What is a Contested Convention ? - Election 2016

Telegraph: Reports " A candidate is officially nominated when they gain a majority of delegates voting at the convention. When no candidate enters the convention with a simple majority - over 50 per cent - of delegates committed to them, a contested convention ensues..."

Lets Get Real:

The delegates are bound in the first ballot to the candidate that was chosen by their State and after that its open season on getting the delegates to chose the nominee.   That why Trump being rich comes in to play, if the Campaign is any good it will have files on each delegate and what they would expect should they become unbound after the 1st ballot.   That type of political operation takes years of being in the field and a LOT of money.  Overall it might be Trump or someone we have not heard about, that is why a contested convention is fun. 

The Delegate Count - Election 2016

Guardian: Reports on the Republican and Democratic Delegate count, the article notes that on the Republican side " Trump 743, Cruz 517, Kasich 143, " on the Democratic side, " Sanders 1,058, Clinton 1,748, ". 

Lets Get Real:

The Democratic race is OVER, its a ghost play now, HRC will get the nomination and every one knows that, it just depends when Sanders leaves the race.   On the Republican side its a real race, if Trump does not get to the majority of 1,237 then its a new game, lets recall Trump is a billionaire, that is not to say he will buy the delegates, but he can offer them goodies, golf at his complex or a stay in a Trump Hotel, or a flight on Trump One.   Let's see who is the last man standing at the Convention. 

Wisconsin Result - Election 2016

BBC News: Reports " Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz has decisively won the Wisconsin primary, complicating front-runner Donald Trump's path to the nomination. "

Lets Get Real:

The anti Trump forces and that includes the Republican Establishment has to create more problems for Trump, in New York State the Trump's home State he leads my miles, thus this needs to be cut down, it will take Super Pacs with a lot of money to fund negative TV adverts.   Cruz is not that popular with the Senate Republicans, but its like a choice between shooting yourself and throwing yourself off a cliff, the cliff option is Cruz.    The Democratic race is OVER, it will be Hillary Clinton, lets hope ALL the way to the White House. 

Trump and Wisconsin - Election 2016

CNN - Politics: Reports on the failure of Donald Trump to gain support in Wisconsin and his constant attacks on Governor Walker, a Republican, the article notes the following, " Trump's decision to repeatedly attack Walker has angered large portions of the party base and left many political analysts dumbfounded. Despite his early exit from the national contest, the governor remains an immensely popular figure among Wisconsin Republicans...."

Lets Get Real:

IN politics you do not burn future allies, after Governor Walker got out of the Republican race the Trump Campaign should have tried to get a peace deal and the support of the Governor, the Campaign should have stated that Walker was up for VP if Trump become the nominee.    In one thing Trump has said that is TRUE, he is a new pol, he is new to the game, but he is a rich pol. he should have hired the best staff and after winning a few States and made less critical remarks about Walker and other subjects.  Thus this blog ends up supporting Cruz in Wisconsin, it is  a odd World. 

The Day of the Wisconsin Vote - Election 2016

The New York Times: Reports " Wisconsin’s highly engaged voters routinely post some of the highest turnout numbers in presidential elections. On Tuesday, they will play an important role in both major-party nominating contests.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Primary fight in Wisconsin will show if Trump can bounce back from a bad week, the mess of his abortions views and his disaster on the future of NATO shows that Donald is unfit for the Oval Office, even Obama has not doubted NATO in public and it is a given that Hillary Clinton could be more hawkish when it comes to foreign policy.   This is time for the anti Trump Establishment to help push Cruz in to victory, a contested convention would be a disaster for the Republicans, either Trump or Cruz have to win, it can be argued that either will be defeated in the general election.    Out of a population of three hundred million the US has ended up with either Trump, Cruz or Clinton for President, how far can a State fall. 

Trump BURN OUT!! - Election 2016

BBC News: Reports " Republican front-runner Donald Trump has said he would easily win the Republican nomination if John Kasich drops out of the contest. "

Lets Get Real:

The quick victory that both Trump and Clinton wanted has been delayed by the stubborn opposition of Cruz and Kasich on the Republican side, and Senator Sanders in the Democratic case.   The Dem race is an illusion, Clinton will be the nominee, the Sanders campaign is just a fly in the Clinton web, it does not matter in the long term.   This can not be said of the Republican side, the very FACT that Cruz and Kasich staying in the race means that Trump might not get the majority he needs before the Republican Convention.  If Trump can not win on the first ballot then the delegates can vote for whom they like, thus Trump could LOSE.   How will the Trump cope with losing, he faces that prospect in Wisconsin on Tuesday, its not how lead that shows character but how you lose and how you react. 

More Special Forces for Syria - Daesh Threat

CNN - Politics: Reports " The number of U.S. Special Operations forces fighting ISIS could increase in the coming weeks, two defense officials told CNN. "

Lets Get Real:

The US will need a lot more Special Forces in Syria and Iraq to take down Daesh, there will need to be house to house, street to streets searches and fighting.  One is under the impression that POTUS just wants to make sure that it does not lose in Syria and Iraq and will leave the problem to his successor.    This writer must admit it has been impressed at the success of the drone strikes and the US Special Forces helping in Iraq and Syria, if only President Obama has left them in place in 2011 then we might never have heard of Daesh.   If's are the curse of history, there is one thing that the left and right agree on, there can be no talks with Daesh, its a cancer that has to be removed.