The NEXT Democratic Debate - Update 3 - Election 2020

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 4.08pm post, " Only seven candidates have qualified for the next Democratic debates, according to the New York Times.  They are: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Cory Booker and Beto O’Rourke.  "

Lets Get Real:

This sounds about right, at least you can get all the candidates on the same debate stage, and the questions and answers can take longer.   Of course it allows for more bust ups, one can expect Warren to go after Biden, they are fighting for the soul of the Party.   As for Mayor Pete and Beto, they are at the start of their political careers, they might be looking at the VP spot on a Biden or Warren ticket.   This blog is not writing them off, just it does not feel that this is their political cycle.   One can expect some in fighting in between Warren and Sanders, one of them has to LOSE, more likely it will be Sanders, he moved the Party but might not have the fire in the belly to be POTUS, you really have to want it, and it can be seen that Warren really wants to be President.  It is only August the 1st, we have a very long road to go, Iowa in 2020 is in February of next year. 

Brexit Update - New 10% bounce for Conservatives - Update 1 - Election 2019?

Guido Fawkes: Reports in its 11.55am the following post, " Boris bounces 10 points ahead with Ipsos Mori. Reinforcing yesterday’s 10 point lead with YouGov… "

Lets Get Real:

This could be the golden time for Boris to shaft the HARD REMAINERS in the House of Commons.  The Hard Remainers will try any underhanded method to block BREXIT, the best way avoid this,  is to  call a General Election, make these HARD REMAINERS have to be selected by their Local Associations.   The Seats that voted LEAVE should de-select MPs that are going against the will of the 2016 vote.   Also a Conservative win on a NO DEAL BREXIT, would force the EU to agree our terms.  The clock is ticking for 31st of October!  PM Boris has to recall that the HARD REMAINERS have a bias Speaker in their pocket, he cannot be trusted. 

What WAY for the Democrats ? - Update 2 - Election 2020

Sky News: Reports " Biden in the firing line but the Democratic race is still his to lose..Two nights of debates see the party struggling on whether to adopt a progressive or moderate vision to take on President Trump.  "

Lets Get Real:

At the end of the day the Democratic race in all probability will come to a moderate as represented by VP Biden and for the Liberals, or progressives as they like to call themselves by Senator Warren.  It is interesting from 2016 Senators Sanders has moved the Democrats to the LEFT, but like Moses he might not get the prize, it can be argued that Warren has the fire in her belly to take the fight to Biden, it will be interesting to see them on the same stage, that will lead to fireworks.  The problem for Democratic voters is while the Democrats have gone LEFT, the rest of the Country is more to the Centre, even centre right.  Senator Harris will have a HARD TIME selling her health plan, as it removes private health cover from a hundred million Americans, that will go down like a LEAD BALLOON.  Also her time as Attorney General will be looked closely by other candidates, God knows what they will find before the next debate.  Thus my prediction for what it's worth, it will be a Biden vs Warren fight for the soul of the Democratic Party. 

Bident THROWS Obama under the bus when it comes to Afghanistan - Election 2020

BBC News: Reports " Joe Biden hits back at rivals in Detroit "

Lets Get Real:

The 2nd Debate was good for Biden, he fought back, he took on Harris and Booker, it can be said that Booker earned his ticket to stay in the race.  Senator Booker took on Biden when it came to his support of the 1994 Crime Bill and others crime bills from the 1970s and 1980s.   The former VP shot back that the Booker record as Mayor was not that great, that he had to be sued by the ACLU to reform his police department.  The main fight that this blog remembered was the fight between Senator Harris and Tulsi Gabbard over the record of Harris as Attorney General of California, the Congresswoman pointed out that Harris allowed a prisoner to stay on death row when the prisoner should have been removed, that she allowed prisoners to be kept in jail when they should have been released as a form of cheap labour, also she went after pot smokers while laughing when asked if she had ever smoked pot.  The attack was so detailed this blog thinks that the Biden Camp released the info to her, as it allowed Harris to be taken down a bit, while not having the fingerprints of the Biden Campaign on the issue  . What was also interesting for this blog is how Biden threw Obama under the bus when it came to the Obama surge in Afghanistan in the first term, he stated that he was against that.  This is not new, the then Defence Secretary Robert Gates stated that Biden as VP, undercut the Afghan policy at every stage.   Thus far this blog has not seen that mentioned by other comments on the debate.   One can assume that Barack Obama will not be happy that his VP threw him under the bus when it came to such an important foreign policy approach. 

The Boris BOUNCE, Conservatives LEAD Labour by 10% - General Election 2019?

Daily Mail: Reports " Tories receive new 'Boris Bounce' from Prime Minister as the party extends its poll lead over Labour to TEN points but support among women stalls  "

Lets Get Real:

After tomorrow the Conservative majority will be down to 1 Seat and this is will the support of the DUP.   The maths in the House of Commons does not look good, it might be time for Boris to call a General Election or force the Labour Party to bring a NO CONFIDENCE VOTES, by pushing ahead with a NO DEAL BREXIT.  The UK voter has to make up its mind, in 2016 it voted for BREXIT, but then in 2017 gave power to a minority Conservative Government.  The House of Commons is full of Remainers with a bias Speaker.  Let's be honest here, with the best will world, no one can say that former PM May was a good campaigner, on the other hand Boris breaths for campaigning.  No 10 should get ready for an early election. 

Off Colour joke by then Governor Reagan to President Nixon, 1971 - 1970s Era

Sky News: Reports " Reagan made racist joke about Africans in 1971 call with Nixon, recordings reveal..Newly emerged phone calls reveal the-then governor of California thought African people were "uncomfortable wearing shoes".  "

Lets Get Real:

This blog is a firm supporter President Reagan, as one of the greatest Presidents in US history, he was no perfect, he made mistakes, he was human.  Let's recall that the first President of the US, George Washington had slaves, that Woodrow Wilson had big ideas for the World but was a racist when it came to African - Americans working for the Federal Government.  Then we have JFK's numerous affairs and his intern.  The above recording was made when the UN recognition China over Taiwan and gave them their Seat at the UN.  Then Governor Reagan was angry, sometimes when we are angry we make mistakes, this is an example from the above.   Also he did not know that Nixon was recording his calls and office meetings.  One can assume the LEFT will run with story, they are so PC, will they be that when the Martin Luther King Jr tapes are released, we shall see. 

The First Democratic Debate - Review - Election 2020

BBC News: Reviews the performance of Senators Warren and Sanders, " Sanders and Warren will also be pleased with their performance. Both held up under fire - and had a chance to demonstrate they could give as well as they get.  "

Lets Get Real:

This blog watched the two hour debate; ( CNN had  a good format, and stopped the candidates just speaking their talking points ); the main winners when it comes to Democratic politics was Senators Warren and Sanders, they fought their positions and did not buckle when under attack from the moderates.   As the base of the Democratic Party is very far left, the two main candidates did not suffer in the room or from larger exposure on TV.  Of course US voters are not the Democratic base, Trump would have no problem is taking down either Warren or Sanders, he would use their support for getting rid of private medical cover, a policy that would hit Union members, who have fought for good medical cover.   Also giving medical cover to illegal migrants will not sell on the open market, in fact the Trump Campaign had a political advert out before the debates.  It is hard hitting and makes the claim that the Democratic candidates are socialists, something neither Warren or Sanders could really refute in a Presidential Debate with Trump.   It is said it is good to sleep on a debate to see what you think the following morning, well the one quote this blog does recall is one by Senator Sanders, when he was coming under attack for his bill on health, the Senator snapped back that he " wrote the dam bill ", thus knew the details.  It will be interesting to see what the frontrunner VP Biden says about last night's debate, he will come across as a moderate.  The VP faces both Senators Harris and Booker tonight, to his left and right, will they go after him, on race yes, how will Biden react, he just has to look like he is alive, after the last debate, that he can counter punch.   The real winners after the two debates can be seen after tonight's debate, there are 20 candidates after all.