A Close 08 Race ?

IBD/TIPP: Reports that their tracking poll has the race a lot closer that most polls. The poll finds the following, Obama 46% - McCain 42%. The four percent lead is lower than my estimate for the final result, Obama 53% - McCain 47%. As Obama is seen as the winner by the Elite Media, there is more of a reason for the voter to look at the Obama plan for USA. Thus it will be interesting to see on election if there is a Bradley Effect, African - American Politicians polling better than actual votes. But if one looks at the margin of the Obama lead from 1% to over 10% it can be argued that Obama will be the next President Elect, it will be his choice if he wants to be Jimmy Carter mark 11 or Ronald Reagan. The not sure at 12% is very interesting, not sure or not wanting to tell the pollster they are voting for McCain.

AP: Also reports a very close race, Obama 44% - McCain 43%. If Obama Campaign would not lose sleep over these two polls, its going to be Obama, us of the conservative view point will have to wait for another Ronald Reagan. Lets recall when there have been a Democratic President and Congress, Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton, they mess it up sooner or later, thus after two years of an Obama Administration the Republicans can take Congress again and then the Presidency two years later, Obama is good but he is no Bill Clinton or Ronald Reagan.

War Crimes of Russia

The Times: Reports on a new film; A Woman in Berlin; that looks at Russian War Crimes in Germany after the defeat of Germany in World War Two. The film looks at the rape of German women by Russian Soldiers. The War Crimes of Germany in the Russia during World War Two are beyond human understanding, the death toll in the millions. Thus when Germany was defeated the Russian soldier had years of losses and bitter rage towards the Germans. The point is a War Crime does not justify another War Crime. The rape of countless German woman should not have happened, people are people good and bad, the old USSR was evil so was Nazi Germany, the World is better off that these two systems no longer exist, in their time they killed millions, Stalin and Hitler different side of the same coin. The new Russia should look to show that it has honour to help with financial aid those women that suffered at the hands of out of control soldiers. Ronald Reagan was right when he called the Soviet Union an Evil Empire, a BBC series a few years ago called the War between the old USSR and Nazi Germany the War of the Century. The World would have been better off if the the Red Army of the USSR and the German Army of Nazi Germany had been thrown to oblivion, a few million people could have been saved.

Shrum on the Polls

This Week: Bob Shrum argues in this article that the Democrats will win this time around, and that it will be the Republicans who will have the bad election night. This is the same Mr Shrum that has lost more Presidential Campaigns than I have had healthy dinners, I don't do healthy dinners!! Mr Shrum says your going to win Obama Campaign, get those volunteer's out now, have them work day and night, no weekend off. Obama will win, but there is a difference from a narrow win and a big win.

Lets Vote Reagan

BBC: Is running a Favourite President vote. Lets win one for the Gipper, Vote for Ronald Reagan as your favourite President. Click Here.

Somme Mud by E.P.F. Lynch ( Edited by Will Davies )

Have started to read Somme Mud, The Experiences of an Infantryman in France 1916 - 1919. Quick Review, Interesting Read, but it should be noted that the language used by Lynch is beyond the racial pale when discussing race. But it should also be noted that it was written by a man from the start of the last Century and who fought in the Battle of Somme. The views of today and the correct rejection of racist views by today's generation does not take away the story of Lynch and his fellow soldiers in the Trenches of World War One.

The Character Issue ?

Fox News: Reports that Senator Obama is taking a few days off the Campaign trail to visit his ill grandmother. This shows real character by Obama, in a fight for the Presidency taking hours or days off is a risk of losing that voter, but Obama is showing real character, hat off to you Sir.

Obama and a International Crisis

Fox News: Reports on another foot in mouth by another Joe, this time Joe Biden the Democratic VP nominee. The future Vice - President of the United States. Senator Biden has stated in a speech and front of a open mike, that Obama will face an International Crisis within the first six months of his Presidency. Lets be fair here, JFK and Cuba 1961, Reagan in 1981 was seen as more tough by Iran thus they sent back the Hostages from Iran just after the Reagan's Inauguration as President, Bush 41 the fall of the Berlin Wall, Clinton and Somalia and the first bombing of the World Trade Centre, Bush 43 and 9/11. These crisis showed the mantle and weakness of the candidates. Reagan was seen as so tough that Iran didnt want to deal with him thus after keeping Carter waiting they gave a gift to Reagan the moment he become President. It is a fair point that Biden makes, it can be argued that Afghanistan will be hot, the terrorists will try another Tet type attack there, the Obama's timetable for Iraq will allow the terrorists to up their attacks on American Troops. Also UBL might think this is the time to see if Obama has a back bone and hits the United States, how would Obama react to a major terrorist attack on the United States. Senator Obama has stated he will attack the badlands of Pakistan should the CIA find UBL hiding under a rock there, will he really attack a friend. The Government of Pakistan is weak, the credit crunch has hit the country hard, its looking for a bailout form the West, the problem is that the West has its own problems.

The next problem that could be faced by a young Obama Administration is if Iran goes nuclear and comes out of the closet with the bomb. This is the one thing Israel will not allow, will Obama Administration really prevent Israel from attacking Iran, will a President Obama go Iran in his first year without preconditions. Thus Senator Biden has a point, the kitchen could very hot, but Obama wanted the job now. Also we have seen Obama on the trail, he has seemed calm and confident, highly intelligent, warmth might be an issue, he needs some Hollywood help with that issue. Thus Obama will know that if wants a second term he can not be another Jimmy Carter, weakness does not go down well with the voters in a crisis. Pure politics can someone please tell Biden to shut up he is not helping, this is the kind of issue that the McCain Camp will have an advert out in hours if not a day.