Middle East Tensions - Update 3 - Trump Era

Daily Mail: Reports " Israeli snipers kill scores of Palestinians and wound 1,300 as 35,000 protesters rally against the US Embassy opening in Jerusalem overseen by Trump's Middle East envoy Jared Kushner and daughter Ivanka   "

Lets Get Real:

One is sad to see deaths over a building.  But and there is always a BUT, the Israeli Capital is Jerusalem, and the in the Campaign of 2016 Trump promised to move the Embassy to the capital if he was elected.   You can call President Trump many things, but he always keeps his promises, as with the case with Israel.  In a odd way Trump is very truthful, if he promises something he follows through with it, not the norm for Western politicians.  The tough Trump foreign policy has seen a breakthrough with the North Koreans, who is to say that Trump is not right when it comes to the Middle East.  Peaceful protests YES, but violent ones requires the Israeli security forces to react. 

Middle East Tensions - Update 2 - Trump Era

Sky News: Reports " 41 Palestinian protesters killed as the opening ceremony for the US embassy in Jerusalem begins. "

Lets Get Real:

The leaders of the Palestinian protests are pushing people to their death, the security of Israel has to be protected.  Not one life is worth it, at the end of the day it is just a building.  The Palestinian leadership have had a chance of their own Country, under the Bill Clinton and Bush 43 Presidencies, but they walked away.   The Palestinian people deserve better leaders, leadership that sees the real world, not some forgotten history.   The Palestinian people should accept a deal that allows Israel to feel secure, otherwise it is a pointless deal. Sad for the MIDDLE EAST, a building is not worth the cost any life.

Middle East Tensions - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " Gaza clashes: Dozens killed as US opens Jerusalem embassy "

Lets Get Real:

This is an historic day for Israel, the US Government moves its Embassy to Jerusalem, the Capital of a Jewish Israeli State.   The Palestinians think that they will get a State at some time, that will never happen, a Palestinian State would be a threat to Israel, a real Palestinian State would control its borders and air space, these would be used by Iran to spread it terror in to Israel.  The Palestinian people have to understand that Israel and the West in reality will not help or allow for a such a State.  The US will always protect Israel, also the Countries in the Middle East are more worried by a nuclear armed Iran since the Trump Oval exited the Obama/Iran deal.   It is time for Palestinian people to move on, accept a compromised State, one that is not really sovereign, Israel would need to control its borders and airspace, as to secure the security of Israel. 

Mexican Standoff - Brexit Update 3 - Post Brexit

Daily Mail: Reports " Tory rebels will 'plunge a knife into the heart' of Theresa May's premiership by voting to stay in EU customs union, warns Iain Duncan Smith  "

Lets Get Real:

The Conservative Party is split, you have the hard remainers who want to stay within the EU and the Hard Brexit supporters who want to leave yesterday.   The PM is stuck in the middle, the Conservative Government is a minority government, they have to listen to the DUP.   The DUP wants to make sure there is no border between the North and the South and also that Northern Ireland is treated as part of the UK.   The PM does not have all the time in the World, she must make a choice, stay or remain, either one and stick to it, and threaten any opposition with a General Election, sometimes you have to be ruthless to be kind. 

Soft Brexit CALL - Update 2 - Post Brexit

Sky News: Reports " David Miliband joins Nick Clegg and Nicky Morgan in call for soft Brexit..Labour's former shadow foreign secretary steps back into the Westminster spotlight to warn a hard Brexit will cause economic pain.  "

Lets Get Real:

The CALL is right but it comes from LOSERS, to use a Trump phase, one stabbed in the back by his own brother, the other one lost his Seat in the General Election.  WHY should the UK voter support such views when Party members voted against one brother over another, and the other was thrown out of his Seat because Liberal Democrats supported tuition fees.   Two of the three named are no longer in Parliament, so easy to argue this point, while the third might rebel against a three line whip if May goes for a HARD Brexit. 

                                                        

LOSERS GO AWAY!!!

Customs Partnership Debate - Update - Post Brexit

BBC News: Reports " Michael Gove has cast doubt on the viability of Theresa May's proposed customs partnership with the EU after Brexit, telling the BBC it has "flaws".  "

Lets Get Real:

The Cabinet division on Brexit is being fought in the public arena, the PM has to get control of her Cabinet, internal discussions and opposition should be held in private not on the TV and newspapers.   The PM has to be firm, she should lead the Government in to her policy choice, she has to argue that if the UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market, it makes the Irish border problem go away and restricts any actions by a Corbyn Government should it win the next election.   The Conservative Party likes strong leaders, Churchill, Thatcher, weak Leaders are a problem, as with the case of Sir John Major.  The PM needs to win the public and private argument when it comes to Brexit, what is right for the Conservative Party and the Country. 

Will there be a War between Israel and Iran ? - Trump Era

Washington Post: Reports " How Trump’s Iran deal decision may lead to war "

Lets Get Real:

After President Trump withdrew from the Obama/Iran deal the Tehran Regime used their presence in Syria to bomb Israeli defence structures in the Golan Heights, Israel of course has countered such an attack, the question is what is next.   One can argue that Iran will not push to far, as the Trump Oval unlike the Obama Oval will allow Israel to strike in Syria and Iran if needed.  The hard liners in Tehran will want to show that even with the Obama/Iran alive as long as it supported by the EU that it will follow through with tough action, then one can expect low level attacks from Iran on the border between Syria and Israel.  Of course if Iran goes down the nuclear road then ALL BETS are off, the Israeli Government will not allow Iran to get the bomb.  Tehran will have learnt from North Korea, get a nuke and the US will do a deal, let's hope President Trump does not give the store away when it comes to North Korea, the devil is in the details.