Benghazi Suspected Captured in Libya - 2nd Term Blues

Fox News: Reports " Sources: Benghazi attack suspect captured, en route to US "

Lets Get Real:

This is good news for the Oval, President Obama polls should go up with this news, the downside is what the suspect says, if he says it was a terrorist operation and nothing to do with a vile video produced in the US then the Oval has a problem, on the other hand to get some brownie points the suspect might say that the Oval was right, it was down to a vile anti Islamic movie.   One can presume the the House Select Committee will be very interested to hear the real story about the attack.  On the whole this a net plus for the Oval Office, lets see how the story develops. 

The Price of Oil and Iraq - Iraq Crisis

Telegraph - Iraq Live: Reports " fighting moves closer to Baghdad as Iraq's biggest oil refinery shut down....Nearly 300 American forces positioned in and around Iraq "

Lets Get Real:

The more pressure there is on the oil market, e.g local prices for gas goes up, the more pressure on the Oval to hold the line in Iraq, the left of the Democratic Party has been quite so far, but how long before State left wingers start to be critical of Obama as Obama was critical of President Bush.   This is why politics is an art not a science, the fact that Obama is the 1st African - President, a historic moment in American and World history has shielded Obama from the political slings and arrows of attack.  But there are limits, if Obama has to send the troops back in with air cover the sound on the left with start to increase.   President Obama must accept something he does not want to hear, or do, he has no choice, he has to get more troops, call them whatever you want back in to Iraq, he can not afford to lose Iraq, the price would be to high, for the region and the World.   This is why Iraq is so serious for President Obama. 

More Boots on the Ground - Iraq Crisis

Guardian: Reports " ...officials told Reuters that the White House was considering sending a contingent of special forces to train and advise beleaguered Iraqi troops, many of whom have fled their posts in the face of the insurgency. "

Lets Get Real:

This has the smell of another Vietnam War in reverse, the gradual development of 2nd Iraq War, the Oval must know that IT can not afford to lose Iraq to a Al Qaeda franchise group, it would be a political and military disaster, the blame would fall on Obama for taking US troops out in 2011, even the liberal press could not protect him from the scathing reviews that would produce.    If Al Qaeda can take Baghdad it would show that the claim by Obama that Al Qaeda was finished was a major fraud, in essence the US voter was lied to in 2012.   Also on the economic front, the price of gas would go up, and Al Qaeda could have billions to play with, yes that kind of bad case study.   Iraq is serious, there are no good answers, just less evil choices. 

US Boots on the ground in Iraq - Iraq Crisis

The White House: Has released the following Statement, " Today, consistent with the War Powers Resolution, the President transmitted a report notifying the Congress that up to approximately 275 U.S. military personnel are deploying to Iraq to provide support and security for U.S. personnel and the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad.  The personnel will provide assistance to the Department of State in connection with the temporary relocation of some staff from the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad to the U.S. Consulates General in Basra and Erbil and to the Iraq Support Unit in Amman.  These U.S. military personnel are entering Iraq with the consent of the Government of Iraq.  The U.S. Embassy in Baghdad remains open, and a substantial majority of the U.S. Embassy presence in Iraq will remain in place and the embassy will be fully equipped to carry out its national security mission.  "

Lets Get Real:

As noted last night in my tweet, these US Soldiers are boots on the ground, whatever you call them, they are there to defend the US Embassy and Embassy staff, they could become a prime targets for the ISIS terrorists, thus in essence President Obama is reversing his decision of 2011 to remove troops from Iraq.   Lets get basic here, if Baghdad falls then the US and the West has even bigger problems, a terrorist group that would control Iraq's oil and have a presence in Syria.    The US will need US Special Forces on the ground to back up any air bombing by the US, they do not want to hit the innocent people of Iraq, the Obama Administration can call the returning troops whatever they want, it is still boots on the ground. 

US Air Strikes on ISIS an OPTION - Kerry

Telegraph - Iraq Live: Reports following in its 2.01pm post, " US airstrikes "may well be an option" to combat Isis militants in Iraq, says John Kerry.....US President Barack Obama is carrying out "a very thorough vetting of every option that is available," including drone strikes, Mr Kerry said. "

Lets Get Real: 

When President Obama left talks on leaving troops in Iraq to VP Biden it 2011 it was clear that the Oval HAD no interest in Iraq, Biden by all reports is a nice man, but that does not mean that you leave a national security issue of such importance to him, this is the same guy that Robert Gates the former US Defence Secretary under Bush 43 and Obama stated had not been right on foreign policy in forty years.   Thus no agreement in 2011 for the US to stay in Iraq.    The chickens have come home in the shape of ISIS, and Obama might have to use the US  Air Force and Drones to take out the threat of ISIS.   Also the Oval needs Iran to back up the Baghdad Government at the same time that the Oval is trying to get Iran to give up its nuclear ambitions, the Tehran Regime has the Oval by the neither regions and might pull to get its way on the bomb, they take out ISIS and Oval allows Iran to go nuclear and try prevent Israel taking action, yes that is the murky world of the Middle East. 

What US and Iran TALKS on Iraq - Middle East

Guardian: Reports " A number of senior Iranian officials have attempted to downplay prospects of cooperation between Iran and the US over Iraq, ...US defense officials are also pushing back against the idea that the US and Iran will cooperate on an Iraq military campaign.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus when Countries say there are not talks going on, one can be sure  there are back channel talks going on about the issue, on this issue the Tehran Regime and the Oval have the same agenda, to stop ISIS taking over Iraq, this would be a major regional threat and a threat to Western security on the whole.   The Tehran Government wants to make sure that the Shia Government stays in power in Baghdad, the Obama Oval does not want a Al Qaeda State on the ruins of Iraq, this would be a stain on the Obama Administration that no spin or rhetoric could remove, odd bedfellows, but then Churchill had an alliance with Stalin, events, events can change the game if not the board. 

US and Iran working Together ? - Iraq

BBC News: Reports " Washington is considering direct talks with Iran on the security situation in Iraq, a US official has told the BBC. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus as noted in my tweet you have Syria, Iran, the Baghdad Government and the US on the same page when it comes to ISIS, its a strange world, the US has to be careful that it is not seeing as totally supporting Shia followers at the expense of the Sunni Followers.   The Tehran Regime a Shia Country wants to make sure that the Shia Government in Iraq does not fall, the US wants a united Iraq with a democratic government.   All sides are agreed that ISIS is major threat, so various countries can work together, but its due to one issue, if Israel sees that the Oval will not bomb Iran over its nuclear plans it might go it alone.   Thus tough call for the US on the level of talks with Iran.