Obama and the Polls

RCP: Reports on the average of the job approval polls for President Obama, today the Oval has a " 45% approval rating, while 49.6%  disapprove of the Obama job performance ".

Lets Get Real:

Lets look at the Gallup polls numbers for Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton and Bush 43 at this time in their Presidencies, Reagan was on 63% approval ( his final rating in 1988 ), Bill Clinton was on 58% ( his final rating was 66% ), while Bush 43 was on 49% ( his final rating was 29% ).    Thus President Obama has to be careful he does not go down the Bush 43 route, lets see what his poll numbers are like after ObamaCare comes in to effect, also the Individual and Employers Mandate, one can expect his polls to take a hit, will the Obama record be a negative or positive for the Democratic nominee in 2017, lets recall Reagan helped Bush 41 get elected, while Clinton was seen as political toxic for the Gore Campaign after the Clinton scandals.  One can postulate NOW that Democratic political managers are thinking of how to avoid having Obama on the same stand as the Democratic Nominee should his polls be at the same level as Bush 43, lets be honest there is no love lost between Bill Clinton and President Obama, if Hillary Clinton wins in 2017 the Obama crowd will be OUT in the Cold, well Chicago!.   Thus folks watch the polls, can you see the path in 2017. 

Snowden vs. The US - Traitor Story 1

Guardian: Reports that the US Traitor Edward Snowden has stated the following from Russia, " ..has said US officials are waging a campaign to prevent him from taking up asylum offers..".

Lets Get Real:

One has to wonder is Edward Snowden naive or just thick, of course the US is going to make this as difficult as it can for him, he has released some of the major state secrets of the US, did the he expect the US to give him a beer and a thanks on the back, lets recall the elite media has a problem, its a Democrat in the White House, if all the Snowden material had come out during a Republican Presidency the left would be calling for a Special Prosecutor or the resignation of the President.    The Snowden case has not helped itself by first going to China then Russia, hardly Western democracies.  The US is using soft power, making clear to any Country that takes him that this would finish any relationship with the US, the US might be 16 trillion in debt, it is still an economic power, thus folks Snowden might find himself in  hell hole, that has a kind of poetic justice to it folks, a traitor in a hell hole. 

Teachers and the UK Coalition Government

BBC News: Reports that teachers in England and Wales are to go on day strikes and regional strikes in opposition to government reform of education. 

Lets Get Real:

The teachers that go on strike should be ashamed of their actions, they are public servants, they wish to be treated as public sector professionals, well if they go on strike they are nothing better than militant trouble makers who should be sacked, the Government should place new contracts that forbids strike action by teachers, the education of students is damaged, and those that go in Education want to see students get the best education, missing lessons for strikes is not a great morel lesson for the students.    Thus blog recalls the teacher strikes of the early 80s,  one does lose respect for people who seem just want more money, what about the tax payer, they will be stuck with students, this will damage the work prospects of the parents.    Thus SACK these Trots and be firm Coalition Government, do what Reagan did with the air traffic controllers, he sacked them, that got the attention of the USSR, the UK needs firm Government folks. 

NYT and Immigration Reform - 2nd Term Blues

The New York Times: Reports the following on Immigration Reform and its chances in the House, " House Republicans find themselves in a difficult spot on immigration, caught between the needs of the national party to broaden its appeal to Hispanics, and the views of constituents in gerrymandered, largely safe conservative districts. ".

Lets Get Real: 

The start of above is accurate folks, the Republicans in 2017 need to get more Hispanic voters, but the next election in the cycle is the 2014 Mid Term folks, that is a base vote, and the base of the Republican Party does not want amnesty, it could be argued that the Republicans should slow walk the reform, very slow, only produce elements that have the support of the majority of House Republicans and the base.   Where the above NYT line goes wrong is the failure to mention that Democrats have safe seats, thus they tend to be VERY LIBERAL, thus you had Speak Pelosi, but that was a exception folks, since 1994 the Democrats have only held the House in two election cycles, and that was down to Iraq and the meltdown of the banks, after ObamaCare the House returned to the Republicans, these voters want to BLOCK the Obama Agenda.  Thus Speaker Boehner should get through the 2014 Mid Terms, see how many troops he has and then go for a deal, in time for the 2017 election.   One election at a time folks, ALL that matters in 2014 Mid Terms, politics is local folks. 

Immigration Reform and the Republican House - 2nd Term Blues

CNN - Politics: Reports that the Republican Leaders in the House will, " refuse to hold a vote on a Senate version that passed with bipartisan support ".

Lets Get Real:

If the Republican House wants Immigration Reform it should develop a Republican version, make sure the borders are secured first, then that all illegals in the US must register before a set date, all illegals bought in to the US before they were 18 should not be blamed if they were taken over the border by relatives, they should have a path way to legal status and US Citizenship if they have a good school record, have paid taxes, or have public service, such as in the Army or the Police.   Those illegals  in the US who came to the US when over the age of 18 should get legal status as long as they have paid taxes, have a job, have not broken the law, or have served in the public sector.   The reform should be a Republican reform, and it should be done fast, lets get this issue off the table. 

Is Immigration Reform DEAD ? - 2nd Term Blues

Guardian: Reports the following from the Republican House, " In a strongly worded statement issued after a closed-door meeting of Republican representatives, the leaders rejected the kind of overarching reform proposed by the Senate and backed by Obama. ".

Lets Get Real:

The Republicans should be crafty, they should agree to the Senate Bill, 100% of it, but, and there is always a BUT folks, as the price, ObamaCare has to go on ice in till signed in law again by the new US President on 20th January 2017.   Either way the Republicans WIN, if Obama agrees then he gets immigration reform and the Republicans get rid of ObamaCare, if the Oval says NO, then it will be seen that the ego of Oval is more important that a real immigration deal, this would be a perfect and crafty Chicago move folks, it would be down to the Oval, no Democrat is going to run in 2017 on agreeing to the mess that is ObamaCare, thus the Republicans WIN.  Lets hope the Republican House can be that crafty, the ego of the Oval could not take such a move, it would be perfect folks. 

The US and Egypt - Crisis in Egypt

BBC News: Reports that the US will deliver four F- 16 Fighters to Egypt, this is part of a deal for 20. 

Lets Get Real:

This shows what the Oval thinks of President Morsi, the US can not afford not to give military support to the new Government, the Morsi Government was taking Egypt down the Islamic path, this would have been a threat to Egypt as a whole and to Israel.   The military support to Egypt is part of the Camp David Peace Agreement, any revoking of that would play in to the hands of the Islamic extremists who hate Israel.  In this Egypt Crisis, the Oval has been very smart, not saying much, not using the term coup, just allowing events to play out, lets see if it works folks.   The current of the Middle East on the whole tends to be negative for US Presidents, even the greats, and that does not include Carter.