Alastair Campbell on the 2015 Election

Alastair Campbell's Blog: States " Sometimes, when advising people I work with, I will say beware the dangers of being so deep inside your own team’s bubble that you end up believing your own propaganda and lose sight of what is really happening.

That does appear, looking back at what I have been saying in recent days and weeks, to have happened this time to me, and many others. But it really did seem, looking not just at the polls but also Labour’s own data and my own instinct going around the UK, that the Tories would not get a majority, and that Ed Miliband could end up as PM as a result. "

Lets Get Real:

I GOT IT WRONG ( KIND OF ), this blog predicted a Labour victory supported by the SNP. The actual result was a Conservative victory of 331 with a majority of 12, while Labour lost seats and came in with 232 Seats, the LibDems went down to 8, while the SNP went up to 56 Seats in the House of Commons..   This blog did not trust its own political gut, on election day this blog went in to a bookies and put a bet of £1 on the Conservative Party getting between 301 - 325, in fact they gained six more, while this blog thought Labour would get around the 250 range, the actual number was down by 24.  SORRY, I  HATE to be wrong, I did not trust my political gut and trusted the polls, others did also, see above, but BECAUSE others failed is no justification,  this blog says  again SORRY.