Wednesday, February 27, 2019

French REMIND House of Commons that the EU has a Final say over Delay - Brexit Update - No Brexit


Lets Get Real:

This blog has made its prediction, that the Remainers HAVE WON, the HARD BREXIT supporters have shown that they can not take YES as a win, they have become fanatics, what they should have done is take the PM's deal and then work to get a new leader who supports BREXIT.   The FACT that the FRENCH are making it clear that they could say NO to a delay if it does not mean that the UK has changed its mind about leaving.  Thus HARD REMAINERS will try either for a LONG DELAY or for the UK to revoke Article 50.  Of course the HARD BREXIT supporters could get off their high horse and support the May deal, but one has doubts that the Hard Brexit MPs have the common sense to take the deal, they are throwing the PRIZE of leaving the EU out of the window.    The Conservative Party will not be forgiving for failing the UK voter. 

India and Pakistan Crisis - Nuclear Age


Lets Get Real:

One of the bedrocks of the Cold War was the FACT that both the US and then USSR understood that the use of nuclear weapons would mean the end of mankind.  Mutual Assured Destruction or MAD or short, kept both sides from going over the line, the closes the sides come to WAR was in 1962 with the Cuban Missile Crisis, when the USSR placed nuclear weapons in Cuba, at the end the USSR removed the Missiles, while the Kennedy Administration gave a secret assurance that it would take missiles out of Turkey in six months.  In 1983 the Kremlin Leadership had convinced itself that the Reagan Administration was about to do a first nuclear strike, when USSR radar showed a US nuclear strike, a brave and wise Soviet Office did not call the Kremlin, he thought it was a computer error, he was right, that is why we are all here.   When President Reagan learned that the USSR really thought that the US would strike in 1983 it started the path that would lead to the END OF THE COLD WAR with the arrival of President Gorbachev.   The examples above have been given to show how wise people need to make the right choices in the nuclear age.  One can only hope that India and Pakistan understand the COSTS of nuclear war, to miss quote Churchill, it's better to talk, talk, than War, War.

Monday, February 25, 2019

Corbyn ENDORSES a 2nd Brexit Vote - Brexit Update 4 - NO BREXIT


Lets Get Real:

Thus Jeremy Corbyn has buckled to the HARD REMAINERS within his Party.   As stated the HARD REMAINERS have won the WAR, one can see Conservative HARD REMAINERS voting with Labour when it comes to a 2nd Brexit VOTE.   The Conservative Party has let down the UK, it has not remind united and PM May has failed to follow through with her promise that the UK would leave on MARCH 29th.   The FEAR of more MPs leaving the Labour Party has pushed Corbyn to support a 2nd vote.   One can see the road ahead, so the UK staying in the EU, the one silver lining is that if Corbyn does win a general election then the restrictions of the EU will prevent him taking over large areas of the UK economy.  Thus Brexit is FINISHED. 

Has PM May SOLD OUT Brexit? - Brexit Update 3 - No Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Once you take a No Deal Brexit off the table the EU knows it has WON.  The PM in attempt to keep her Cabinet together has promised if there is NO DEAL then the HARD REMAINERS within the Conservative Party can vote for an extension of Article 50.   Of course this might  not be enough for the HARD REMAINERS, they want to kill off Brexit, and thus might support motions that take Brexit out of the hands of the Government and give the power to the House of Commons.  They Labour Party might vote for an Amendment that passes the May Deal but make it conditional or another Brexit vote, thus in essence killing off Brexit.  The Hard Remainers have never accepted Brexit, they have used any tactic to win, AND they have won, the UK will remain the EU, and the Conservative Party will pay the prize at the next election.  The Conservative Associations of the Hard Remainers should start the process to de-select them, they have had their 15 minutes of fame, know they should pay the price of going against the will of the UK voter, de - select them as MPs and place a Conservative candidate on the ticket who supports Brexit.  One thing that these elite MPs do not control is the local associations, they are the ones that get MPs elected, they are not rotten boroughs, the local landlord does not control who is the MP.

EU wants a DELAY in Brexit - Brexit Update 2 - NO Brexit


Lets Get Real:

It can be postulated that the EU wants a delay as to allow for either a 2nd Brexit vote or for the TIGs in the House of Commons to develop in to a Pro Remain Party, with a leader and a local structure in REMAIN SEATS.   Also they could be looking forward to the Labour Party moving to support a 2nd Brexit vote, that is an option on the table this week.   As stated the Brexit WAR is over, the HARD REMAINERS have won, the HARD BREXIT supporters wanted purity, a HARD BREXIT, the numbers in the House of Commons does not support that, this action by the House of Commons could lead to a general election, the HARD BREXIT MPs have made it clear if BREXIT is taken away they will make PM May miserable by blocking her agenda.   The BREXIT WAR is OVER, the HARD BREXIT supporters have to go back to the trenches and expect to fight another Brexit vote, the HARD REMAIN ELITE will do anything to avoid defeat, in this they will be supported by the REMAIN ELITE PRESS and TV. 

Prediction - Brexit will be Delayed or Stopped - No Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The FACT that PM May has failed to get any REAL concessions from the EU opens the way for HARD REMAINERS to delay Brexit in the short term and then kill it off with another Brexit vote.  Once Brexit is delayed the HARD REMAINERS will use House of Commons rules to either get the Government to revoke Brexit or push Brexit 21 months down the road.   The Hard Brexit supporters have really mucked this up, they had the chance of the getting the UK out of the EU at the end of March, but they have become zealots, it's either their way or the highway.   Those that support Brexit have had Brexit stolen by the HARD REMAINERS, and in this they have been helped by the HARD BREXIT supporters on the Conservative back benches, thus one can see a formation of a new Brexit Party, one that could be a THREAT to the Conservative Party.   This blog hopes the above is wrong, but one's political guts tells one that Brexit has been LOST.  This blog is always honest with its readers. 

Saturday, February 23, 2019

PM May could ONLY have 3 Months left in Office - Brexit Update 2 - Post Brexit?


Lets Get Real:

The next few days could decide the future of the PM and Brexit, the PM has a EU meeting over the weekend, she need a legal concession over the backstop, that would allow a majority of hard brexit MPs to vote for her deal, they might not like it, but at least you get BREXIT.  On the other hand if the EU plays hardball and MPs gain the ability to defer Brexit then the cause of leaving the EU could be LOST.   IF the PM is successful, a deal passes the House of Commons, then she should sack the three Cabinet Ministers who have come out for a Article 50 to be extended, the HARD REMAINERS have showed that they can NOT BE TRUSTED.  One still gets the feeling that the HARD REMAINERS will steal BREXIT from the people, it would be SAD DAY for Democracy, it would show that Democracy had died a bit in the UK.