Thursday, February 18, 2021

President Biden talks to Israeli PM - Biden Era

The White House: Has a readout of the telephone call between President Biden and the Israeli PM,  Benjamin Netanyahu, " President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. spoke today by phone with Prime Minister Netanyahu of Israel. The President affirmed his personal history of steadfast commitment to Israel’s security and conveyed his intent to strengthen all aspects of the U.S.-Israel partnership, including our strong defense cooperation. Together, the leaders discussed the importance of continued close consultation on regional security issues, including Iran. The President emphasized U.S. support for the recent normalization of relations between Israel and countries in the Arab and Muslim world. He underscored the importance of working to advance peace throughout the region, including between Israelis and Palestinians. Together, they affirmed their shared interest in continued strategic cooperation to confront the many challenges facing the region. "

Lets Get Real:

The Israeli side will know that the good times under Trump are over, that Biden whatever he says will try to return to the Obama Nuclear Deal.   Thus the one of the two ACE's that Israel has in the Mid Terms in 2022, the Biden will not want to be seen as a sell out before then.  One can suspect that the Biden Administration is already in secret talks with Tehran to return to the deal, but the Oval knows that if it lifts the Trump sanctions without some concession from Tehran it will be seen as sell out of the first order.   Thus expect Tehran to make a soft concession and for that to be taken by Biden as a way to to revoke the Trump sanctions, this might happen just before or just after the Mid terms.  The Biden Administration will want to see Israel good relationship with the other Arab Countries, this also gives Israel an ACE, Israel and its Arab NOW friends see Iran as a threat, thus the Israelis with the help and assistance of the Gulf States could attack Iran before its secret nuclear planning bears fruit.   The prospect of a nuclear Iran will be to much for Israel and its friends.   This development could lead to a problem for the Biden Oval, does it support ISRAEL or is it critical of Israel, Democrats will be worried that voters will see Biden as a modern Neville Chamberlain, if he sells out Israel.   Also there is the problem of AFGHANISTAN; will Biden who went out of his way to undermine Obama when he was Vice - President when it come to Afghanistan; keep US troops in Kabul or will he do a President Ford, who saw the US runout of South Vietnam;  watch as the last Americans leave Afghanistan by helicopter with the Taliban at the door.  The Biden Administration has not had a foreign policy crisis yet, it will come, they always do. 

No comments: