US Unemployment Rate and the US Election

Telegraph: Reports the following on the surprise drop in the US unemployment rate, the article notes the following, " ..dropped to its lowest level in almost four years, giving President Barack Obama a boost as the presidential race enters its final month. ".

Lets Get Real:

Thus the news cycle will now turn from disaster for the 1st Presidential debate for POTUS to  how good the economy is going, that will be the message of the of the uber liberal main stream media.    There will be talk that President Obama is following the path of Ronald Reagan in 84, that the next debate Obama will come out fighting.   As the news  was unexpected the left will be in praise of the news, while the right will argue that the figures are miss leading, that as stated 8 million Americans have given up looking for work since Obama become President, this will be made to sound like sour grapes by the left.   They will be wrong but it will work, politics is not fair folks, its called democracy. 

US Unemployment DOWN to 7.8% - US Election

BBC News:  Reports that the US Unemployment rate has gone down from 8.1% to 7.8%.

Lets Get Real: 

This will be VERY good news to Team Obama, they can now argue that the US is heading in the right direction, that the US economy is coming back, political perception is reality folks.  The right will argue that since 2009 8 million Americans have given up looking for work, and if you counted those the rate would be 11%.    That does not matter, in 1984 Reagan had 7.5% unemployment rate, also had a bad first debate but came back knocked out VP Mondale in the 2nd debate and won by 59% of the vote, 49 States and 525 electoral votes.   Thus as stated President Obama will win, it will be narrow, also he could lose the US Senate, thus a 2nd term but no mandate.   Doubt he will place Senator Kerry in the State Department after his failure as a coach for the 1st debate.  How about Bill Clinton, that would be interesting move by POTUS. 

Obama TAX HIKER - Romney/Ryan Advert

Lets Get Real:

The Romney Camp hits POTUS over taxes, good advert, always better if an outside group supports you, seems to be giving fair judgement.    Lets see how the US voter reacts to the 1st Presidential debate.  It is a pity that Romney waited so long to come out of the gate fighting, the Chicago political mob defined him before he could really define himself.  But a good try from Romney. 

Obama HITS back after DEBATE - Obama/Biden Advert

Lets Get Real:

This is why President Obama will get a 2nd term folks, the Chicago Obama team hit back after a weak episode.   They hit Romney over his tax plan, stating that the Middle Class would pay for any Romney tax cuts.   The Chicago way might be low but it works folks. 

Syrian - Turkish Front - Syrian Update

Guardian: Reports the following from the Syrian - Turkish border, the Turks have  " fired into the county for a second day after shelling killed five civilians in a Turkish border town. ".

Lets Get Real:

Folks the Syrian and Turkish Governments might want to cool down the hot zone on the border, they can not control local Commanders from starting a War.   The Syrian Army knows the opposition can regroup on the Turkish  side of the border, thus these latest cross border incidents.   As the Syrian Civil War goes on the Syrian Army will get more angry and frustrated with Turkey being a safe zone for the rebels, thus the chance of more stray hits on Turkey, thus the real chance of War.   One can make a case for Turkey going in to Syria and overthrowing the Assad Regime, as long as they do not stay, the longer this Syrian Civil War goes on the more likely that a regional war will develop, also the threat of WMD's  being used.  Keep your eye on this story folks, there will be developments. 

Syrian - Turkish War ? - Syrian Update

Telegraph:  Reports that the Turkish Parliament has approved " ...approved military operations against targets in Syria following the deaths of five Turkish citizens from Syrian shelling. "

Lets Get Real:

This could be the October surprise of US elections folks, what if Turkey, a NATO member gets dragged in to a War with Syria, thus the US and President Obama would have no choice but to support its close ally.   While Iran would be supporting the Assad Regime.  The US left would go bonkers should POTUS after Libya get the US in to another War.   That could have been the reason that Obama was off his game at the 1st Presidential Debate.   Also when it comes to the Presidential debate of foreign affairs the Oval could be dealing with the growing perception in the US that the Oval covered up the terrorist attack on the US Consulate in Libya and that Obama is weak over Iran, that he has thrown Israel under the bus and he has not take clear action in Syria, thus the chance of a Syrian - Turkish War. Well President Obama wanted the job, the World does not rest for US Elections. 

Romney WINS 1st Debate - US Election 2012

BBC News: Reports that Governor Romney won the first of the US Presidential Debates of 2012.

Lets Get Real: 

It was interesting folks, as this blog has called the election for Obama it was more interested in what a 2nd Obama term would look like, thus my tweets of last night, in doing so this blog missed something, its how the Candidates appeared before the voters.   Thus while this blog had Romney winning the debate on substance it did not really take in to account the manner of either candidate.    Thus this blog fell in to 1960s trap, let me explain, those that listened to the 1960 debate between Kennedy and Nixon thought Nixon had won on substance, but of course it was the start of the TV age, and Kennedy won on PR.   Thus as mentioned by commentators Romney looked happy to be there, up for a fight, while POTUS wished he was anywhere else.  It showed.   This blog still thinks Obama is going to WIN, but it will be narrow, and there will be no mandate, just a 2nd term.  It was a good show by Romney if to late, it might help in Congressional races, the 2nd debate should be fun folks, Obama can not afford another bad debate.