Romney BAD MAN - Obama/Biden Advert

Lets Get Real:

This is  a very negative advert, it makes Romney out to to be what LIBERALS think is bad.  How effective, not that much, the debates really did destroy this image.  The Obama team is still throwing this kind of rubbish out, why, if they are going to WIN? 

Obama KICKING of the US - Romney/Ryan Advert

Lets Get Real:

This advert is good, really goes after Obama's weak Middle East Policy and his coldness towards Israel.  Also in political terms it goes after the Jewish vote.  Thus a WIN WIN for the Romney team.   The problem for Romney is that the 1st debate came to late, if the debate had come weeks before then Romney/Ryan might have won, still doubt its going to happen folks. 

Ohio Polls - 2012 US Election

RCP: Reports on its average of the State Polls from Ohio, as of today President Obama leads Governor Romney by 48.0% to 45.7%, a 2.3% lead. 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks this Blog has not seen a Ohio Poll that has Romney leading Obama, either Obama is leading or is tied with Romney.  All the polls can not be bent, thus the projection by this blog that POTUS will get a 2nd term.  President Obama has to WIN Ohio and not lose any Blue States.    It will be a very narrow win folks, Obama might win the Electoral College but lose the national vote, also the Republicans could take Congress, they already control the House, they are close to taking the Senate.    Thus the next four years could be very hard for the Chicago political mob.  As the old saying goes, to Win is to Lose. 

The Tracking Polls - 2012 US Election

Thus folks its that time of the week, the Obama vs. Romney Polls of likely Voters.

Rasmussen Reports: Today in its daily tracking poll we find Governor Romney leading President Obama by 50% to 46%, a 4% lead. 

Gallup: Reports in its tracking poll that Governor Romney leads President Obama by 51% to 46%, a 5% lead. 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks it seems that Governor Romney has a lead of between 4% to 5%.  Its healthy folks, and one would normally project a winner even this far out, but its down to the Electoral College folks.  Thus Governor Romney might win the popular vote as VP Gore did in 2000 but lose the Oval to President Obama, as the last poll this blog saw had Obama with a small lead in Ohio.   Thus even with these National Polls this blog is still keeping to a 2nd Obama term.  Of course should the polls be found to be a fraud in favour of the Democrats this blog will not be happy.   Thus folks, a VERY long night waiting for Ohio. 

Afghanistan Front News

MOD: Has announced the names of the two UK Armed Forces Personnel killed on Wednesday in Afghanistan,  they were " Corporal David O’Connor from 40 Commando Royal Marines and Corporal Channing Day from 3 Medical Regiment ".  Our thoughts are with the families of Corporals O'Connor and Day. 

No More Gender Gap - 2012 US Election

Telegraph Live - US Election: Reports that the previous female gender gap that benefited President Obama has gone a new AP-Gfk Poll has found, the article notes the following, " .. Barack Obama at one point has a 16 point advantage with women over Mitt Romney. ....The poll shows Romney pulling even with Obama among women at 47-47 after lagging by 16 points a month earlier. "

Lets Get Real:

The three Presidential debates really helped Governor Romney, the Obama Camp has spent multi millions on the message  that Romney was a rich guy out of touch with Main Street, the debates showed that Romney understood the pain of main street, he always took the message back to the economy.   Women voters care about social issues such as abortion, but they also want a good job.  On that score President Obama has failed women, thus the above poll.    The Obama Team will really have to push the abortion issue, they will have to scare women that Romney will bring back in backstreet abortions, lets see if these scare tactics work folks.   This blog is starting to have its doubts. 

Early Vote gets to BE POTUS - 2012 US Election

BBC News: Reports that President Obama has voted early, this is an attempt to get early voters and thus the lead in early voting States. 

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks lets see if this works, the Democratic Campaign machine and Unions have an effective field operation, thus should help POTUS in Ohio and Florida.    The only weak point for POTUS is if he losses some big BLUE States, this would change the picture of a Obama WIN, it would be a narrow defeat.   It is going to be close folks, its going to be a VERY long time, still this blog is predicting that Obama will get a 2nd term, but a Republican Congress and the wish by 2016 that he has lost, politics is not fair folks, it is a harsh business, even by winning you could lose.