Do Polls LIE ? - 2012 US Election

Telegraph: Looks at how the uber liberal NYT looks at poll evidence, the article notes the following, " ..has there ever been such an effort by one side to poll their way to victory?...We’ve witnessed the evolution of polling from an objective gauge of the public mood to a propaganda tool: partisan and inaccurate. ".

Lets Get Real:

Lets recall folks that the Uber liberal NYT covered for Stalin, thus they will do what ever it takes to get President Obama re-elected, they have not covered Libyagate in full as it might hurt the Oval.   This blog has been worried for months that the National and State polls have be bent to benefit the Oval.    Although this blog is suspect of polls it has projected that President Obama will get a 2nd term.   With the exception of the last poll from Ohio this blog has not seen a poll with Romney ahead.   This blog is keeping with its projection due to the Obama ground game in Ohio and because the Unions are going out of their way to support their man, they need Obama in the Oval to protect their rights from their point of view.    Lets see how Hurricane Sandy effects the polls, will Obama get a bounce or he will become another Bush 43.  It is down to Mother Nature folks. 

Ohio, Obama's State ? - 2012 US Election

Rasmussen Reports: Has a new State poll from Ohio, in this poll Governor Romney is leading President Obama by 50% to 48%, a 2% lead. 

Lets Get Real:

This is first poll this blogger has seen with Governor Romney ahead, it could be a real lead or just an outrider of a poll.  The real news is Hurricane Sandy and the performance of President Obama.  If there is a disaster and the Oval handles it better than Bush 43 then the Oval will get a 2nd term.  IF NOT, then it is all over.   The press for the next few days will be fixated on Mother Earth and her actions, not the ground game in Ohio.   Never less an interesting poll folks. 

Hurricane Sandy and the US Election

BBC News: Reports how Hurricane Sandy is causing having to planned US Presidential Campaigns of President Obama and Governor Romney. 

Lets Get Real:

This could be a major natural disaster that could hit the US, or it could fizzle out, the question for this blog does it effect the US Election.    The simple answer hard to say folks, depends on the results of Sandy, does she make Obama look Presidential, if it all goes wrong does he fall in to the same category of Bush 43 after his hurricane disaster.   Lets see the results and the polls folks, but more important than politics lets hope no one is hurt. 

Romney BAD MAN - Obama/Biden Advert

Lets Get Real:

This is  a very negative advert, it makes Romney out to to be what LIBERALS think is bad.  How effective, not that much, the debates really did destroy this image.  The Obama team is still throwing this kind of rubbish out, why, if they are going to WIN? 

Obama KICKING of the US - Romney/Ryan Advert

Lets Get Real:

This advert is good, really goes after Obama's weak Middle East Policy and his coldness towards Israel.  Also in political terms it goes after the Jewish vote.  Thus a WIN WIN for the Romney team.   The problem for Romney is that the 1st debate came to late, if the debate had come weeks before then Romney/Ryan might have won, still doubt its going to happen folks. 

Ohio Polls - 2012 US Election

RCP: Reports on its average of the State Polls from Ohio, as of today President Obama leads Governor Romney by 48.0% to 45.7%, a 2.3% lead. 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks this Blog has not seen a Ohio Poll that has Romney leading Obama, either Obama is leading or is tied with Romney.  All the polls can not be bent, thus the projection by this blog that POTUS will get a 2nd term.  President Obama has to WIN Ohio and not lose any Blue States.    It will be a very narrow win folks, Obama might win the Electoral College but lose the national vote, also the Republicans could take Congress, they already control the House, they are close to taking the Senate.    Thus the next four years could be very hard for the Chicago political mob.  As the old saying goes, to Win is to Lose. 

The Tracking Polls - 2012 US Election

Thus folks its that time of the week, the Obama vs. Romney Polls of likely Voters.

Rasmussen Reports: Today in its daily tracking poll we find Governor Romney leading President Obama by 50% to 46%, a 4% lead. 

Gallup: Reports in its tracking poll that Governor Romney leads President Obama by 51% to 46%, a 5% lead. 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks it seems that Governor Romney has a lead of between 4% to 5%.  Its healthy folks, and one would normally project a winner even this far out, but its down to the Electoral College folks.  Thus Governor Romney might win the popular vote as VP Gore did in 2000 but lose the Oval to President Obama, as the last poll this blog saw had Obama with a small lead in Ohio.   Thus even with these National Polls this blog is still keeping to a 2nd Obama term.  Of course should the polls be found to be a fraud in favour of the Democrats this blog will not be happy.   Thus folks, a VERY long night waiting for Ohio.