Wednesday, November 28, 2018

The Economy and Brexit - Brexit Update - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

This is project fear by the Bank of England, the UK Treasury also came out with negative forecasts, the article suggests that these negative stories will help PM May and her selling of her DEAL.   One can only hope its the black art of politics at play, that would make sense of the May campaign.   The elite in London want to stop Brexit, this would mean stealing the vote from the people.   Those that support Brexit have to remind the voters that there was the same message during the Brexit vote of 2016, none of the negative forecasts happened.   The May is a BAD DEAL, but it's the only one in town, lets get out of the EU and seek a better deal after March 29 2019, lets take a half a loaf before we lose the whole loaf. 

Tuesday, November 27, 2018

Politics is Politics, who are the factions at play - Brexit Update 3 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

When it comes to politicians the self interest tends to be more important than anything else!! Thus the various factions and those that think they would make a better leader are getting ready for action after the House of Commons defeats the Brexit Deal.   The blog supports the group that takes the UK out of the EU, returns sovereign power to the House of Commons, controls immigration ( it is an issue, that can not be hidden, a section of voters voted for Brexit because of the issue, the EU has funded great new buildings in South Wales but buildings do not create jobs, that why South Wales voted out ) also removes the power of the European Court, and allows the UK to do trade deals.   The UK was Great before the EU and will be Great afterwards, we got through WW1, The Spanish Flu, WW2 and the End of Empire ( that is the blame of the Labour Government ), thus it will be HARD for the first few years after leaving the EU, but in the long term the UK will benefit, we are the UK after all. 

UK's policy on Immigration after Brexit - Brexit Update 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

This above sounds like a political move, it has been argued that that the vote for Brexit had two camps, there were those that voted for the House of Commons to be sovereign again, while others voted over the issue of immigration.   It can be postulated that the Government will bring out a strict immigration policy for those not already here post Brexit, that EU citizens will be treated like everybody else, those already here will NOT BE THROWN OUT, the British do not do things like that!! Also various sectors would be hurt by the move, farming and the service economy, like Hotels etc.    Of course this could mean nothing, if the Deal goes down then the UK might even get a SOFTER Brexit, with free movement, did the UK voter want that in 2016, one has doubts.   Politics is a funny old business. 

The PM in Northern Ireland and Wales - Brexit Update - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

This blog does not see the point of the PM going to Northern Ireland and Wales, they are not the problem, it is the House of Commons.   Let's be clear, Northern Ireland voted to remain in the EU, while Wales voted out ( thank goodness for South Wales ).   Thus we have two weeks of a phony political campaign, the PM will try to sell her deal around the UK, while it is a dead on arrival in the House of Commons.   The PM has challenged Jeremy Corbyn the Labour Leader to a debate, that will be the most boring thing on earth, neither are great on TV, also Corbyn has not read the Withdrawal Agreement thus far.   HAS ANYONE but the PM!! There are rumours of secret meetings between Cabinet Ministers who want a Plan B, that will come out after the Deal is voted down in the House.   Of course the defeat could lead to a Conservative leadership contest, that could take two weeks.  At December will not be boring, well not if your a political geek. 

President Trump is CRITICAL of Ronald Reagan - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

President Trump is not worthy to shine the Golf Shoes of President Reagan.   President Reagan had to deal with Democratic House throughout his two terms as President, and then deal with a Democratic Senate in his last two years.  The Gipper could make DEALS, he worked with the Democrats, he cut government spending, he had a major tax cut, the next one of that scale was by Trump,  he then increased defence spending, to such levels that the old USSR could not match it, he used American power Lebanon and Grenada, he showed the US was back after Vietnam.  The Gipper called out the Soviet Union by calling it the " Evil Empire "  In the 2nd term he had summits with President Gorbachev of the USSR, their Summits ended the Cold War, and lead within a few years to the fall of the USSR itself.   On the domestic front Reagan and the Democrats reformed taxes, and showed that the White House could work with a Democratic Hill.   As for Presidente Trump he has not won a 2nd term, he has been far to friendly with Putin of Russia, he thinks he can deal with North Korea, and his tone as President has not been Presidential.  President Trump will be lucky not to get impeached next year.   Ronald Reagan was a GREAT President, his VP won in 1988, neither Bill Clinton or President Obama could get the Democratic nominee after them elected. 

Monday, November 26, 2018

PM May in the House of Commons - Brexit Update 3 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The Daily Mail has been very supportive the PM, but even they can see the writing on the wall, the UK-EU Deal is dead on arrival, so what is the point of the PR campaign by the PM.   The article reports that the No 10 will try to get Labour MPs to support the Deal, good luck with that, even Labour Hard Brexit supporters have stated they will oppose the deal, why take the heat of supporting something if it is going nowhere.   On the whole is must be boring for the reporters, the next two weeks will not change the result, of course the PM could be going for a 2nd House of Commons vote, that might work if the Markets fold, but that is a great gamble, like the rest of the UK voters this blog just wants it OVER. 

What if the May's Brexit Plan fails? - Brexit Update 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Well the above is  NON ANSWER, will the PM go back to the EU, will she resign, will she do a deal with the other Parties, or will she call an election.  One is starting to suspect that No 10 is starting to believe its own press statements, that is NOT GOOD in political terms.   So lets see the options, if the PM was crafty she would go for a No Deal Brexit, that would frighten the Opposition Parties and the hard remainers in the Conservative Party.   If the PM followed that route then the Aces would be held by her, the EU would come running for a deal, and the Opposition Parties would be forced to deal.  The question is the PM a  good politician, if the General Election is anything to go by then the answer is NO, she is no Lady Thatcher.