown at him!!  Lets recall Senator Sanders on his honeymoon took his new bride to the USSR, he has never come back, that is the OLD JOKE.  One can cannot even call Sanders a Democrat, he has never joined the Democrats, he has moved the Democratic Party to the LEFT, the same path as the House Squad, that should tell you enough about his direction.  The last face the Democrats would want on this issue is his, but then its CNN, they LOST THE PLOT some time ago, it will be interesting how they spin this, and they will spin it, the Party line will be that the US has low unemployment, not seen in 40 years, and Biden passed a infrastructure bill, something the last few Presidents have not done.  But what worries the voter, 1. PANDEMIC, 2. inflation, that hurts in the pocket book.   This is WHY Presidents move to foreign policy, they have more freedom, time for Biden to be TOUGH with Putin of Russia and Iran.  

Lord Frost has frosted himself - Resignation - After Brexit

Mail on Sunday: Reports " MAIL ON SUNDAY EXCLUSIVE: Brexit minister Lord Frost walks out on Boris - Panic in No10 as PM's key ally quits, saying he's 'disillusioned' with the Government's Covid Plan B restrictions, vaccine passports, tax hikes and the cost of Net Zero green agenda "

Lets Get Real:

Could this be the start of the end of PM Boris, he has not had a great few weeks, from the scandal of the Christmas Parities in 2020, the attempt to save a political wounded MP failed, thus having to fight a by - election, in a Seat that has been Conservative for two hundred years, then to lose it to the Liberal Democrats.   Also we have the presence of COVID - 19 to deal with, this wave seems to be doing the same at the Delta mutation last year, the Government has not told Pubs to close, they might as well as, the advice to be wary of how many people you meet and to be selective when you go out.  Thus the Queen cancelled her pre Christmas, this was following the trend of the public who have cancelled events, and thus hitting bars and restaurants.  Lord Frost had to deal with the Northern Ireland Protocol, it seems that the PM would not fight for a new protocol to have no reference to the ECJ, that was something that Europe would not budge on.  Thus Brexit brings down a good Minister, the HARD Brexit supporters in the House of Commons will need to select a candidate who really supports Brexit in case the PM throws in the towel, it cant be Lord Frost as he is in the House of Lords.  The PM was a media darling, but COVID - 19 pandemic needs the appearance of a efficient PM, not one that sees the bright side of life and a Conservative PM who will cut TAXES. 

Vienna Update - US vs. Iran on Nuclear Deal - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " Efforts to save Iran nuclear deal ‘reaching the end of the road’...European negotiators issue warning as talks adjourned to allow Iranian envoy to return for consultation  "

Lets Get Real:

Iran is playing the US and the West, the new hardliner President is using this time to build up nuclear material for a bomb, one would not be surprised or shocked if the Tehran Government has paid the North Koreans for information on developing their own bomb.  The Tehran Regime has seen two examples of what happens when a country gives up its nuclear arsenal and what happens when a Country has the BOMB.  The first example is the Ukraine, it gave up its nuclear arsenal after the FALL of the USSR, the missiles went to Russia, now the Kremlin is about to invade the Ukraine, if Kiev has kept its missile this would not be happening.  On the other hand there is North Korea who has built a nuclear arsenal and is seen as a NUCLEAR POWER, thus the US cannot strike North Korea after its numerous breaks of UN resolutions.   The Tehran Regime just wants the TIME to build its BOMB, if this happens then Biden is TOAST in political terms, he will not have a choice, he would have to take action for face losing big time in 2024.  Thus the Ukraine border and Iran could become HOT over the New Year. 

The Russian BUILD UP on the Ukraine BORDER - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports " Videos and imagery depicting new arms belonging to different military units transiting towards bases close to the Ukrainian border are being shared by open source-researchers almost daily.  "

Lets Get Real:

The way Putin is going he will have to invade Ukraine or look WEAK to the Russian people, he is making demands of the West that NO US President could even think of doing, this is not 1962 and JFK selling out Turkey over the Cuban Missiles in Cuba, the Kremlin wants a legal TREATY that would prevent the Ukraine joining NATO or for the Easter Countries in NATO to have any NATO soldiers or equipment on their soil.  Any talks with PUTIN would have to have NATO and Allied Countries represented at such a meeting, this would include the Ukraine, that is why Putin just wants a meeting between himself and Biden.  This blog thought Putin was just playing gamers, the Russia Army has been told it will not have Christmas off, that will be in the NEW YEAR, the Russian New Year is a few weeks after the Western New Year.   Thus it can be postulated that Putin really means to invade the Ukraine, even take the whole of the Ukraine and not just the EASTER Russian part.  One hopes Biden is up to the job, or the World might be in REAL TROUBLE in few weeks.

Putin = Hitler, Latest Demands by the Kremlin - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Russia Ukraine: Moscow lists demands for defusing Ukraine tensions "

Lets Get Real:

As the article notes the Russians are asking for concessions that cannot be given by ANY Wester Leader without charges of APPEASMENT being thrown up and being compared to Neville Chamberlain, his name still carries a stigma, it took some effort to get the House of Commons to agree to calling a TEA ROOM after him, no leader wants to be on the same page as appeasement, and POTUS at the present time is very down in the polls and behind closed doors the Democrats are suggesting he wont run in  2024 and who should be the nominee, after Afghanistan and his domestic agenda being stalled in the US Senate, the Biden Era might be very short, of course who is going to tell him, which men/women in grey suits will tell Biden it is OVER.  The Biden mantle would be handed to VP Harris, her poll ratings are even WORSE, so the Democrats will be looking for a new LEADER.  Thus Biden cannot afford to look WEAK if he wants to run for a 2nd term, recent match up polls have Trump beating him, and even those that voted for Biden have started to have regrets, thus any weakness on Russia would break the Biden chance for re-election. 

Good or Bad News on Vienna Talks ? - US vs. Iran - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " Iran and UN inspector reach agreement on cameras at nuclear facility...Move is seen as essential to preserve broader nuclear talks and lifting of US sanctions  "

Lets Get Real:

This sounds like GOOD NEWS, but from other reports it has be stated that the Tehran Regime will block the cameras from viewing anything, this latest concession from the Tehran Regime might be a form of STALLING.  It will be interesting to see what the US and the West says, and more important what MOSSAD of Israel states about such agreement.  The Tehran Regime is close to getting the bomb, they might want to carry on TALKS, in other words endless talks and the reverse themselves over any agreement, they could be playing for time and trying to get the anti war crowd up and running against the West, the Guardian is very out there, one would assume that the left wing paper will never support taking action action against IRAN.  It will be interesting to see the reaction to this latest development, this blog is cynical about the move. 

Could a INVASION of the Ukraine by Russia start WW3 ? - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports " A full invasion by Russia could trigger World War Three, warns government minister in Kiev...Yuliia Laputina, the minister for veterans affairs - who previously served as a top officer in Ukraine's equivalent of MI5 - told Sky News that her country was ready to defend itself should Moscow launch a new attack.  "

Lets Get Real:

The above is the reason why the West and President Biden as Leader of the Free World has to be seen and actually be tough with Putin of Russia, it can be argued that Bush 43 and Barack Obama were WEAK when it came to Putin and his invasions of other lands.  The Western THREAT of heavy sanctions will not work on Putin, he has already stated that he wants to meet Biden again and that he wants a LEGAL TREATY that prevents the Ukraine coming part of NATO, he thinks that Biden is a pushover, a weak man and President.  The Biden Oval has to show that Biden is tough and will stand up to Putin, stare down the Russian Bear, the WEAKNESS that Biden showed over Afghanistan has come back to haunt him, IF terrorists can kick the American Army out of Afghanistan, what can Russia do about Biden and NATO and the perception in the Kremlin that it wants the OLD USSR back or something close to that idea.  Thus we come down who blinks first, to quote a famous line from the Cuban Missile Crisis, will Biden SELL out the Ukraine, aka Chamberlain the Czechs in 1938, or will stand tall like Reagan who LOST 241 US Military Personnel  in a terrorist bombing in Lebanon in 1983 and then invade Grenada to remove a Communist Government linked to Cuba.  Sometimes a US President has to stand tall, and do the RIGHT THING, and that means standing up to Putin in this case.

The FAILURE of the Vienna Talks - US vs. Iran - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " Israel warns diplomacy proving fruitless in Iran nuclear talks...Officials hopeful that US and European nations will agree Tehran is in breach of its obligations  "

Lets Get Real:

The Tehran Regime is pushing its luck, it knows NOW that it is a race between them getting the BOMB and the Israeli Government taking action, with or without the US.  The Israeli State sees a nuclear armed IRAN as a threat to its existence and future.  The Israeli Government is now on good terms with a number of Gulf States and there are reports that the Israeli Government and the Saudi Arabian Government are developing PLANS for a attack on Iran to take out Iran's nuclear facilities before they become a nuclear armed power.  The Biden Administration after Afghanistan cannot afford another major foreign policy failure.  It also has to deal with the THREAT of Russia going in to the Ukraine, the West has made it clear that the Russians would suffer major economic consequences but at present that does not seem to be working, the Kremlin wants a say on the Ukraine going in to NATO, it wants a VETO and its wants to ban NATO equipment in NATO countries close to its BORDER.   The Biden Oval cannot appease Russia, it would be mean selling out the Ukraine, after Afghanistan that would be a disaster and also the Russians want any such agreement in a form of a TREATY, have  they not heard of Munich 1938, Biden is old enough to remember that and knows he has a weak hand to appease anyone. The next few weeks on the international front will be very interesting and the chance of armed conflict breaking out on the Ukraine and Russian border or Iran getting bombed by ISRAEL. 

UK PM warns Putin of Russia over fear of Ukraine INVASION - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Boris Johnson warns Vladimir Putin of deep concern over Ukraine "

Lets Get Real:

The PRESSURE must be kept on Putin, he has to understand the FACT that the West could topple the Russian economy and his rich friends will not like that, in fact if it goes WRONG, the President Russia could go back to being a taxi driver, it seems from a recent report that Putin in the 1990s had to become a TAXI driver, one would think no customer ever short change Mr KGB.   This is the time for Western bankers to remind their Russian clients that they could be badly effected by harsh sanctions on Russia, and their assets could be FROZEN.   The West has to keep the integrity of the Ukraine and not sell out as in 1938 when it came to the Czechs  and after the end of the Second World War when Stalin gained Eastern Europe under his control.  The MOMENT Russian invades the Ukraine, the Western banking system has to freeze the RUSSIANS out, even need be the sanctions should HURT the Russian people, make them question Putin and his WARS.  Late January will be very interesting!

New Tensions on the Ukraine and Russia Border - Update - Biden/Putin Era

Guardian: Reports "  Russia edges closer to war as new arms arrive on Ukraine’s border....A recent sighting of Putin’s notorious Buk missiles on their way to the frontline does not bode well for talks  "

Lets Get Real:

Ever since the CRIMEA, the World has been a NEW COLD WAR 2, Putin by his actions and words has shown that the ruthless dictator, who kills his opposition or places them in jail on fake charges, the fake news of Russia has already stated that the Ukraine IS a THREAT TO RUSSIA, that is so false as to be funny, but we are dealing with serious actors when it comes to the Putin Regime.  The West, in this case the US and NATO Allies have one chance to prevent a regional war in Eastern Europe, they must place NATO TROOPS in the Ukraine and say to the Russians, this and no further.  If not that the US and the UK must give the Ukraine military equipment that allows the Ukraine Forces the ability to slow down the Russian progress in the Ukraine.  The West has to make RUSSIA bleed on the battle field and also when it comes to economics, bring Russia to its knees fast.

Massive consequences if Russia invades the Ukraine - G7

BBC News: Reports " The G7 group of rich democracies has warned Russia of "massive consequences" if it invades Ukraine.  "

Lets Get Real:

One can postulate that President Putin will laugh this off, as stated, HE and RUSSIA are already under sanction, the G7 was formally the G8 before Putin was thrown OUT over the Crimea invasion.  The only thing that Putin and Russia understands is STRENGH, and POTUS and the West has shown GREAT WEAKNESS when faced with Putin.  If the West was really serious it would draw a red line in the Ukraine and place NATO COMBAT TROOPS on the ground, this would warn off the Russians, but no feeble sanctions are the only threat to Russia.  The Russian people will be hurt but it can be postulated that they will support THEIR President against the West, they have been forced feet lies from print to TV and social media.  Putin is not stupid, the question is can he cover up body bags coming back from the Ukraine, a invasion of the Ukraine will be hard to hide even in Russia.  If only Biden was JFK or Reagan, this would not happen, fear goes a long way with the Russians. 

Ukraine BORDER Update - Biden Era

CNN - Europe: Reports " Ukrainian military report says Russia boosted troops to 120,000 near border "

Lets Get Real:

The Russians are building up a big force to invade the Ukraine or give the impression that they are about invade, the Russians want a legal agreement that says that NATO will not allow the Ukraine to become a member and does not place NATO equipment on NATO members close to Russia.  It had been reported that Biden had sold out Ukraine, very much like Chamberlain in 1938, but this was denied by the Biden White House and the Ukraine has followed that line.   As noted in this blog, Putin has given the Russians Soldiers the New Year OFF, but hey will be on duty on Christmas Day,  this could be mean that Russian might invade late this year, as the Russian New Year comes later, this means that the Ukraine has to be on ALERT, well it is always on ALERT, so in case Russian invades.  If Biden is CLEVER he should really send ARMS the Ukraine Army and Air Force, then if and when Russia invades he cannot be called an appeaser, the Ukraine Army cannot take on the Russia Army, it can only stall for so long before they either surrender or are killed.  The panic will come with Ukraine Refugees coming to NATO borders, will they turn them away, one has doubts, the NATO members of NATO will need US COMBAT TROOPS on their borders to show Putin to back off.  Tense Christmas and New Year ahead. 

Putin's Drum BEAT for War - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Russia Ukraine: Putin compares Donbas war zone to genocide.."

Lets Get Real:

More FAKE news from President Putin, he is following the Hitler game book with FAKE charges, the next step is invasion.  It seems that Biden's talk with Putin has not put him off if he plans to invade the Easter Ukraine and then the whole of the Ukraine, very Hitler and 1938 with the Czechs.   The Biden Oval should send more military equipment to the Ukraine, enough for them to stall the Russian Army for a while, lets be honest the Ukrainian people cannot win a WAR against Russia, with the best will in the world, what they can do is make Russia and Putin pay a heavy price, a price that he cannot hide, that means Russian body bags and in public.   The Biden Oval should send heavy NATO equipment to the Eastern members of NATO to show that Biden supports them, and he will not sell them out like Chamberlain did to the Czechs in 1938.  What is interesting that Russia placed pressure on Iran over its nuclear ambitions, one hopes that Biden has not made a secret deal, aka JFK and the selling out of Turkey in 1962 and the Yalta Conference that placed Eastern Europe in the Soviet backyard. This will be an developing story over the Christmas Period. 

Hope in Vienna, US and Iran Talks - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " Iran nuclear talks pulled back from brink as Tehran shifts stance...Cautious optimism as Tehran revises its position after pressure from Russia and China  "

Lets Get Real:

This is GOOD NEWS, it seems that the reaction from the West and Russia/China has moved Iran from its position of LAST WEEK.  The problem is TRUST, the IAEA has been stopped from inspecting Iran's nuclear sites, they will need access to show that Iran is telling the TRUTH, anything less would show that Iran is stalling, they could be stalling, agree and then come back and say the reverse, on the other hand the THREAT from Israel that they would take MILITARY ACTION might have gotten through in Tehran.  As Ronald Reagan said when talking about the USSR, TRUST BUT VERIFY, the West will have to see that Iran is keeping its word.   Only then should sanctions be slowly removed, a good action would deserve a reward, failure then sanctions back.  This blog is waiting to see what the West and the US says about recent talks, the US is heading back on the weekend. 

Israel PLANS for ATTACK on IRAN - Biden Era

Daily Mail: Reports " Israeli warplanes prepare for simulated attack on Iran as nation's defence chiefs meet with US to plan 'worst-case scenario' destruction of Tehran's nuclear facilities "

Lets Get Real:

The Vienna talks are going nowhere, the Tehran Regime has gone back on previous agreements and is stalling.  The talks between Iran and the Western Powers restart today, one can hope that Tehran Regime will change its mind and return to the talks in a open manner and will keep their WORD.  If not then the options become very narrow, the Tehran Regime is already under all sanctions going, thus we are left with the military option, no one wants a regional war in the Middle East, Iran vs. the US and its Allies, the Gulf State and Israel, but after a attack by Israel and the US or just Israel the Tehran Regime will strike out, the Gulf States become under threat and of course Israel.  A sole Israel attack would be the worse, as it would lead to a regional war, a US strike would be different, the Tehran Regime knows that it would LOSE a major war with the US.  Thus the talks in Vienna are time limited, one hopes that Iran sees the light of day and agrees to ALL the demands of the West and the US. 

Ukraine and Russian Tensions - Update - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports " Russian invasion of Ukraine could be on scale 'not seen in Europe since WWII', UK armed forces head warns...A build-up of tens of thousands of Russian troops has raised Western fears of a new armed incursion, nearly eight years after the annexation of Crimea. Leaders believe Vladimir Putin could be preparing a multi-front offensive as soon as early 2022. "

Lets Get Real:

In many respects the Ukraine could be the Poland of 1939, IF Russia invades the Ukraine, it will not matter about a Christmas Party at 10 Downing Street, the news will be full of WAR and the demands of voters that their Governments, in this case the US and the UK help the brave Ukraine Soldiers, it can be postulated that the CALL is something that even a appeaser like Biden cannot hide in the White House bunker, as he hid during the 2020 election.  The other problem is that the Ukraine will lose, Russia is just to big with Soldiers and military equipment, thus you will have hundred of thousands if not millions of Ukraine's people heading for Western borders.  One does not see EU turning them away, it would be seen as WEAK and helping Russia.  Thus it can be postulated that the SAS and US Delta Force will be sent in to slow the Russians down, but that can only last a few days if weeks, does NATO really want Putin that close to the Polish border.  Also the Baltic States will demand and expect NATO to place NATO Soldiers on their borders, to show the RED LINE to Putin. 

Biden on talks with Putin - Biden Era

Daily Mail: Reports " How I put Putin in his place. I think: Biden reveals he threatened Putin with 'economic consequences like none he's ever seen' during call but says he has RULED OUT boots on the ground in Ukraine "

Lets Get Real:

One doubts that POTUS put Putin in his place, all he has shown is that he is an appeaser in the shape of Neville Chamberlain, the British PM for APPEASEMENT in the late 1930s.  The real question is will Putin think he know has to do something or look weak to the people of Russia, if he cannot get concessions from Biden when it comes to the Ukraine and NATO countries close to the Russia border he might think he has to ACT.  On the other hand Biden has made it clear that he will SEND defence equipment to the Ukraine, the question can the Russian Forces take the Ukraine without a lot of body bags that the Russian leader cannot hide.  The Ukraine people will put up a fight, it could get bloody and as the WAR on goes the US voter will be pushing for Biden to defend the Ukraine, he can not afford another Afghanistan, WEAK Presidents do not get re - elected, aka Jimmy Carter in 1980, who faced the Iran hostage crisis and the invasion of Afghanistan by the Russians.   It has been reported that the Russians soldiers have been told they will have to be on  DUTY during Christmas, and will get the NEW YEAR OFF, thus Putin might be playing games, he might invade on Christmas Day!  That would really ruin the Biden Christmas.  One gets the impression that Putin is playing CHESS, while Biden is playing SNAP and the game has to be taught to him.

The Appeaser and the The Russian Bear Update - Biden Era

The White House: Readout of the video call between Presidents Biden and President Putin of Russia, " President Biden voiced the deep concerns of the United States and our European Allies about Russia’s escalation of forces surrounding Ukraine and made clear that the U.S. and our Allies would respond with strong economic and other measures in the event of military escalation. President Biden reiterated his support for Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and called for de-escalation and a return to diplomacy.. "

Lets Get Real:

This was the CHIEF Appeaser speaking to a Russian Bear that is hungry to expand Russia back in to the OLD USSR.  After Afghanistan Biden is SEEN as WEAK by the rest of the World.   Putin is clever to know that this his chance to take back the Ukraine without the US stopping him, extreme sanctions will not have a effect on Putin, and the Russian people tend to support him, lets see if that lasts under extreme sanctions.  Those very rich in Russia might find their social calendar is upset but they have the money either to leave or carry on as they are, its the poor people at the bottom end who will get hurt.  Putin is rebuilding the reputation of Stalin, yes the major mass murder of the Russian people, he wants to be seen as a major historical figure.  The question is will Biden help the Government of the Ukraine with arms, that would really put off Putin, a Ukraine supported by the US and NATO with arms, would be a different problem, one that even Putin might want to avoid.  It will be an interesting Christmas, very tense between COVID - 19, Russia and Iran.