1 Vote WIN - HCR ?

The Hill: Has a prediction on the health care vote, the articles states that Speaker Pelosi will win by one vote, the tally for HCR would be 216 - 215. As stated this blog has predicted a two to three vote win for Speaker Pelosi, Fox News has a reverse prediction 211 - 220 against the Bill. The Speaker will not go to the floor without the votes. Thus with pressure from Speaker Pelosi and the Oval Office moderate and conservative Democrats will sacrifice their political careers for the political leadership. No greater sacrifice that the liberal leadership will kill the political careers of their own members.

The Altmire Choice - HCR

Politico: Reports on the tea leaves reading of Rep. Altmire of Pennsyvlania, a blue dog Democrat that could be as the LA Times points out the vote that could pass or sink health care reform. The Congressman thinks that Speaker Pelosi is having trouble getting the votes for HCR. It can be argued that Rep Altmire is not reading Speaker Pelosi in the correct manner, the Speaker would have to be on pot to take HCR to the floor if she does not have the votes. This blog has predicted a two to three vote win for ObamaCare, but also predicted that the House will go Republican in 2010 and that Obama will either not run in 2012 or will be like Walter Mondale and lose by 49 states to Scott Brown of Mass.

The CON is ON - HCR

The New York Times: Reports that Speaker Pelosi might use a Parliamentary trick to get health care reform through, the NYT writes the following, " Once the rule is adopted, the Senate bill would be “deemed” to have passed without House members actually voting on it. ". In other words a con folks, the House would be voting on the health care reform in reality but it would look like they are voting on their preferred Bill. This is a con that would make con men blush, if this is the level of corruption that the Democrats have fallen too they will suffer a political tsunami in the 2010 Mid Term Congressional Elections. If moderate and conservative Democrats want a political career they will throw Pelosi over the political cliff, otherwise it will be Pelosi who feeds her members to the lions. Of course Pelosi is safe in her liberal district.

Afghanistan Death - Afghanistan Front News

MOD: Reports that a British Soldier has died of his wounds suffered in Afghanistan, the soldier was in the UK when he died. The soldier was from the " 1st Battalion The Royal Anglian Regiment, serving as part of the Household Cavalry Regiment Battle Group ". Thus since 2001 the UK has lost 273 of its Armed Forces Personnel in Afghanistan, of that total it has lost 240 in combat operations and 33 due to illness, accidents or other incidents.

Out of Left Field - 2010 Mid Term Elections

The New Republic: Argues that the Obama White House needs to follow the 1982 Reagan model for the Mid Term Elections, that Obama needs to follow the Reagan message of " staying the course." Its an interesting perspective but is let down by a view out of left field, the article states the following on the Obama message so far, " But Obama (has ) been reluctant to stigmatize George W. Bush and the Republicans--perhaps out of a spirit of bipartisanship. " In less I have been asleep for year that all Obama has done since January 20th 2009 is to blame Bush 43, from the economic to foreign affairs, lets be clear Obama is no Ronald Reagan, he lacks the ability to tell a story, the American story, Reagan as an ex actor new that it was important that the audience or voter understood the overall message if not details, Obama is all about details, thus his obsession with health care reform. As recent elections have shown the Obama magic touch has gone out of the window, some of his staff see him as the second coming, Mr Emanuel is the exception to that rule. Thus when it comes to a clear simple message the last person you need is President Obama, his own intellectual arrogance complicates the message and can lead to the Republicans taking over the House. The real political world will hit the Oval when the Republicans are in charge of Congress and just say No to Obama, as POTUS said himself, elections have consequences, the question is will Obama be Reagan or Mondale in 1984.

NYT on HCR

The New York Times: Has an Editorial that comes out in favour the Senate version of health care reform and attacks Anti Abortion Democrats in the House, the liberal NYT states the following, " Anti-abortion Democrats need to show similar statesmanship and accept the Senate’s restrictive provisions. They owe it to all Americans. ". On this specific aspect of HCR the liberal NYT is right, if and when the House does pass HCR it has language that is weaker on abortion than at present and would allow for women to get abortion via government funds. In this one case the liberal leadership was right not to cave to conservative Democrats, the Government should fund or help with abortion costs. Thus on this specific issue an salute to the liberal NYT.

If they Deni, ITS TRUE - White House

CNN News: Reports on the rejection by close Obama Aide David Axelrod of tensions between himslef and Obama's Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel. A rule of thump folks if Government denies a story take it as fact, so there is political tension between those that worship Obama as the second coming and the real political operators such as Mr Emanuel. It comes down to one issue folks, that is health care reform, the Obama worshippers want to push HCR through even at the cost of losing the Hill to the Republicans, they only see Obama, while Mr Emanuel sees the next election, that is the Mid Term Elections in November being a disaster for Democrats. As stated after the Congress passes HCR the Obama White House will have to sell the Act, interesting notion to sell tax hikes and forcing Americans to buy insurance. That is why Obama will be a one term President.