Friday, May 11, 2018

Trump on Obama - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

It was clear before the 2016 campaign that President Trump had no time for President Barack Obama, the former President made Trump the but of his jokes at a Washington Dinner for the press.  It can be postulated that since then POTUS has wanted to take down Obama, by getting rid of his legacy.   All Presidents want to be different from the man than held the office before, each President wants a legacy,  LBJ left the Great Society, Nixon had the silent majority, Reagan finished off the Cold War and helped in the downfall of the USSR. Bush 41 had the Gulf War and the actual end of the USSR, Bill Clinton had a great economy, Bush 43 had Iraq and the near downfall of the economy, Obama had ObamaCare and the Iran Deal, Trump is the reverse of Obama, he has aborted ObamaCare, he has withdrawn the US from the Paris Climate Agreement, negated the Iran deal, and it only his 2nd year.  The Trump Oval has a Summit with North Korea in a few weeks, that will be historic, even Obama could not manage that, Trump could become a historic Presidency, not quite Reagan, but pretty close. 

Customs Partnership - Update 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The PM understands that for her to remain as PM she needs the support of the Hard Brexit MPs, if she upsets them then she could be out, at the end of the day it is about numbers in the House of Commons.  There are more Hard Brexit MPs than there are hard remainers, but if you combine the rebel hard remainers and the Labour Party you would have a majority for keeping the UK in the EU Customs Union and the Single Market.   The problem is that Jeremy Corbyn does not want to remain in the Single Market as it would restrict his action if he becomes PM.   Thus problems for Labour and the Conservative Party.   There are going to be close votes in the House of Commons. 

The Custom Partnership Debate - Update - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

One can postulate that this move by the PM  to get the Cabinet to resolve this problem, the PM wants the Customs Partnership but can not get a majority of the sub Cabinet to agree to the plan.   The PM should be having talks with the rest of the Cabinet in attempt to get allies and move the Cabinet to her choice for the Post Brexit trading links with the EU.   The Customs Partnership and the Single Market is the best choice for the trading links with the EU after Brexit, it would keep the UK in the Customs Union, that is free trade with the EU and the Single Market, that would prevent a PM Corbyn from taking over large sectors of the economy should Labour win the next general election.  Let's hope the PM has the strategy to win the Cabinet and the House of Commons.

Wednesday, May 09, 2018

The Left on Trump's New Sanctions on Iran - Update 2 - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval was never going to win with the uber liberal NYT, its Editorial board is so left wing it makes Putin look like a moderate conservative, yes folks, they are that LIBERAL. The uber liberal NYT was never going to give Trump a chance even if he had caved and followed the advice of the elite left and Western allies, the NYT would have stated that Trump was weak and was never keeping his promises.    POTUS made the right move with IRAN, does anyone really trust them, as with North Korea, we will have to see, nothing ventured nothing gained. 

Trump on Iran - Update 2 - Iran Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The Obama/Iran deal is now in the hands of the EU, that includes the UK, can the major companies within the EU stand up to US sanctions, and do they want to, how much of a economic benefit is IRAN to these companies.  The US has to make sure that Western companies understand if they deal with the Iran then they can not deal with the US.   Also how much do the EU want to make the US peeved at its actions, the US is an economic policeman, its is still a powerful country.   One can argue that whatever the EU countries say then will fall in to line with the US when the time comes, the UK needs the US for its free trade after it leaves the EU.    All politics is local. 

Iran on the Trump sanctions - Iran Crisis


Lets Get Real:

Iran has a complex power structure, its  leader is the Supreme Leader not the President.  The President is seen by the elite press as moderate while the Supreme Leader is seen as very Conservative.  One can not dismiss the chance that Iran has a secret nuclear buildings that the UN does not know about.   Thus Tehran wants to keep the EU in the deal while it develops the bomb under its nose.   The Tehran Regime has two real choices, either talk to the US on a REAL DEAL or carry on as it is, make soft music with the EU while in secret building the bomb.   It was reported yesterday on CNN that Israel expects Iran to hit Israel from Syria, this would be a mistake by IRAN, a direct Iran attack on ISRAEL would bring the US into the fight.   The Middle East has just gotten hotter. 

Trump and North Korea - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

This is further good news from the Trump Oval, yesterday was the news that Trump had decided to pull out of the Obama/Iran deal, the elite left wing press has been highly critical, but the Oval has been supported by Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the Gulf States.   The news from North Korea shows how much in charge the Trump Oval is,  one would think that there would be no summit without the release of the hostages.  President Trump has showed who is in charge in D.C, the more moderate members of the Trump Administration have been shown the door, Trump know understands Foreign Policy, he is his own man, he is the President and the final decider.