Guardian: Reports that the Army of Bahrain has opened fire on protesters with live ammo. This is going to be tricky for the Obama Administration, this could be a lot worse that Egypt folks, the US Fifth Fleet is stationed in the waters of Bahrain, its an important block on Iran, the majority of the population of the Kingdom are Shia, while the Royal Family is Sunni. As Iran is Shia it would play in their hands should the Sunni Royal Family be overthrown and replaced by a Shia Government. This would be seen as a major threat to the Sunni Saudi Arabia and would allow Iran major influence over the Middle East and North Africa. Lets hope POTUS has a plan or the West could be up a creek without a paddle.
A look at the Politics of the United States and the UK. The Foreign Policies of both countries and how they behave in the International Community.
Friday, February 18, 2011
Hot Spot - Israel vs. Iran = Suez Canal
Telegraph: Reports that Iran has requested that two Naval Ships be allowed to use the Suez Canal as a way to get to Syria. This is the first time since the Revolution in Iran in 1979 that Iran has requested such access, the move is seen as a threat by Israel. The question should Egypt give the green light for the passage what will Israel do, what will the Obama Administration do if Israel takes action against the Ships. The move has been seen as a way for Tehran to cause problems for the West and divert attention from its own protests in Tehran. This could be the next hot spot folks, keep an eye on this unfolding story.
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Afghanistan Front News
MOD: Has announced the names of the last two British Soldiers that were killed on Monday, the Soldiers died due to an accident, the Soldiers were “ Private Robert Wood and Private Dean Hutchinson, both of the Royal Logistic Corps (RLC) ”. Our thoughts are with the families of Privates Wood and Hutchinson.
Split Policy for Iran and Bahrain
The New York Times: Reports on two different polices by the Obama Administration when it comes to protests in Iran and Bahrain, in Iran POTUS wants people on the streets, in Bahrain it wants the government to reform but not supporting the protesters. This is down to hard edge politics folks, the American Fifth Fleet has its base in Bahrain, the US needs this base as a counter to Iran. Thus the Oval is being very careful when it comes to Bahrain, it does not want to see protesters overthrowing another ally in the region. In Iran POTUS is getting another chance after he fluffed the protests of last year, even if the protesters fails in Tehran it will keep the Regime on edge, that is good for the US and the West. The mistake Foreign Policy experts make is to assume the last case study matches the last great success, as with the Kennedy Administration they thought they had handled the Cuban Missile Crisis well thus they knew how to deal with the War in Vietnam, they didn’t and Vietnam become the first US War the US has ever lost. Although it seems that Egypt has worked out, one can no tell if this would be the result in Bahrain, Yemen, etc, it could allow Islamic extremists to take over and US Foreign Policy would be damaged for years and Iran would become a Super Power in the region. This is a wise move by POTUS, he is not listening to his idealists, GOOD.
Ahmadinejad = Protesters will FAIL
Guardian: Reports that the President of Iran Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has stated that the protesters in Iran are doomed to fail. Lets be honest here folks, in less the protesters arm up they will fail, the security services of Iran have been told to go in mob handed, they will not allow the protesters in Tehran to get in to the powerful position that the protesters managed in Egypt. The opposition in Iran needs covert military help from the US, so far it does not look like Obama White House has any interest in helping the opposition with military support, the only thing that the Oval is using is words and that has no effect on Tehran, if the Obama Administration does not want to strike Iran with military force before its gets the bomb it should support the opposition, if the Regime was to fall it would be game changer in the Middle East, but does the Oval have the nerve to take such risks, or does it fear to be fearless.
Protests in Libya
Telegraph: Reports on protests in the Libyan City of Benghazi by opponents of Colonel Gaddafi. Let hope this dictator is the next to fall, Colonel Gaddafi is a top level nut, yes he has given up his WMD but that should get him a pass when comes to having a secular Democracy in Libya. The terrorists acts committed and sanctioned by Libyan Government over the years should always be held in account, lets hope this evil leader and yes it is the right word, falls on his actual sword quite soon for the benefit of the Libyan people.
Afghanistan Front News
MOD: Has announced the name of one of the three British Soldiers to die on Monday in Afghanistan, the Soldier killed by an IED was “ Lance Corporal Kyle Cleet Marshall, from 2nd Battalion The Parachute Regiment ” Our thoughts are with the family of Lance Corporal Marshall.
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