The Oval and Iran

The White House: Statement by the Obama White House on the NYT story that Iran had agreed to one to to one talks with the US after the election, the statement states the following, " It’s not true that the United States and Iran have agreed to one-on-one talks or any meeting after the American elections. We continue to work with the P5+1* on a diplomatic solution and have said from the outset that we would be prepared to meet bilaterally. The President has made clear that he will prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon, and we will do what we must to achieve that. It has always been our goal for sanctions to pressure Iran to come in line with its obligations. The onus is on the Iranians to do so, otherwise they will continue to face crippling sanctions and increased pressure. "

Lets Get Real:

Its seems the Chicago Oval has been caught with its hand in the cookie char folks.  When was the last time to you trusted a White House statement from the this Chicago political mob.   If your in Israel would you feel safe, do you trust Obama to come to your back, if so your a fool.   This statement has just confirmed the story for this blog. 

Romney and the use of Torture - 2012 Race

Guardian Live - US Election: Reports the following on Governor Romney view of torture when it comes to terrorist suspects, the article notes the following, " Romney appears to favor the use of torture in some cases.  His team of advisers includes figures from the Bush administration who were among the most aggressive advocates of torture. ".

Lets Get Real: 

Folks this is fantastic news, what if Romney had been in the White House at the time of the Libya Consulate attacks,  the terrorists would have known if they killed the Ambassador they faced legal torture but not death.  A frightened terrorist is always good folks, terrorists should be afraid of the reaction of Western powers.  Lets be honest here folks, very honest, the Arab Street respects fear, it does not fear President Obama.   The Arab Streets smells fear, and they see in Obama another Jimmy Carter, a American President that can be pushed around, that is the trick followed by Iran and Syria.   The West should have agents like Jack Bauer and James Bond, doing the dirty work that keeps the rest of us safe.   Thus torture and what ever needs to be done has to be used, its not a nice world folks, you have to fight fire with fire, if you do not you lose your Ambassador due to assassination. 

Obama lead in Ohio - 2012 Race

Telegraph Live - US Election: Reports on the latest poll from Ohio, in the CBS News/ Quinnipiac University Poll President Obama leads Governor Romney by 50% to 45%, a 5% lead. 

Lets Get Real:

As long as POTUS keeps Ohio he wins, thus the Obama team have to spend their million on TV adverts and an effective ground game.   The multi millions spent by the Obama team to define Romney as a rich guy out of touch has worked, thus they have to keep this line up to election day.   Of course this could be a outrider poll, lets see other local polls from Ohio.   The election could hinge on the debate tonight, as long as POTUS has a decent performance he should get a 2nd term. 

The 3rd Presidential Debate - 2012 US Election

BBC News: Reports that the 3rd Presidential Debate on Foreign Policy should cover Iran and Libya.

Lets Get Real: 

These two issues are weak spots for the Oval, the report yesterday in the liberal New York Times that Iran had agreed to one to one talks about its nuclear plans without Israel being informed will allow Romney to paint Obama as a appeaser, while on Libya the destruction of the US Consulate and its aftermath will open the President to the allegation that he was playing politics with the issue, that he did not want to really state that the attack was a planned terrorist attack because it would undermine his argument that Al Qaeda was dead after this approval of the mission that killed OBL.   This is a chance for Governor Romney to show his Presidential ability when it comes to the World Stage.  One would expect that POTUS should win, he should have the info to rebuke Romney.   Lets see who wins the debate folks, and by how much, prediction, a close battle, with Obama winning on points. 

Obama's State - Ohio - 2012 Race

RCP: Reports on its average of the State polls in Ohio, as of today President Obama leads Governor Romney by 48.1% to 46.0%, a lead of 2.1%. 

Lets Get Real:

Ohio is President Obama's firewall, he needs to protect his narrow lead there at all costs, thus money and constant visits by Obama and his team, even VP Biden.   As election day closes expect multi millions to be spent on TV adverts and getting the election ground game up for the day.   Every night the Obama Chicago team should be only thinking about OHIO, OHIO and OHIO.   If Obama wins Ohio he wins a 2nd term, as did Bush 43 in 2004 against Senator Kerry.   The poor people of Ohio are going to get fed up of the political process before election day. 

A Tied Race - 2012 Race

Telegraph: Reports on a new NBC News/WSJ Poll that have both President Obama and Governor Romney tied at 47%, the article notes the following, " Mr Romney closed a three-point lead held by the president in the survey before their first debate. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

The race was always getting to get closer folks, the big Obama leads would narrow after the Presidential debates, as long as POTUS keeps Ohio and does not lose Ohio he WINS.   Although as the article notes the Obama lead in Ohio has fallen to 1%, in other words a neck and neck race.  The bright spot in the article for the Obama team is the early voting that favours the President and the excellent ground game of the Democrats and their allies the Unions.   It is going to be  long election night folks, in the vain of 2000 and 2004, keep that coffee hot folks. 

US and Iran - 2012 Race

BBC News:  Reports that the Obama White House had denied that Iran has agreed to one to one talks with the US.  

Lets Get Real:

If this story was leaked by someone who was trying to help President Obama it was a BIG MISTAKE.   The Republicans have already given the impression that Obama is a appeaser when it comes to Iran, the last thing POTUS needs is the impression that he is selling out Israel, from TV reports it seems that Israel was not aware of these secret talks.   One has to assume that the Israeli Intelligence, the Mossad knew, they tend to know what is going in the Middle East before the West.   One can postulate that Governor Romney will bring this issue up in the final debate, Obama has to careful, if he sounds to liberal he losses Florida and its Jewish voters.  If to hawkish on Iran he losses his liberal base.  Thus its a tricky subject for the Oval.  Lets get honest here folks, all Presidents, even the great Reagan had major Foreign Policy disasters when it comes to Iran.    The biggest was Jimmy Carter and the holding of US Diplomats as hostages for 444 days.   Thus a US President should keep on the Israeli page and keep Iran at a very far distance.   It never helps the Oval to get in to bed with Tehran.