Friday, November 06, 2020

UK PM sees chances of a BREXIT DEAL - Brexit Update 1 - Transitional Phase


Lets Get Real:

The UK PM will talk to the EU Commission President tomorrow, the PM has to be VERY CLEAR with the EU, our fish in our waters remain UK fish, while London will decide how much money it spend to help different sectors of the economy and arbitration will not be done by the ECJ.  If the EU will not move the PM should pull plug, cut bait, in other words END THE TALKS on his terms.  Further talks will go nowhere and the EU is trying to force the UK to accept a lesser deal the benefits the EU.  The UK should go on to Australian rules, they are good enough at the moment, also this would show to the EU that the UK is firm, and will not play about to their game. 

Brexit TALKS STALL - Brexit Update 1 - Transitional Phase

Back to fav subject, Brexit!!


Lets Get Real:

IF the talks are stalling what is the point of them going on, it seems that the problem of OUR fish has not been solved, also what rules to have for Government supporting various sectors of the economy.  As this blog has stated, the PM should cut bait ( fishing term ) and walk away, that worked before, well the PM should be firmer, he should tell the EU his demands and if they do not come with answers that the UK wants then the UK should walk away.   This would shock the EU and force them to deal with the French, the French want the same concessions on fish that they have NOW, that is not going to happen.  The PM needs to find his inner Lady Thatcher, be tough and force the EU to meet our requirements if they want our fish in our waters.

The talks have passed various deadlines, it is an old EU tactic, run out the clock and force the other side to meet their demands, not this time, the UK voted to leave the EU in 2016, it is now 2020, time for the UK to leave, show we will not be ordered about in our own waters and our fish.  The fish industry is the symbol for Brexit, time to meet the obligation of democracy, and that is for the UK to leave the EU.

Presidential - Elect Biden speaks to the US , very Presidential - US Politics


Lets Get Real:

President - Elect Biden was VERY Presidential in his remarks, he was talking to the whole of the US, while President Trump was talking to his large base, he might be looking forward to running in 2024, he might enjoy making Biden's time in the White House miserable, after January 20th at 12pm Biden becomes President, thus COVID - 19 will be his problem, also the economy will need to be rebuilt, pushing through tax hikes and climate change might cost him a 2nd term in 2024, elections never END, they just go on, within two years he will face a Mid Term Election, with the Republicans not having lost a House SEAT and the Senate up in the air at the moment, Biden will need all his Senate skills to get his Agenda through. The President recent remarks, show that he has not learned how to be Presidential, Biden had a long career as Senator and Vice - President to see how power really works and how to be Presidential.

Thursday, November 05, 2020

Can the UK afford an extension of the Furlough Scheme ? - Magic Money Tree

Guardian: Reports "  Chancellor expected to extend furlough beyond December....Climbdown comes amid mounting pressure on Rishi Sunak to safeguard jobs during second wave of Covid-19  "

Lets Get Real:

This is getting ridicules, the UK is trillions in debt due to COVID - 19, the UK Government has had a 2nd lockdown, it must work this time, the Chancellor after either the 2nd lockdown or after a vaccine for the virus is found, will have to cut welfare and other Government Departments or hike taxes, in a near depression that is BAD IDEA.  At some point the UK will just have to rough it through, no more lockdowns, no more different levels in the regional governments, spend money on the NHS to help the patients but allow business to OPEN even the pubs and just take the hit.   In 1918 the UK Government had to deal with World War One and the Spanish flu, they did not close the Country down, they just rode the wave and the flu ended, the UK might have to do Sweden, just rough it for a while, whatever the the death total.


If the US Senate stays Republican and the Biden Oval ? - US Politics


Lets Get Real:

The BIG Democrats donners will not be happy, the Democrats banked in millions to take the Senate and keep the House in Democrat hands, if the Republicans can keep the Senate, its not over in till its over, then the Democrats and Republicans will have to work together or Biden will have a miserable in the Oval.   On the plus side, Biden is a creature of the Senate, thus one hopes he can make deals also ObamaCare could be thrown out by the US Supreme Court, that comes before the Court within a few days.   Also Trump is still President, one does wonder what he could get up to the next two and half months.  The first thing that Trump has to do is concede the election to Biden, POTUS should try to do with some grace, endless law suits is not the way, there is always 2024, American voters seem to nominate old men, so the Trump might try his luck in 2024.  Also 2nd terms can be fraught, Nixon being the classic example,  even the great Gipper had a problem with Iran - Contra, Clinton had his affair, while Obama had to deal with the War in Libya and the loss of US Ambassador.  If the POTUS wants to get some bonus points for 2024 he should concede the election and quickly, and help Biden out with a quiet transitional period. 

The start of the Biden Agenda - Biden Era - US Politics


Lets Get Real:

Thus we are seeing the US return to the moral leadership of the West, President - Elect Biden has stated that the US will return to the Paris Climate agreement on his first day on the job, that being 21 January 2021.   Also Biden will return to enforcing civil rights and calling out those opposed to civil rights.  It should be recalled pre Trump the Oval was about MORLE power, thus JFK on civil rights and Reagan calling the USSR an " Evil Empire ".  The World will be glad for a more quiet President, no more endless tweets, or endless press conferences, on the other hand TV might just get a new channel, Trump TV, he can be on it all day, and making life miserable for the other Channels, in this case Fox News and also going after President Biden, he might run again in 2024 to annoy everyone.

Problems with UK/EU talks - Brexit Update 1 - Transitional Phase


Lets Get Real:

It can be argued that the EU is playing the UK, they are stalling the talks in the hope that at the end of the process that the UK will take a deal that is more in the interest of the EU than the UK.  The UK PM has to deal with COVID - 19 at the moment and the ramifications of the 2nd lockdown, the PM over the weekend should asses the talks with his staff and the Cabinet and pull the plug, the PM should send a CLEAR message to the EU, no more talks in less the EU follows the demands of the UK.  The EU is a past master at playing this game, the point of the game is not to be in the game, make it your game, and you set the rules.