BBC News: Reports another British Soldier has been killed in combat in Afghanistan, the death total now stands at 143. This will be not the last death, the expected surge of troops as requested by President Obama will place more of our troops in the firing line. This is an Endless War, one we cant win, one we cant afford to lose, that is Afghanistan.
A look at the Politics of the United States and the UK. The Foreign Policies of both countries and how they behave in the International Community.
Friday, January 30, 2009
Obama and Reagan
CNN News: Reports on the deal making in the Senate to get the Obama Economic Plan passed. Reagan in 81 got support from Democrats for his Economic Plan, Obama needs to be on the Hill, making deals with Republicans, even if this annoys the Democrats. If the Bill is done with only Democratic support then if it does not work its down to Obama, thus President Obama needs Republicans on board. Its a matter of pure politics, if the plan works and its done only with Democrats they get the all the good reviews; but and this is the BUT; if does not work then Obama will be Jimmy Carter Mark 11.
Obama's Economic Plan and the Senate
Fox News: Reports that President Obama might have trouble in getting Senate Democrats to support his Economic Plan. This is the time for Republicans to hold together in the Senate, make the Obama Economic Plan a real bonus for the economy, it needs more tax cuts for individuals and business, also the pork from the House has to be thrown out. Call your Senator to oppose the present Obama Economic Plan.
Blair and Hamas
The Times: Has an Exclusive, former UK PM Tony Blair and now Envoy to the Middle East wants to bring Hamas in to discussions about peace in the region. The Obama Administration will have to be careful with this idea, there is still the Jewish Lobby in the United States, also Obama wants to get re-elected, losing Florida with its large older Jewish population would not be a good idea. Also there is the Israeli elections next month, if a more Conservative Government comes in to power this could limit the moves of Obama. PM Gordon Brown must wish Mr Blair would go to Spain to write his book on his time in power.
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Obama, Hillary Clinton and Iran
Guardian: Reports that the US State Department wants better relationships with Iran; following the agenda of President Obama; the Department is drafting different letters that Obama can send to Iran. The problem with Diplomats is that they think talk is and end in itself, Iran wants to become a Nuclear Power with a bomb, they will talk and talk, keep Obama on the edge that there will be good relationship between Iran and the USA. Then when Obama thinks he has a deal they will announce they have the bomb, Israel will hit Iran and Iran will attack Iraq, and all hell will break lose. The President has fallen in to trap of thinking his press releases are truth, better Presidents than Obama will ever be have found that the Middle East is the one region that will never change, Obama is spending his political capital, the problem is once its gone its over in less your a Reagan or a Clinton, Obama is great at rhetoric but reality on the ground is another matter, Iran can only end the way of the USSR.
Obama's First Victory
BBC News: Reports the United States House of Representatives has passed the Obama Economic Plan. In pure political terms this is a good victory for the President, the Bill now has to go to the US Senate. I noticed when watching the Live Feed from D.C that no Republican voted for Bill and double figures of Democrats also voted against the Bill, they must be from Conservative areas. If Obama cant get any Republicans in the Senate or at least more than a few then if this plan fails its all down to him. But this is a victory, Obama has shown that he can manage the Democrats on Hill. As the years go by this will be less easy, if the US Economy is in the toilet next year then Obama will have tough Mid Terms, Reagan had losses in 1982. But he did win big in 1984.
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
900 Billion Bailout for USA
WSJ: Reports on the 900 Billion stimulus for the USA Economy. Folks if this works I will eat my hat, FDR tried the same thing, in the early years the spending helped, but once FDR pulled the plug on the government spending, guess what happened, yes back to the Second Great Depression. In a odd way FDR was lucky; he was a lucky politician; World War Two was around the corner, thus more government spending. President Obama in some respects has only the one term to get this right; he can only serve two terms; if he wins re - election he will be in American Terms a lame duck President, if he keeps VP Biden as his running mate he will see within a year of his second term starting those running for 2016. Thus if the economy has dived as in did in the mid 30s the Democrats will be running away from Obama, Bush had the same problem, he didn't even go to the 2008 Republican Convention. Thus if we have a recession in 2013 after all this money has been spent the Democrats will be running away from Obama, the Republicans will argue that since they didn't vote for the Stimulus package its all on Obama. Thus the reason the President is chasing Republican votes, if he wins only by Democrats and this does not work, well then the sole blame will be his, history is not that new, and Obama is no JFK or Reagan, much less the secular second coming.
Labels:
2016,
FDR,
JFK,
Obama Administration,
VP Biden,
World War Two
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