RCP Blog: Reports on a new poll that shows that President Obama's approval rating going down, the Quinnipiac Poll has Obama at 46% approval rating, while 44% have a negative view of the President. The White House and the Democratic Leadership in the Hill are using the argument that once Obama's health care reform bill is passed his polls will go up, what if they are wrong, lets recall that in the 1960s LBJ pushed for civil rights, it was the right thing to do, but it handed the South over to the Republicans. This is one of the reasons that the White House on the whole was in Republican hands after the 1960s from Nixon to Bush 43. What if by passing the health care reform Bill the Democrats are breaking the camels back, lets recall that after 1945 and the introduction of the NHS in the UK the government for the majority of the period was not in Labour hands but the Conservatives. This is not late 1983/84 when the economy turned around and saw Reagan thrash Walter Mondale by 49 States and 525 Electoral Votes. All the Obama Taxes to pay for his health care reform bill could damage the recovery, thus it could be slow and thus by 2012 Obama could find that he wants to spend more time with his family and decides not run, he does not want to be one term President but to lose in 2012 would be worse, thus Obama might nor run in 2012.
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