Saturday, November 08, 2014

IS Update Part 3 - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

Thus what is the outcome of the increase troops to Iraq, the WARS in Syria and Iraq now belong to President Obama, in many respects Obama is becoming the modern LBJ, his poll ratings falling at home, the WARS in a far place, there being no easy out, the Republicans are gaining due to the Obama failure at home.   As stated in previous post the Oval wants to hand over the WARS to his successor, the problem with that is that IS have a say, what if they move the fight to Jordan and Lebanon,  this would force the US to take on IS on the battle field.    As many have stated, the air power alone strategy will not work, either due to outside events or reality getting through the White House bubble the Oval will face the fact that US troops have to get in to the trenches, its just a matter of when, that is the fate of THE WARS in Iraq and Syria, either the Obama Oval will understand the fact or his successor will get that fact. 

IS Update Part 2 - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

One would have to be a naive fool not to understand the direction of US policy in Iraq and Syria, the Oval by its actions has made it clear that it will not lose Iraq and Syria to IS, losing Syria to Assad is another matter.   That is the problem with the Middle East, your never sure who are your allies or enemies for the long term.    The Oval will face a choice sooner or later, and knowing the luck of Obama it will be sooner, will it fight in Iraq and Syria, the sending of another one thousand five hundred troops makes the Obama legacy stuck with Iraq and Syria.   The decision to leave Iraq in 2011 with no US troops was a massive mistake, the result was IS, this time President Obama can not afford to lose, his legacy is on the line, thus expect more troops to be sent to the Middle East. 

IS Update - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

At last the US doing the right thing, the WAR in Iraq and Syria requires US ground troops, it does not matter what the Oval calls them, in the Vietnam day they were called military advisors, the Iraq forces need the backbone of US troops.   The Wars in Syria and Iraq will take years, it will be bloody and messy, that will happen after 2017, President Obama wants to keep the War low key while he is on office.   The REAL War will take place with the successor of President Obama, that could be Secretary Hillary Clinton, or Jeb Bush.   The Oval Office does not want the legacy that it left Iraq to early and had to go back, it wants that to be on the desk of his successor.   More troops will be sent to Iraq, its matter of connecting the dots. 

Wednesday, November 05, 2014

The Mid Terms and the Obama Legacy - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real:

It is not all doom and gloom, Obama is still President, he can make history on the international stage, he has the WARS in Iraq and Syria, then the overall WAR ON TERROR, then we have the presence of ten thousand US troops in Afghanistan, the talks with Iran on its nuclear plans, the ever present threat from Putin's Russia.   Lets start with Iraq and Syria, the US needs ground troops in Syria and Iraq, that is the only way that the US can win, either Obama places troops in these two countries or the World will think that he is not tough enough to wins these wars.   In the War on Terror, the Oval needs to carry on with its drone strikes and the use of Special Forces, it has worked, and this blog has stated so, then we come to the troubling deal with a nuclear Iran, if the deal benefits Iran THE US Congress, both Republicans and Democrats will hit the roof.   Also Israel might strike knowing that the US Congress will support such action.  On Russia the OVAL has to be tough, its a new Cold War 2, weakness in front of the Russian bear will go down badly with Eastern Europe.   As stated Obama can make history or be defined by history, is he strong enough to be tough. 

POTUS FAILS to HEAR Mid Term Message, - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real:

The ego of President Obama can not take the fact that he has been rejected by the US voter, at the end of the day its about OBAMA, one can almost argue that POTUS does not care about the Democratic Party, in the mind of POTUS he can never be wrong, that what happens when the press cover for you, you fail to understand political reality, the Oval is right less people voted than in the 2012 race, that is the problem for the Democrats, the Obama surge of voters only happens if Obama is on the ticket, the Democratic Presidential candidate in 2016 will have to build a new political blocks that gets them elected.   The White House tried to get African Americans out to vote as to help Democratic Candidates, it did not work, and the Clintons were not of much use either, its all to play for in 2016, who can make voters take a leap of faith and support in 2016. 

The BIG Republican WIN - 2nd Obama Term


Lets Get Real:

Thus the 2014 Mid Terms are over, lets get on with the 2016 Presidential race, this STARTS NOW, it is expected that Hillary Clinton will throw her hat in the ring next year, also there is a strong current with Republican ranks for Jeb Bush to run in 2016.    One has to ask are there no new Reagan's or Obama's out there, it seems the US has developed political brands of families, the Roosevelts, Kennedys, Bush's, and you either need a brand name, or be very rich or now people who are rich who think your the man or woman for THE Oval Office.  It would be nice to see a new face, to really support someone who brings something new to the game, not that new that is called Obama and that has been a disaster, someone at least who has run a business or State, has travelled well and understands international politics, but not naive, this blog wants another JFK or Reagan, Obama has been a failure, so that leap of faith you do when you support a candidate has to have some foundation, is that asking to much of the political system. 

The Republican Senate and the Oval Office


Lets Get Real:

The above are soothing words, the kind of words that the liberal NYT likes to hear,  the actual reality will be different, the Senate and the Republican House will start to make life HELL for the Obama Administration, so far the Oval has been protected by having a Democratic Senate, NOW the game has changed, as noted in my previous post the Republicans will drag members of the Obama Administration past and present before the Republican Senate to investigate scandals over the past six years.   The election of the Republican Senate means that the US voter has made it clear that they are VERY unhappy with the Oval Office.   Lets see what POTUS does, can he make deals, can he rent votes in the US Senate as President Reagan did in his time with a Democratic House.   The next two years are going to be tough for President Obama.