Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Israel vs, The Obama Administration - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

The tensions between the Obama Administration and Israel is not new, THE Oval wants a two state solution, it would love to have as a legacy  a Palestinian State in place before President Obama leaves Office in 2017.    The view from Israel is that the Obama Oval wants to sell out Israel to get a nuclear deal with Iran at any price.   The article notes that the Obama Administration does not think that Israel would strike Iran without the support of the US, well Israel has hit other States in the Middle East without telling the US, Iraq in 81 and Syria in 2007.   The Israel has the Israeli lobby in the US Congress, if Israel does strike then they will get support from Democrats/Republicans in the House and Senate, any Obama sanctions would be revoked.   One gets the impression that both sides are waiting for new leaders to come along, tense time ahead then for the relationship. 

Will Secretary Kerry be fired ?- War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

The Oval Office is looking for someone to take the blame for the disaster that is the 2nd Obama Administration when it comes to Foreign Policy.   In essence the White House is saying that Secretary Kerry is not the voice of the President of the United States.   This blog warned the Oval that is was a bad to hire Secretary Kerry, lets recall Kerry has been a Lt. Governor of his State, then a leading member of the US Senate, he was the 2004 nominee for the Democratic Party, he lost to Bush 43.  In pure political terms he is a major political player in his own right, thus it can be suggested that he follows own lead, then has to get back in line with the White House.   One can only wonder what Secretary Kerry thinks of the above remarks, if your the US Secretary of State the power you have comes form how close you are to the Oval and if you advice is taken on board.   If your seen as a lose gun, then when you argue with foreign powers they will wonder are you speaking for yourself or the Oval.   The political clock could be ticking on Secretary Kerry, the question is who will the Oval want as his next Secretary of State. 

Kobane Update - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

The news from Kobane does not sound good, to really go after IS the West needs trained Western troops, UK/US special forces who have seen action in IRAQ, and have done house to house combat.   The sending of FSA/Kurdish support troops has the feeling of being done at the moment, with no long term planning by the those that are sending them, it can be postulated that the Oval is waiting for the Mid Terms to be over before sending trained Western troops to Iraq and Syria.  One has to hope otherwise this is going to be a LONG WAR, well in to a new US Administration in 2017.    The IS fighters are tough, they are being paid by IS, the terror group makes money from the selling of black market oil, has that been stopped, NO, it is still going on, thus IS have millions to spend, the West needs to cut the money to IS, starve them of funds, curb their power to pay their terrorist troops.   The West has to win in Syria. 

Monday, October 27, 2014

The IS threat to US Air Strategy - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

The above is WHY that US and its allies need ground forces to take down IS who might have the above missile systems, a air strategy alone is doomed to failure, even if you take out IS in Syria and Iraq you need ground forces to take and hold the land, otherwise you take out one group of IS terrorists to see them replaced by other IS terrorists.    The Kobane siege and it is a siege is a classic example that you need trained forces on the ground to match the air war. IF IS can start to take out Western planes the alliance will get smaller with every successful attack on a Western plane.   Thus to prevent losing the ground war the US and its allies should send in special forces, this is the only way that the West can win, and its about winning at the end of the day. 

The Hillary Clinton FACTOR - 2016 Race


Lets Get Real:

The Hillary Clinton FACTOR is all that matters to Democrats looking for a nominee in 2016, the question is will SHE run, do Clintons run for public office, of course, its who Bill and Hillary Clinton are, without politics they would a power couple but like many others.    The next question, how badly will the Obama brand damage the Democrats, if the Clinton is the nominee they will look at the polls and use the out going POTUS is really blue States or States with a healthy African American population, if the polls are REALLY BAD for POTUS he will be spending a lot of time stuck in the White House, no one will want to be seen with him while they are running a race, even in VERY blue States.  It blog has stated if the Republicans do not nominate Jeb Bush it will support Hillary Clinton, one would expect a tougher foreign policy from Hillary, if nothing else to show she is not weak like Obama.  This is the perfect time to be a political geek. 

The 2014 Mid Terms and Another Bush Presidency - 2014/16 Race


Lets Get Real:

This is not about the Republicans looking good, it is the fact that the US Voter has had enough of President Obama, as the sitting President said, elections have results, or words to that effect.  If President Obama loses the Senate and sees Democrats lose seats in the House will he hear the verdict of his population, or will go on with his ego more important than the Democratic Party and the nation, if it is a sweep and the Oval does not budge or ObamaCare or doing more in Syria and Iraq, then the Republicans should consider their options, they could close down the Government, that is risky, people on the whole like a Government to run the Country's business, so it comes down to the power of the purse, the Republicans should not give ObamaCare $1 dollar, make Obama close down the Government for his namesake.   Also if Oval does not go ALL in Iraq and Syria the Congress should impeach the President.  How would Vice - President Biden like to be President Biden, that would really unsettle the Democratic race.  ELECTIONS HAVE RESULTS.   As for Jeb Bush, that is the only candidate that this blog would support on the Republican side, its a brand name, at least Bush 43 left Iraq in a winning hand, while Obama has lost it to IS.  Can Jeb Bush be the new Ronald Reagan.

The UK Public and Afghanistan - Afghan War

BBC News: Reports " The last UK troops have left Helmand province in Afghanistan, as a poll suggests 68% of the UK public thought the campaign had not been "worthwhile". "

Lets Get Real:

The UK public are not always right, in fact they can be plain daft given the right case, on this they are right, this blog has been negative from the start when it came to Afghanistan, we have know fought four WARS in Afghanistan, and we always leave thinking we will never go back, but we do, the good points, Kabul has changed, civic business has grown, there are schools for all genders in Afghanistan, there are on the whole free elections, fair is up for debate.    On the other hand the Taliban are just around the corner, expect an increase in fighting this year, the Taliban will say it was because they fought that the West left, its good PR for them.   Lets see if the new Afghan Government can stand united, will the army fight or run like in Iraq, and what of the remaining US troops, they can expect to get fired upon more as the Taliban wants them out as they protect the new Afghanistan.   Interesting times ahead in Afghanistan.