Monday, June 11, 2018

The State of Play for tomorrow for the House of Commons - Update 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Ah to be a fly on the wall of the office of the Chief Whips, for both the Government and the Opposition.   One presumes that there will be rebels on both sides, it will be interesting to see how many Conservatives rebels vote for the House of Lords Amendments, the reverse with the Labour, who will support the Government when it comes to negating the Lords Amendments.  The 24/7 channels will need half the screen for the US and North Korean Summit and the other for the House of Commons.

Your Brexit Story for the Day - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The crunch day for Brexit is tomorrow, there are 15 Amendments from the House of Lords.  The House of Commons should support the Lords when it comes to the UK staying in the Customs Union and Single Market.   The votes will be close, one only hopes that enough Tory rebels to give the Opposition a victory and secure a better future for the UK. The Summit between the US and North Korea and the House of Commons tomorrow makes for an interesting day. 

North Korea and its past promises to the US - Update 2 - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval has to be careful that it is not played by the North Korean Regime, in the past North Korea has made promises that it went back on straight away.  President Reagan had a great line, Trust by Verify, that means inspectors on the ground in North Korea to check if North Korea is keeping to the agreement.   As for PR, the Summit is good for Trump and Kim Jong Un, both can act the statesman, tomorrow will be very interesting.

The US and North Korean Summit - Update - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

Both US and North Korean leaders want a successful Summit for different reasons, Trump has something to prove, that he can do DEALS that stick and he is better than past Presidents.  The North Korean leader wants to end the sanctions that have been imposed on the North Korea by the World.   Thus a good deal would be that North Korean give up its nuclear missiles, while they get a Treaty that secures the North Korean Regime.   On the US side, Trump must not be appear weak, if Kim Jong-un is playing him the President must not be afraid to walk out.   The two leaders meet at 9am UK time tomorrow. 

Friday, June 08, 2018

Conservatives have a 7% lead over Labour - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The Conservatives have had a BAD WEEK when it comes to Brexit, but they are still 7 point ahead of Labour.  There have been rumours of a General Election in October if the PM can not get her own way with Brexit.   The PM has to be tough, she should make it clear to the rebel MPs in the House of Commons that they could face a General Election, MPs will soon get the point, with elections you never know the result.   In a odd way a good week for the PM. 

The UK's backstop for Northern Ireland - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The EU and the Republic Ireland are playing hardball with the UK when it comes to a solution over the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, it is time for the UK to make it clear that we will not be bullied by either.   The UK should walk out of the EU meetings, show the EU that will we will not put up with their foolish attempts to break the UK apart.  Also we should keep our money, and make it clear that if the EU and Republic play games the UK will take billions off the table. 

Trump wants Russia back in the G7 - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

What is it with Russia and Trump, he gains no fans by wanting to have Russia back in the G7, so why bring it up.   One has the viewpoint that Russia must have something on Trump, no other President would state the above view after Russia was thrown out of the G8.  In the fact the G7 is only a day meeting for POTUS, he is off for his meeting with the North Koreans next Tuesday, one does wonder that the two mercurial and egoistical leaders will say to each other, as Tuesday will not be boring, this Summit and the votes in the House of Commons when it comes to Brexit.