Friday, July 28, 2017

New White House Chief of Staff - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

This is the most shocking resignation/sacking since Ronald Reagan's Chief of Staff resigned as he was been blamed for Iran - Contra by those close to Reagan.  Even that shocking resignation was more diplomatic than the sacking of Reince Priebus, the poor man had more political arrows thrown at him that General Custer had at the Battle of Little Bighorn.    The style and class is missing from the Trump White House, Kennedy dealt better with the Bay of Pigs and Reagan took a political hit by stating that he was the Captain of the Ship, thus he took full responsibility for Iran Contra, and both Presidents are seen as great Presidents.  One can only hope that the new Chief of Staff, General John Kelly can get the US Trump back on course. 

North Korean ICBM Test - Part 3 - North Korean Crisis

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Lets Get Real:

The REAL worry for China is that Japan would go nuclear with the help of the US, the Trump Oval might have to threaten China that its ancient enemy will get the bomb, weather they like or not.   Thus China would have two problems, it would have the North Korean on its border that could start a War at any time and the the threat that South Korea and Japan could go nuclear.  ON the Chinese side neither is a great option, thus they are stalling, waiting to see what happens and hoping nothing happens.   The worry is that Trump might want to divert attention from home for going after North Korea, as President he has a lot more power in foreign policy, thus the Democrats must be careful that they do not push Trump to take action in Asia. 

North Korean Update - Part 2 - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

One doubts that North Korea would be as stupid as to harm a plane or a ship in its ICBM test.   The interesting question is why North Korea has not had a nuclear test, has it got the message that a nuclear test could force the US to act, so far the Trump Oval has accepted that North Korea has a ICBM capability, the red line would be if North Korea could place a small nuclear warhead on the ICBM.   One can assume China has made it clear that a nuclear test would be a step to far even for them, they do not want a War in Asia, as radiation does not respect borders.   It can be postulated that the US will send more ships to Asia as a warning, the question is will North Korea understand the message. 

Another North Korean Nuclear Test - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

THUS far the Trump Oval has done NOTHING since North Korea has developed a ICBM missile technology.  In of his infamous tweets, POTUS said this would never happen, well its happened twice under President Trump.   The US has two policy options, bomb North Korea or start talks with North Korea, a War between the US and North Korea, South Korea would be a blood bath, the North Koreans would level the South Korean Capital, killing hundreds of thousands and of course it could use it nuclear ability, on the other hand if the US started talks with North Korea it would accept a nuclear armed North Korea, that could push IRAN to get the bomb, thus more trouble in the Middle East.   Either option IS bad, how will the Trump Oval go, considering the political mess that the Trump White House is at the moment it is hard to judge.

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Tie Breaker Voted on by US VP - ObamaCare


Lets Get Real:

Many pundits thought that the Republicans could get his far, let's see what they can do within a week.  In many respects they only need 50 Votes as in a tied vote in the US Senate the US Vice - President casts the deciding vote, thus the OVAL OFFICE can promise that no Republican Senator will pay for the repeal of ObamaCare.   Of course POTUS has dwarfed his victory by his WAR with his own Attorney General, it is easy to see what POTUS is up to, he wants Sessions to resign, then while the US Congress in recess he can appoint a loyal AG, who will do has he is told, sack his Deputy and the Special Consul.   Interesting week ahead for the OVAL OFFICE and the Congress, 

UK Courts to decide EU Citizens Rights in the UK - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The UK Government has to be firm about this policy of the UK Courts having the final say about the rights of EU Citizens in the UK, the UK VOTED to leave the EU, it did not vote for there to be two laws for different people.  This is the remainers and the EU trying to thwart the will of the UK voter.  The UK has to be firm that any transition date is short, the UK wants the EU out of UK law, the Queen in the House of Commons in Sovereign.   The EU is full of EU civil servants who want to retire on a FAT pension.   That has to end. 

AG Sessions on the way OUT ? - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

Thus POTUS wants AG Sessions either to resign or they will fire him, once the Congress goes in to recess the President can appoint man or woman who will stall the Special Prosecutor.   One can see the logic, a new AG who is loyal to Trump will make sure the SP does not go in to Trump's financial records to see if he has any links with Russia.  Of course the Democrats will have a furious reaction, but they do not control the Congress, the 2018 Mid Terms could be about Impeaching the President.