Tuesday, December 29, 2020

Our UK Sausages and the EU - After Brexit 1

BBC News: Reports " Raw sausages and other minced meats can no longer be exported to the EU from 1 January, according to new rules.  "

Lets Get Real

Just as the blog was about to get nice about the French and the EU, they ban our raw sausages, how about we return the favour and ban French wine, that would allow other Countries to develop their wine industry and have a ready market in the UK.  The UK expects the EU to play these kind of games, its almost like the TV series Yes Prime Minister, when Hacker gets the job after attacking the EU for banning English sausages. Thank goodness the UK is out of the horrid intuition, we are a sovereign nation again. What would Sir Humphrey say! 

The Politics of Brexit for the Conservatives and Labour Party - After Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The politics of this should be simple, the Conservatives have given the UK voter what they voted for in 2016 and 2019, the ERG has been very quiet so far as to their view of the Brexit Deal, it has been reported that they on the whole will back the deal, with a few eccentrics who want a NO DEAL BREXIT, bit late in the day for that, while the Labour Party has double trouble, the Labour Party on the whole supported staying in the EU, and thus their loss of the red wall in 2019.  The new leader, Sir Keir Starmer wants to be PM in 2024 or when the PM calls an election, and thus he is whipping his MPs to support the BREXIT DEAL.   Those MPs of remain Seats are in a difficult position, if they think they will lose their seat if they voted for the Deal then they might think better to oppose the deal, but if they do this and are part of the Shadow Cabinet or the front bench they will have to resign.   In the end BREXIT might cause more problems for Labour than the Conservatives, let's see what the ERG say today. 

Monday, December 28, 2020

The NEXT US President - Joe Biden - US Transitional Phase


Lets Get Real:

This blog has kept out of US politics after the Presidential Election, Trump has still not conceded and still thinks the election was stolen from him, he lost the popular vote by millions and Biden had a good victory in the electoral college.   POTUS has sent out hundred of tweets to the effect that he WON the election and complaining that the US Supreme Court has not bent to his will.  Also he has been using his PARDON power to help his friends and Republicans.  The fact that he not giving intelligence information to the Biden Campaign, should worry Democrats and Republicans, what if he supports an Israeli ATTACK on Iran, thus Biden could find that he has an active WAR on his hands.  Also the Biden Administration will have to deal with a Russian cyber attack on Government departments, how will a President Biden react to that.  Of course he will appease Iran, he will try to get the Obama Iran Deal back in to place, that could cause problems.  The White House staff should bring Biden out for big events and speeches, Biden should rest in the afternoon, JFK did, well if you call it rest. Even the Gipper was known to take 40 winks, and they are considered GREAT PRESIDENTS.   The above was the original premises of the TV Show, the West Wing, but then they found that people liked Martin Sheen as President , ( great actor, even if the character he was playing was weak as dishwater, had a meltdown even if he had to take military action or covert action ). Biden can not afford to have the perception that he has gone gaga ( not the singer but the medical condition.  

The DAY after Brexit - 1st January 2021 - After Brexit


Lets Get Real:

One hopes individuals and business have gotten the message of Brexit and are following the NEW RULES, the papers have been full of them, but of course there will be problems, more on the EU side this blog expects, the French will want to show their customs management working, thus be sure to follow the custom rules, and read up on the dog passport, dogs are for life not just Christmas.  The UK side we shall see the end of free movement, thus lower immigration, no more subs to the EU, that can go to the NHS and to Northern England.  Thus life after Brexit, the HARD BITTEN remainers think that Brexit will be disaster, they almost want it to be a disaster!  Thus the UK has to make it work, just show the remain press that the UK does not need the EU and we can be Great again as a sovereign NATION. 

ERG seem to support Brexit Deal - After Brexit

Daily Mail: Reports " Hardliners fall in behind Brexit deal: Boris Johnson appears to win support of Tory Eurosceptics for his EU trade agreement "

Lets Get Real:

One hopes the Daily Mail article correct, it would be good for the Conservatives to face 2021, there are other issues to have a rebellion about, when will the Government lift the tier system, how many people have had to have the vaccine.  The UK economy is in the basked after the virus, the Chancellor will need to open his wallet to support pubs and restaurants who have been forced to close for most of the year.  There are suggestions that the Chancellor will need to rise taxes to pay back for the Government spending, it is then that the MPs will have to keep their nerve, the next election is four years away, take some of the tough medicine NOW and cut taxes closer to the election.  A return to normal of politics, well normal politics after Brexit and the COVID 19 virus. 

Sunday, December 27, 2020

The Brexit Deal and the ERG - Post Brexit

Sky News: Reports on remarks by the PM when it comes to the European Research Group, " the deal, he believes that it will stand up to inspection from sceptics such as the European Research Group (ERG) of Brexiteers. "

Lets Get Real:

One hopes the ERG will look at the Brexit Deal in the round, it returns sovereignty and the UK no longer is in the orbit of the EU.  There is the end of freedom of movement, many voted for a Brexit due to this reason, the UK longer pays in to the EU, there is an agreement on fish, not perfect, but a start.  Thus far no one has found a trick clause that allows the EU to override  UK law.  The power of the ECJ comes to an end, and the UK returns to a trade only deal with the EU, as it was started in 1970s.  It will be interesting to hear what the ERG say on Tuesday, touch wood the deal is on the up.


After Brexit and the Conservative Government - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Thus in 2021 we have the COVID - 19 vaccine, that will deal with the original virus and its mutation, then we have a BREXIT DEAL, that allows us to trade with the EU but keeps the Sovereign power in the House of Commons. The Labour Party MPs will face a three line whip to vote for the deal, while it is expected that most of the ERG will support the deal, of course there will be exceptions, the House of Commons has a few eccentrics.   Thus the BREXIT DEAL should pass with a health majority.  In 2021 the Johnson Government will need to keep to its promise of sharing the London wealth with the North, the Conservatives won a 80 seat majority on getting Brexit done and levelling up the Country.  The economy is in a mess after COVID - 19 and it is still not finished, thus the Government will need to open its wallet to secure jobs ALL around the UK.  The pub industry will need to be supported, it can be postulated that thousand of pubs will have closed their doors for the last time.  Thus 2021 is about regeneration of the UK.