UK - EU Draft Agreement on the future relationship - Brexit Update - Post Brexit

BBC News: Reports " Theresa May has hailed the draft agreement on post-Brexit relations as "right for the whole of the UK" and insisted a deal "is within our grasp".  "

Lets Get Real:

The showing in the House of Commons this afternoon shows that the Conservative MPs will not support the agreement, that also goes for the Labour Party, DUP, and other Parties.   Thus the question WHY is the PM forcing the issue, it has been suggested by this blog and others that the PM expects the deal to be defeated at the first attempt in the House of Commons but will come back when the markets crash and dare the House of Commons to reject it for a 2nd time.   This is a very risky move.  The Speaker showed his hand by allowing critics of the PM to have a majority of the time at the start, so the Government can not expect any help there.    As a Conservative this blog does not believe in revolution or anything drastic, thus with major concerns this blog will support the DEAL.   After March 2019 the Conservative Government under a Brexit leader can have another look at the agreement, better to take a half loaf now than no loaf.   God only knows what Churchill or Thatcher would have made of this mess. 

Read the Future Deal here:

May's Week on Brexit - Brexit Update - Post Brexit

Re: Last week was interesting, a few Cabinet Ministers resigned and few Ministers of State, but so far no confidence vote in the PM.   Thus the Conservative Party is stuck with a PM it really wants out, while facing the fact that the House of Commons will reject the Brexit Deal. 

Sky News: Reports " Under-fire Theresa May says she is 'determined' to see Brexit through..The PM says leaving was "never going to be easy or straightforward", but a deal "that will work for the UK" is within sight.  "

Lets Get Real:

This blog likes to think it is VERY cynical when it comes to politics, but it does not see the political plan of the PM, she will not move and is facing defeat in the House of Commons.  Does she expect Labour to support the Brexit, thus far there is no indication of that, does the No 10 want the markets to tank after the first failed vote and then go for a second vote.  The PM is putting her job on the line for something that will not pass, it is like Lady Thatcher and the poll tax, ( this blog would put up a statue of Lady T is every part of the UK, a really big one in the mining areas of the South Wales Valleys ) even Lady T had to go at the end as the poll tax was a disaster.   What is No 10 up too? 

The Florida Senate Result - US Mid Terms - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " Florida's outgoing Republican Governor Rick Scott has declared victory in a contested Senate race in the state.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the Republicans have 52 Seats in the Senate while the Democrats have 47, there is still one race outstanding.   This result means that the Republicans can push through Trump Judges and confirmations for the Cabinet.   The Republican Majority Leader will have to listen less to moderates in his ranks, even more so if the Republicans can add another Seats to their ranks.  The Republicans can expect the Democrats to try and impeach President Trump, this will NEVER happen as the Republican Senate will never convict, their voters would never support the idea.  The political fun starts next year, the Democrats have the House and the 2020 cycle starts.  

Doctor Who Review - Kerblam!

Doctor Who News: Reports " Doctor Who: Kerblam! was watched by 5.93 million viewers, a share of 28.5% of the total TV audience, according to unofficial overnight figures. "

Lets Get Real:

This was another great show from the Doctor Who Team. the story was fun, the Doctor got a present from an international store ( you do not have to be a Time Lord to work out who it was meant to be ) it was Fez, that does bring back happy memories!! the Doctor is still having problems with working the TARDIS, that is good, this takes back to the original format, as the TARDIS said itself, it did not take the Doctor were he/she wanted to go but were he/she was needed.   The Doctor landed the Tardis and started to investigate, she and her team become part of the workforce, the Doctor took some time to find the real threat, it was not the management or the computer system, it was ( spoiler ).  Below the surface there was a political message, that modern technology is pushing people out of work, but the action showed how dangerous and limited that thought was, ( spoiler ).   There was romance, the actress from Vanity Fair guest starred, but the relationship never got chance because ( spoiler ).   One critic of the new season is that the Doctor needs a romantic interest, male or female, it just added depth to the show. 

The House of Commons and the Brexit Deal - Brexit Update 3 - Post Brexit

Daily Mail: Reports " However, the apparent victory for the PM could be only temporary respite, as she faces an even bigger task to get the measures through Parliament amid a massive mutiny from Tory backbenchers and the DUP, and Labour opposition.  "

Lets Get Real:

The pressure on the Conservative Chief Whip just increased, it is his job to count the votes, he needs to be honest with the PM and the Cabinet.  IF the votes are not there, then the PM has to go to Plan B, the question is what is plan b.   The PM should be ready to go for a no deal Brexit, this would get the hard Brexit supports back in line, she would have to dare the hard remainers to bring the Conservative Government down.   It will be interesting to see the House of Commons tomorrow, how many MPs support the PM from within the Conservative Party and will any Labour MPs support the Brexit deal.  Brexit is like a Vampire, it never goes away!

Is the UK PM on weak ground ? - Brexit Update 2 - Post Brexit

Sky News - Live Reporting: Reports in its 8.27pm post via Twitter the following, " And so.... maybe not resignations immediately but this is very, very shaky ground. DD and BJ resigned 48 hours & 72 hours respectively after Chequers ‘signed off’ "

Lets Get Real:

Those in the Cabinet who opposed the UK - EU Deal will be taking soundings from their fellow MPs and Brexit supporters, do they stay and see the deal defeated in the House of Commons or do they jump ship. It can be argued that if the deal is going down it is better to be out of the mess, then come back and say they have the history but also understand what the Conservative Party and Country wants. Politics is a RUTHLESS business, one minute you are out of the office and the next you are out of office. It will be interesting to read what the right wing and left wing papers say about the deal.

UK Cabinet supports UK - EU Deal - Brexit Update - Post Brexit

BBC News: Reports " The cabinet has backed a draft withdrawal agreement between the UK and the EU, Theresa May has said.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the UK Cabinet has support the PM, it has been reported that 10 Ministers opposed the deal, it will be interesting in the hours and days ahead to see if ANY of the Cabinet resign.   The last time PM May got an agreement about Europe it lead to the resignation of her Brexit Secretary and Foreign Secretary within a few days.  The next hurdle in the House of Commons, if the hard Brexit supporters, and the hard remainers with the Opposition oppose the deal it will fail.   Thus the PM has to SELL the deal, that goes for the Cabinet too.   The Hard remainers will face pressure to support the deal if the EU supports the deal, tricky time for them.   Also it can be assumed that some LABOUR MPs will also support the government as they want OUT of the EU.   Is the PM up to the task, so far so good for her. 

Live Updates from the BBC on Brexit/Cabinet and the House of Commons.