A Conservative Advert - Vote Conservative

Lets Get Real:

A good advert by the Conservatives, it appeal should be to those with a family, and who want to make sure that their family is a success story.  Also it needles Labour, their first advert had ACTORS in it, who cares what actors thinks, all they have to do is remember the script and hit their spots for the camera.  VOTE Conservative 

A BAD DEAL between the US and Iran - Iran Crisis

The New York Times: Reports " Iran and five other nations appeared on Tuesday to move closer to a preliminary political accord to limit Tehran’s nuclear program...Yet any accord that is reached will be, by design, an interim instrument — more an outline of areas of agreement that might be devoid of some specifics that the United States Congress, Israel, Arab states, and Iran’s military and hard-liners have been worried about.  "

Lets Get Real:

This is a VERY BAD deal that will get praise from the uber left wing press, such as the liberal NYT and the BBC/Guardian news agencies.   They want a deal so much they do not really care about the security of the Middle East and the only democracy in the region, that being Israel. The Israeli lobby should start to place pressure on the US Congress, there is an election next year, thus the House and Senate members will want cash to fund their campaigns, the Israeli lobby should make it clear that if the US Congress does not block the Obama deal then they will not fund candidates that support POTUS.   The Tehran Regime has the US over a barrel, in Iraq the US air force is providing cover to the Iraq Army and its Iran allies, while in Yemen the Tehran is supporting a group that is a threat to the security of the Saudi Arabia, a close US ally.   The Obama foreign policy has been disaster, even when leading from behind as with Libya there has been  disaster.  The Obama Oval has managed to damage US alliances with the benefit going to the enemies of the US, that is the Obama record. 

No Nuclear Defence under Labour and SNP Deal - Election 2015

Telegraph - Politics Live: Reports the following post at 12.20pm, " "We’re living in one of the most dangerous times – and we need Trident to keep us safe," said Anna Soubry, defence minister. It came after the SNP leader said Trident would have to be scrapped for there to be a formal deal with Labour after the eleciton.   "But Nicola Sturgeon has made it clear it’s a red line for her, and that she’d veto it in return for propping up Ed Miliband. What’s Ed’s red line? He knows his only way into no10 is riding on the coat tails of the SNP – it's terrifying to think he’d trade Britain’s security for the price of power."

Lets Get Real: 

The question that the UK voter has to ask does, DO THEY TRUST ED MILIBAND, lets recall his character, he stalked his brother through his political career, and then stabbed him the back, at the cost of his family.  It seems that Ed is more interested in power than family loyalty.  WOULD YOU, do something like that to your family.   As stated in the post its a dangerous world, Iran on the brink of going nuclear, then you have the Russians in Crimea and East Ukraine,  does the UK want to ask the French to protect them during a nuclear crisis, if so your foolish.   The Defence of the Realm is at stake, VOTE CONSERVATIVE. 

Conservatives have 1% LEAD in new poll - 2015 Election

Guardian - Politics Live: Reports on a  TNS poll, the article states the following, "  The full voter intention figures are as follows: LAB 32% (0) CON 33% (0) LIB DEM 8% (+1) UKIP 16%(-1) GREEN 5% (+1) Other 7% (0) ..."

Lets Get Real:

Thus we have a neck and neck race between the Conservative Party and Labour.  As we are coming up to the Easter holiday, that means in the view of the experts that people will not start to take notice in till after that weekend.   The politicains must keep on the trail, hungray for that one vote that make a difference in a marginal Seat.   Thus far this blog is keeping to its stated prediction.   Labour can surly get to around 34% to 36%, is Ed Miliband as bad as Gordon Brown, no one can be that BAD.  

Iran Nuclear Deal Close - Iran Crisis

BBC News: Reports " Russia's foreign minister has said prospects of a preliminary agreement on Iran's nuclear programme are "very good" on the final day of negotiations. "

Lets Get Real:

This is the problem with diplomats, they want a deal any cost and the press that covers them have to justify their bar bills, thus they push for a deal.   If you look at the US State Department or our own FCO, you have an elite Establishment who think, they understand the issues better, and THEIR right.   In most cases diplomats are a pain, you have endless drafts of deals, late and early morning meetings.   Great leaders like Ronald Reagan and Lady Thatcher did not trust their own Foreign Ministries, they went with their gut, thus the end of the Cold War and the UK being the sick man of Europe.  A deal at any cost is the aim of President Obama and the UN, a better deal would be no deal, time for the US Congress to act. 

Cameron vs. Miliband - 2015 Election

The Labour Party Political Advert - Election 2015

The Labour Party has decided that it can not sell Ed Miliband, so it sells fav actors who support Labour.  Honestly IF Ed Miliband is that bad, why should the voter trust the Labour Party or their supporters.  BAD IDEA!

New Poll - Conservatives BOUNCE - 2015 Election

Guardian - Politics Live: Reports on new poll by Lord Ashcroft, posted at 4.11pm, in this poll the Conservatives are on 36% Labour 34%, Liberal Democrats 6%, UKIP 10%.

Lets Get Real:

Thus another poll that shows the Conservatives have had bounce, the one with the Labour Party ahead by 4% might have been a fluke.  If you watched Ed Miliband in the interview and and question and answer session knew and for sure he was to become the next PM you would go to live in East Ukraine.  As this blog has predicted a Ed Miliband victory with the help of the SNP, then it time to get new passport.   Think of it, 5 years of a smug Ed Miliband, a Notting Hill leftie who will spend your money, and when the bank is broke, will blame everyone but himself.    That is your future folks.  Remember to renew your passport after you have voted. 

The Day in Politics - 2015 Election

BBC - Election Live: Reports on the expected attacks on Ed Miliband and the Labour Party, " ..less unprompted talk about immigration; the failures of the last Labour government; and on how they'd cut spending if they succeed. And also expect an unremitting focus on the character of the man who destroyed (for now) his brother's ambition."

Lets Get Real:

THUS you voter, here what you will be getting if you as expected place Ed Miliband in No 10.  A Leader with no great support within his own party, the funding for that party coming from left wing unions, who will demand that Labour remove the Thatcher laws on trade unions and will spend your money and when its ALL gone go and ask for more taxes to help the poor.  PEOPLE there are always poor people, the idea that you can remove that is NUTS.  The left sell that idea as to make you feel guilty, the left support TAXES and if you want to become like France and Greece, just vote Labour in May. 

Conservatives TAKE 4% lead over Labour - 2015 Election

Daily Mail: Reports " Conservatives move into strongest position for five years: Exclusive Mail poll reveals party's four-point lead over Labour in wake of last week's TV interviews....Tories are up one point with 36%, while Labour is down three points to 32%  "

Lets Get Real: 

The polls will go up and down, over the weekend it was the Conservatives that were worried, they saw Labour take a four percent lead after the interview and question and answer session, now Labour will be wondering what happened to the poll bounce.   This blog is still keeping to its original prediction, could be WRONG, but have my doubts, I hate being wrong.   This week will see the leaders debate, lets look at the polls then, the debate will give air time to the Liberal Democrats and other Parties.   Thus expect more polls with different results. 

Yemen Update - Yemen Crisis

Washington Post: Reports on the airstrikes by Saudi Arabia on Tehran supported groups in Yemen, " Analysts say the attacks are part of strategy to eliminate the air defenses, weapons arsenals and communication lines of the Shiite insurgents in a bid to ease the way for a potential land invasion.  "

Lets Get Real:

It was reported on Fox News that SA did not warn the Obama Oval that it was taking action in Yemen, but as reported by the London Times the US is supporting SA with intelligence and other support.  It has been noted that Iran has bought up the crisis in Yemen with the US, will Iran try to link the two, that would finish any deal.   The Tehran Regime has to be stopped, if the US can not or will not then the Gulf States have to take action, once Iran goes nuclear expect the other States to buy their own nuclear missiles, they have the money and the have the need, they do not want to be blackmailed by Iran.    The idea of Iran as the highest power in the Middle East should be a worry to all, the Tehran Regime is a threat to ALL. 

Bill Clinton and 2016 - 2016 Election

The New York Times: Reports on the role of Bill Clinton in the 2016 campaign of Hillary Clinton, and on how the mistakes of 2008 will not happen again, the article notes the following, " This time, advisers and political associates say both Clintons understand how critical it is to harness both the rare gifts and rash impulses of a former president on behalf of a potential one. Whether this will work is a great unknown of the 2016 race: If Mr. Clinton veers far off script with just one stunner of a comment, the campaign could stumble. "

Lets Get Real:

Think about this, Bill Clinton was called the first " Black " President in the Oval Office, he understood African - American culture and was happy to be around it, then President Obama and his campaign comes along and brands Bill Clinton a racist, of all people to throw that charge at, the former President might have his faults, BIG FAULTS, but he is not a racist, and it shows character of Bill Clinton that he agreed to support President Obama in 2012.   Thus its payback time, the Clintons expect the Obama team to support them, but and there is always a but, the Clintons may need to distance themselves from the Oval Office should Obama have a bad deal with Iran, the Israeli lobby on the Hill will make sure that the US Congress has the final say on any agreement.   Thus the old big dog should be himself, if the HRC team tie him up he will blow a fuse, and that could cause problems, let Bill be Bill within reason. 

Labour Ahead in the Polls by 4% - 2015 Election

Daily Mail: Reports " Labour opens up 4-point poll lead after TV contest when Miliband vowed: 'Hell yes, I'm tough enough'..New YouGov opinion poll puts Labour on 36% and Tories on 32%  "

Lets Get Real:

As this blog has noted, the Labour Party will win the General Election as it takes less voters to vote Labour to win that it does Conservatives.   Thus as long as Labour is on between 34%-36% they will either form a minority government or have a vote by vote deal with the SNP or LibDems.   The most interesting part over the next few weeks is to look who shines on the Labour campaign trail and the likely Cabinet Ministers in the next Labour Government.  Also it will be interesting to see how many Labour seats go to the SNP in May, it could be that the Labour Party will be down to 1 or 2 seats in Scotland, the same as the Conservative Party.   Interesting few weeks ahead on the political front.  Think of it, five years of Ed Miliband droning on, I need PROZAC. 

US/Iran talks Part 2 - Iran Crisis

Guardian: Reports " Iran nuclear talks: diplomats cite progress in attempt to seal deal..

• Sources at talks say draft understanding is two or three pages long "

Lets Get Real:

The uber liberal left wing press want a deal, they have learned nothing from Munich of 1938, they will not ask the tough questions, Will Iran Cheat? YES. Will Iran lie, YES, Will Iran play a role in the troubles of the Middle East, YES.    The Obama Oval wants a legacy and is willing to sell out the Gulf States and Israel.   These two very different allies should form an alliance to take out the nuclear threat of Iran, call the Oval Office's bluff, the US Congress will support an attack, and any sanctions ideas by the Oval will get a veto from the US Congress.    The Obama Oval is playing a game it does not understand and will not be around when it falls apart after 2017.   History has away of repeating itself,  Putin's Russia and Tehran are a threat to the entire World.   Putin wants a Greater Russia and Iran wants a greater Iran and for its neighbours to pay homage to it.   Weakness breads war, Obama is no Kennedy or Reagan. 

US/UN talks with Iran - Iran Crisis

BBC News: Reports " US Secretary of State John Kerry has cancelled a planned return to the US to stay in Switzerland as the Iran nuclear talks approach their deadline. "

Lets Get Real:

IF you think the Switzerland talks are a good deal in the making, then do not read this post, the Obama Administration wants a deal so much it will sell out its Gulf Allies and Israel.    The Tehran Regime can not be trusted, as the former US Defence Secretary Leon Panetta said both as Secretary and Director of the CIA he found that Iran always double deals.   The Gulf States and Israel should consider a joint operation  to take down the nulcear structures of Iran.   The US Congress will support any action and will thwart any sanctions by the Obama Administration.   The Switzerland talks have the smell of the Munich agreement of 1938, when you appease a bully you open the door to more fighting.   Lets hope the US Congress thwarts any US/Iran deal. 

Saudi Arabia and Iran - Yemen Update 3 - Yemen Crisis

CNN - Politics:Reports " The Saudi Ambassador to the United States would not rule out the possibility of the Saudis creating their own nuclear bomb to counterbalance a nuclear-armed Iran "

Lets Get Real:

This is a clear threat to the Obama Administration, if Obama does a bad with with Iran then the Sunni Gulf States will start to make sure they are secure, and the only way to make sure your safe is to have a nuclear missile yourself.   Lets recall SA has the money to buy a nuclear weapon or get the best people on board to allow SA to develop a bomb faster.   The US Congress has to ACT, it should make sure that the Obama deal comes to Congress before the UN, if the Oval says not then the Congress should pass an Act of Congress to force him, one doubts that Democrats will want to see Iran with the bomb, Obama will be gone in 2017, and Dems will want support from the Israeli  Lobby, this US/Iran deal has a long way to go before it comes in to force, all politics is local. 

Yemen Update 2 - Yemen Crisis

BBC News: Reports " In addition to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan, Morocco and Sudan are contributing aircraft to "Operation Storm of Resolve", while Egypt, Jordan and Sudan were ready to take part in any ground offensive, Saudi-owned Al-Arabiya TV reported on Wednesday. "

It would be ironic if after Yemen these forces joined a secret deal with Israel to attack Iran's nuclear buildings, this could happen if the Obama Oval keeps going down it road to appease Iran.   As stated by this blog, President Obama is the modern Neville Chamberlain, a politician meaning well but who dragged the World in to World War 2, it would not shock this blog if Obama causes a regional war in the Middle East, with the the Shiites and Sunnis having a regional war and a arms race, it could be argued that SA could buy a nuclear missile on the black market, then we would see the other States run to get such missiles.  President Obama has shown how a well meaning man can cause mass problems and deaths by thinking he can solve problems that have been around for Centuries. 

Yemen Update - Yemen Crisis

Guardian: Reports " US defends strategy in Yemen and Iraq but diplomats admit: it's a mess..Intervention in Yemen, where Houthi rebels were attacked with the backing of Washington, appears at odds with support for pro-Iranian forces in Iraq "

Lets Get Real:

AS noted in this blog the politics of the Middle East are murky and ironic, if your a main street voter in the US you must be thinking WTF just happened, on side of the Yemen Civil War you have Saudi Arabia supported by the US going to invade Yemen to prevent a Tehran supporting group taken power, while in Iraq the US is providing semi air cover for Iraqi forces and groups that belong to Iran.   It should be noted as the London Times reported this morning that because the new Iraqi government has requested US air support for the battle for Tikirt the Iran's forces have withdrawn in a sulk.   On top of that at the strategic level, Tehran and the US are dealing on a nuclear agreement, that is not supported by Israel and the Sunni Gulf States.   It will be interesting to comment on the coming events over the next few days, who will win and who will retreat. 

US/Iran vs. IS in Iraq - Iraq Crisis

Fox News: Reports " US conducting airstrikes to help Iraqi forces retake Tikrit "

Lets Get Real:

As this blog has noted, the politics of the Middle East can be murky and ironic, so now US air planes are attacking IS targets in Tikrit in support of Iran's forces in Iraq.    The Tehran Regime and the Baghdad Regime started the battle for Tikrit without asking for US cover, they thought they could do it on their own.   The battle has stalled, Iraqi and Iran forces have seen many of their troops killed by IS, thus this call to the US for support.   Also this could be a strategic win for Obama, now that Iran needs US support is the time to pressure them when it comes to their nuclear ambitions, in other words get a better deal.   The Republicans will go with this issue, and most Americans will be wondering, what happened, Iran has supported terrorists that have killed many US troops, and now the US air force is their cover.  MURKY AND IRONIC. 

Israel vs. US - Middle East Crisis

The New York Times: Reports " Israeli analysts are now suggesting that Mr. Obama and his aides might be overplaying their hand, inviting a backlash of sympathy for Mr. Netanyahu, and that they may not have clearly defined what they expected to gain diplomatically by continuing to pressure the Israeli leader. "

Lets Get Real:

IF the uber liberal NYT is reporting this, it means that the Obama Oval should back off, the Democrats have to run in 2016, the Israeli lobby is powerful due to its influence and its money, the Dems will not sink their ambitions as to give Obama a foreign policy legacy.   This is what happens when you have a leader like Obama, ALL that matters to POTUS is himself.   As for the 2016 he does not have a dog in that race, if he did would want to make sure that his political actions did not have a negative result for the Democratic nominee.    That is the problem with having an old hand as VP, its the same problem that Bush 43 had with Dick Cheney.   A sitting Vice - President who has political ambitions on the Oval Office would want to make sure that the President was kept in check by the political realities that his or her actions would result in for his or her campaign.   Thus expect more Dems to seek some distance from the Obama Oval, it will be interesting to see how HRC jumps on the issues.   If HRC is the nominee she will want the blessing of the Oval and to use the Oval in liberal States, she does not need a POTUS who's actions could have major negative effects on the campaign trail.    As a famous Democratic Speaker one said, all political is local, just that the Israeli lobby is big and with dollars to back it up, ALL THINGS ARE POLITICAL. 

When to ACT? - Yemen Crisis

Guardian: Reports " US officials said Saudi Arabia was moving heavy military equipment including artillery to areas near its border with Yemen, raising the prospect of military intervention, though Saudi sources said the move was purely defensive. "

Lets Get Real:

This could develop into a major disaster for the Obama Oval,  on the one hand Saudi Arabia a close ally of the US might take action to defend its own border but also to make sure Iran does not gain more power via its support for the rebels in Yemen and due to the nuclear deal with the US.   It has been clear from numerous sources that SA is very concerned about a nuclear armed Iran, a nuclear armed Great Iran is more of a troubling development.   What if the proxy War between SA and Iran becomes a formal war, the US would be on the spot, the US gains billions from SA buying military planes etc from the US, while Iran could go nuclear with a limited time scope.   The wishes of the Obama Oval could face the reality of the murky politics of the Middle East.   Also Israel and SA are on the same page when it comes to Iran, it would be ironic if took SA and Israel through combat means to suppress the nuclear plans of Iran.   That is the politics of the Middle East, murky and ironic. 

Yemen Update - Yemen Crisis

BBC News: Reports " Yemen's President Abdrabbuh Mansour Hadi has fled his palace in Aden as Houthi rebels advance towards the city. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus we are seeing another failed State, on the one hand you have the Houthi rebels supported by Iran, while you also have Al Qaeda on the march.  The Gulf States should not wait for the US to act, it won't, Obama is good for drones, special forces, but will not use troops to gain his strategic aims, the Gulf States have talked the talked when it comes to Iran, its time they act, they have the forces, that is one of the benefits  to having oil money, at this rate Iran will have major influence in Syria via the Assad Regime and in Iraq via the new government.   The Tehran Regime from reports are going to get a good nuclear deal, those opposed to Iran should not wait for the US, time to use your own forces to prevent the growth of a Greater Iran. 

When to SPY on your Friends - US and Israel

CNN - Politics: Reports " House Speaker John Boehner said he was "shocked" by a recent report that the Israeli government spied on Iranian nuclear talks and leaked information on the developing deal to lawmakers, and that he hadn't heard anything from the Israelis himself. "

Lets Get Real:

The best people to spy on are your friends, they can be worse than your enemies.  Israel has to worry that the Obama Oval will sign any deal with Iran to get a decent 24/7 news cycle.   The liberal left wing media have shown contempt for Israel for years, they are more interested in the creation of a Palestinian State and the are pro Arab when it comes to the Middle East Peace process.   The Mossad of Israel are the best in the business, they sometimes go over the line, when it comes to British interest and subjects there are lines that Israel should not cross, if you have to annoy anyone go after other European Countries.    As Israel is not part of the talks with Iran they have to use old methods to get the important information, then they can get the Israeli Lobby to lobby the US Congress to say NO to the agreement between Israel and the US/UN.   Friends can sometimes hurt more than enemies, you do not expect to be sold out by your friends. 

The downfall of Yemen - The New War on Terror

Guardian: Reports " Yemeni minister urges Gulf Arab military intervention against Houthis..Foreign minister Riyadh Yaseen calls for Gulf Cooperation Council’s military force to help stop advance of Iranian-backed Shia Houthi fighters "

Lets Get Real:

The Obama Administration has a problem, the Tehran Regime is supporting Iraqi Forces against IS, on a pure tactical level that works for the Oval Office, at least is not Western troops fighting IS.   On the strategic level this means that the US is on the same page as the Tehran Regime and the Assad Regime in Syria when it comes to IS.   On the other hand Yemen was seen as a successful part of the Obama foreign policy, that has gone up in smoke. The Gulf States do not trust Iran, and because the Oval wants a deal so badly the Gulf States do not trust the Obama's America.    It will be interesting to see if the Gulf States take action, this would mean that other US allies will threaten any deal with Iran, it can be postulated that Iran will place pressure on the US to make sure its Gulf States allies do not act, power playing in the Middle East can be complex. 

When your Finished your Finished - David Cameron and being PM

BBC News: Reports " David Cameron has told the BBC he will not serve a third term as prime minister if the Conservatives remain in government after the general election. "

Lets Get Real:

This was a tactical mistake by the PM, all the runners for the leadership will want to make sure that their elbows are bigger than any opposition, and that is just the Conservative Cabinet.   Also it was a statement that undermines the confidence of the voter, if they vote Conservative they are voting for David Cameron to be PM, now they will start to think that if they vote Conservative they will face a soap opera for the leadership within a few years.  On the strategic level its a mistake because the leaders of the other political parties wont say the same thing, they will rubbish the move, also as stated the maths is against PM, he will not get a second term, this will lead to a Conservative defeat and a call for a leadership ballot.   This blog will start to look at the Labour Cabinet after the May election, of course Ed Miliband will be the PM, the question is does he have the power to move Ed Balls from No 11, otherwise it will be a return to the Blair/Brown years of conflict.   

The US and Afghanistan - Afghan War

Fox News: Reports " President Obama plans to keep most of the 10,000 U.S. troops in Afghanistan in the country through 2015 -- and keep open two key airfields -- as part of an effort to slow the U.S. withdrawal and help prop up Afghan forces, sources told Fox News. "

Lets Get Real:

This is a wise move by the Obama Oval, after the failure of the Iraq and the growth if IS, the Oval does not want to deal with the growth of IS in Afghanistan,  the franchise of IS can be seen with its base in Syria, its growth in Iraq and even in Libya.   Also in Yemen the Western allied government has been overthrown by a group that is supported by Iran.   The Obama policy in the Middle East has  been a total disaster, to finish it all the Oval Office will take a bad deal with Iran over no deal.  The next President either him or her, will have to spend their first term building up relationships in the region.  The one event that could really change the Oval Office's view of the Middle East is if Israel attacks Iran, this would force Obama to support Israel, he can hardly support Iran.  That is for the future. 

The Clinton Email Scandal - Update

The New York Times: Reports the following on the Clinton emails, " But they did show that Mrs. Clinton’s top aides at times corresponded with her about State Department matters from their personal email accounts, raising questions about her recent assertions that she made it her practice to email aides at their government addresses so the messages would be preserved, in compliance with federal record-keeping regulations. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus Clinton defenders will need to clear up the last remarks by Secretary Clinton, as the Secretary stated she had sent emails back to government email accounts of her staff, as the above shows the Clinton aides at the US State Department used private email to communicate with the Secretary, the House Select Committee on Libya will need the emails of those that worked for the Secretary.    Lets be clear, Hillary Clinton is not Bill Clinton, she is not that good on the campaign trail.   Also the Clinton strategy for 2016 is to stress women issues and other liberal issues, the Clinton camp think that if they follow the Obama strategy they can win, that is a mistake.   A female candidate has to show that she can use the US military, if you stick fuzzy liberal issues it does not build up the character, in fact it makes her look weak.    Thus we shall see who is right.

Is Labour DEAD in Scotland? - 2015 Election

Guardian: Reports " ICM poll: Labour faces wipeout in Scotland after new leader fails to dent SNP support...Exclusive: Poll suggests Scottish Labour will lose 29 of the 41 seats Gordon Brown won in 2010, with Nicola Sturgeon’s SNP still way out in front  "

Lets Get Real:

If Labour is to form the next government it will need the votes of the SNP, it can be postulated that Labour will be the biggest Party in the House of Commons, Ed Miliband has stated that only he and Ed Balls would write the budget, Ed is in Disney land if he thinks Ed Balls is going to let him near the budget.  Ed Miliband has stated that there will be no SNP MPs in his Cabinet, thus it will be an alliance of vote by vote, the SNP leadership has stated that it wants billions spent on Scotland, that Trident be abolished.   As Ed Miliband stabbed his brother in the back one can see Ed making big concessions to get to No 10.   The English voter will be run from Scotland and the SNP.    For the political geek the minority Labour Party needing SNP votes will be fun to watch, for the UK, it will be five years of misery and Ed Miliband as PM and his Chancellor, Ed Balls fighting each other for the soul of Labour. 

The Burial of a King - King Richard 111

BBC News: Reports " People wanting to view Richard III's coffin have been urged not to join the queue after the wait passed four hours. "

Lets Get Real:

It is not ever day that you pass a coffin of a Monarch, the last Monarch to die was the Queen's father, George VI in the early 1950s.    It is historic, and lets be honest, off all our Kings and Queens, the most infamous is Richard 111.   Of course the Tudor's made sure that his record was seen bad, but his reforms on the legal front have stood the test of time.  So can one dare say, good old King Richard would have loved the fact that thousands have come to see his coffin, of course you would have to exclude the fact that he took his nephew's throne and is the main suspect in the murder of his nephews in the Tower of London.   That debate will go on, one does wonder what Richard 111 would have made of the UK now, of course Scotland only become part of Great Britain with the succession of James VI of Scotland and James the 1 of England.  Thus UK with the Act of Union in 18th Century.  

Obama's success in Yemen turns to FAILURE - New War on Terror

The Hill: Reports the following from Yemen, " Remaining U.S. government personnel in Yemen are being pulled out due to the deteriorating security situation. "

Lets Get Real:

In Obama's foreign policy there were only two success stories, one being the killing of OBL and the good working relationship between the US and Yemen.   The Government of Yemen has been overthrown by a Tehran supported group, while Al Qaeda does not have the threat of drone strikes it can move to take more control of Yemen.    The US should not be getting out, it should be supporting its ally, lets recall if Jimmy Carter had supported the Western looking government in Iran then we would not have had decades of unrest in the Middle East.   The new war on terror is not won by running away, one just has to see what happened in Iraq when the new army run away when faced with IS.   The US has had to come back, and it looks like the US will need to place ground troops in Iraq again to support Iraqi forces in retaking Mosul.   The new trained Iraqi Army and its Tehran allies are stalled in Tikrit, the birthplace of Saddam Hussein, a few thousand IS fighters are causing problems, what will it be like in Mosul is anyone's guess.   General Petraeus, the General who won Iraq the first time around, also ex CIA Director has stated that the main threat to Iraq is not IS but Shiite military groups.   Of course that brings in Iran, there have been reports that Shiite groups have committed war crimes against Sunni villages and people.   The Tikrit attack comes under the Iran leadership, so far it is not working, that in a perverse  way might benefit the West, if they are taking heavy body bags it might be in the interest of the US and its allies on the strategic level to allow the two groups to take each other out, harsh but true.   Then the Baghdad Government would get the fact that its main ally the US is the only power that they really have to keep happy. 

Poll Bounce for Conservatives after Budget - 2015 Election

Guardian: Reports on a Opinium/Observer poll, in the poll the Conservatives are on 36%, Labour are 33%, while UKIP are on 14% and finally LibDems are on 7%.

Lets Get Real:

While this poll shows a bounce for the Conservative Party after the Budget the trend line looks like either a narrow majority Labour Government or a lose relationship between a minority Labour Government and the SNP.   It down to maths, it takes more people to vote Conservative than it does Labour, thus Labour will be in power for five years, after the mess they made last time, the Country will be in  worse state.   The left wing Trade Unions will have a minority Labour Government at its mercy, also the Unions fund the Labour Party, expect demands from the Unions for Trade Union laws to be scrapped, it can be postulated that a Country gets a government it deserves 

The Burial of a King - King Richard 111

BBC News - Live: Reports on the process for the burial of King Richard 111.

Lets Get Real:

As our American cousins say he was one of ours, lets be honest the King did not have the best record in history, taking the Throne from his nephew, the deaths of his nephews in the Tower of London and then he lost the Battle of Bosworth to Henry V11.   Then the Tudor's made sure that the King looked evil, but still a King of England.  Lets hope that history now treats the King on the whole of his record. The King is dead, God Save the Queen. 

The Nuclear Option, Israel and the US - Middle East Crisis

Telegraph: Reports " White House: US 'to reevaluate' backing for Israel at UN

The comments by the White House mean Israel's diplomatic cover is under threat as it is revealed President Barack Obama has yet to call Mr Netanyahu "

Lets Get Real:

Never make a threat that you can never carry out, IF President Obama is having a political breakdown, that his problem, any threat to Israel will even get Democrats in the US Congress up in arms, also Israel could state if Obama wants to play hardball then Israel is under no obligation to accept any deal done by Obama with Iran. and has the right to bomb Iran and not excluding the use of nuclear materials.  In poker does not matter if your opposition has all the charisma in the world, does he have the cards to face down a angry Congress that could impeach him if he ever moved away from Israel, and even the Democratic Party would not stand with their President,  US Presidents are all powerful in till they are not, never bet more than you can afford to lose, Obama only has a year and half to go before his ends his two terms, one doubts he has the character to go through with any threat, as there will be no troops to support him, and no one to faint, and this President likes fainting supporters. 

The Democratic Nomination and Hillary Clinton - 2016 Race

Guardian: Reports on a new poll on the ramifications of the email scandal on Hillary Clinton, the article notes the following, " More than half of Americans – and 41% of Democrats – said they supported the Republican-controlled congressional committee’s effort to require Clinton to testify about the emails, the Reuters/Ipsos poll showed. "

Lets Get Real:

As noted the liberal media as already pushing the Clinton comeback story, aka Bill Clinton in 1992, the difference is that they are too early, HRC has to testify twice before the House Select Committee, lets she how she does, the Democrats will be very supportive but its a Republican control Committee, and they can call  her back as many times as they want, also it should be recalled that HRC was less than impressive when she was before the Senate Committee.    It says something about the Democratic Party that they have only Hillary Clinton as their best candidate,  how come there is no Carter or Obama style candidate, someone with no baggage and some charisma, to much in the case of Obama.   ALSO lets recall that Hillary Clinton was the sure bet nominee in 2007 then came Obama, its never over in till the early months of 2017, will it be first time lucky for Clinton in Iowa, we shall see, lot of snowy roads ahead  before the lady sings. 

The New Munich 1938 Deal - US and Iran - Iran Crisis

Fox News: Reports on the US/UN deal with Iran on its nuclear ambitions, the article sates that " International sanctions that have crippled Iran’s economy for years would be immediately eased and the Islamic Republic could continue to enrich uranium under the terms of a deal being hammered out in Geneva between Tehran and six world powers, according to a report Thursday. "

Lets Get Real:

This is the Obama Administration selling out Israel, no wonder the Israeli voters re-elected their right wing government, with friends like Obama you do need to worry about your enemies.  The Oval Office can smell a deal, it wants something after its eight years of failure when it comes to foreign policy, Obama does not have to worry, when Iran breaks the deal as they will he will be out of office after 2017, his liberal supporters will not ask him why he made such a bad deal, they do not have a backbone between them, this is what happens when you elect someone who never ran a business, spent all his time in the Senate planning to run for President.   The Israeli people can not trust its security to such a weak President, the new Israeli Government IF a deal is created should state that if its security comes under threat it will take action, no matter what President Obama wants or care about the subject.   This is the modern Munich, political leaders never learn. 

The Two State Solution - Israel and a Palestinian State - NEVER

The New York Times: Reports that Israeli PM, Benjamin Netanyahu has stated he now supporters a two State Solution to the Palestinian issue, after stating on the campaign trail that it would not happen while he was Prime Minister.

Lets Get Real:

The idea of a two State solution is dead in the water, and the Obama Administration will not push for one as it knows the political ramifications would make it sure that the next President would be a Republican.   The liberal left, New York Times, BBC, Guardian, have one aim, the creation of a Palestinian State no matter the result for the Jewish State of Israel.    Even if a Palestinian State was created, it would not be a real State, as Israel will not allow a State to have any military defence, the foreign policy would be set by Israel, and Israel would allow itself the take military action should any State become a threat.   The Israeli Lobby has to get its supporters out, place pressure on the Hill to make sure that Obama does not go through the UN route to create a State, the Jewish State of Israel is under threat and needs protection of its friends now, thus time for the Israeli Lobby to start spending money on those that support Israel through campaign funds, and TV adverts.  Netanyahu will be PM after President Obama leaves Office in 2017, one can expect a more friendly Oval Office at that time. 

The Hillary Clinton Comeback! - 2016 Race

CNN - Politics: Reports " Clinton's Twitter account is buzzing this week with posts that test political messages on health care, college affordability, civil rights and jobs -- issues she hopes will help mobilize President Barack Obama's Democratic coalition and pave her way to the presidency. "

Lets Get Real:

The liberal media; and that includes CNN; want to build up Hillary Clinton, they think that because she has Clinton after her name that she is  like her husband she can make a comeback, either reporters have had a slow news day or they are returning to the liberal faith.   HILLARY is NOT BILL, she is not that good on the campaign trail, and we have not seen the negative adverts that Republicans and their supporters will throw at HRC, also there is the fact that the email scandal is NOT OVER, that HRC has to appear before the House Select Committee twice, to tell her side of the email scandal under oath, and then we come to Libya.  The CNN reporters should be going after the candidate,  it is not their job to build her up again, A, Its early, B, It is the Clintons, C, Its March 2015, who else on the Democratic side with enter the race. 

What are the Clintons hiding ?- Email Scandal - 2016 Race

Politico: Reports " The House Committee on Benghazi has given Hillary Clinton an additional two weeks to respond to a subpoena asking for her private emails on Libya and the 2012 terrorist attacks. "

Lets Get Real:

What are the Clintons hiding, they are always hiding something, they will use the legal process to STALL the House Select Committee, it does not take two weeks to print or transfer your emails,  the Secretary stated her private emails have been delete, around thirty thousand of them, how much are you willing to bet that these private emails will have political discussions on Libya and its results of the nomination process.   This blog has given the Clintons the benefit of the doubt, no more, in the Bill Clinton scandal the White House used the legal process to slow walk the story to death, the Clinton Campaign is doing the same thing, the House Select Committee  should get tough, demand an early release of the emails, not give Clintons time to waste the process.   This is how the Clintons got away with other scandals. 

IS Update - The New War on Terror

Fox News: Reports " The White House appeared to confirm Monday that former CIA Director David Petraeus is advising the Obama administration on Islamic State issues -- even after he pleaded guilty two weeks earlier to giving classified material to his mistress.  "

Lets Get Real:

This is a good move by the Obama Administration, the General that was seen to have won the Iraq War is now being used by the Obama White House to defeat IS.   The security breach while important should not disbar David Petraeus from being of service to the US.    The US at present when it comes to IS needs ALL the help it can get, how about bringing Petraeus back to the colours, hand the Iraq military mission to him, with one aim, get a second victory in Iraq.   If the US has to place ground troops in Iraq to take Mosul it would be a great idea to have your best General in charge, just warn him no more security leaks to anyone.   

The US Voter and the Clinton Emails - 2016 Race

CNN - Politics: Reports on a new poll that looks at the email scandal and the results for Hillary Clinton in 2016, the poll finds, " Overall, 51% in the poll call Clinton's use of a personal email system rather than a government provided one a very or somewhat serious problem, 48% say it's not too serious an issue or no problem at all. And the public is similarly split over whether Clinton did something wrong by using the personal system; 51% say she did, 47% that she did not. "

Lets Get Real:

The political game for the Republicans is to make sure that Hillary Clinton's poll ratings decline over a long term period.  The Clinton Campaign needs a way to get over this issue, also for there to be no surprises in the deleted Clinton emails.   It can be postulated that House Select Committee will go to Court to get the Clinton server, the Clintons if they have nothing to hide should allow the server to be seen by a third party, the problems start should the drive not be as clean as the Clinton Campaign states.  If there are any emails that concern Libya and have not been turned over to the State Department the Clinton Campaign is OVER, of course this fight could go on for months, the Clintons should not want that, the negative stories will carry on, the Democrats will get fed up cleaning up after the Clintons, then there is the fact that HRC will appear before Congress twice, one to discuss her email and then Libya.   The we get close to people voting in the nomination process, great if your a Republican, not so if your a Democrat, the email scandal will not go away, it will become a cancer on the Clinton Campaign. 

Ed Miliband. How about informal deal with the SNP? - 2015 Election

Guardian: Reports " Nicola Sturgeon, the Scottish first minister, mentioned the possibility of a post-election arrangement with Labour ‘looser’ than a coalition "

Lets Get Real:

So Ed my mate are you going to rule out an informal deal with the SNP, the voters of the rest of the UK want to know if your willing to sell them out, anyone that can stab his brother in the back has shown that he can not be trusted, it has to be asked, would the voter, who have brothers or sisters do what Ed did to David Miliband, the former Foreign Secretary, thus ED tells us up front and before the general election will you get in to bed with the SNP.   Is power more important that the rest of the UK, we the voter have the right to know. 

Do you TRUST Ed Miliband ? Ask David - General Election 2015

BBC News: Reports " Ed Miliband has ruled out a Labour-SNP coalition in the event of a hung Parliament after May's election. "

Lets Get Real:

Voters of the UK do you trust Ed Miliband, lets look at the character of Miliband junior, he stalked the same career as his eldest brother and then stabbed him in the back to become Labour Leader.   If the polls are right the Labour Party is DEAD in Scotland, thus the will need the SNP to keep them in power, Ed " Brutus " Miliband says he will not form a coalition government with the SNP, but that does not rule out a secret deal, in that case the English, Welsh.Northern Ireland voters would pay for any concessions to the SNP, cuts in the rest of the UK but not in Scotland.  Come on Brutus, sorry Ed, will you RULE OUT ANY deal with the SNP.   Lets have the truth up front and not through secret deals. 

Arms Race in Middle East - Iran Crisis

BBC News: Reports " A senior member of the Saudi royal family has warned that a deal on Iran's nuclear programme could prompt other regional states to develop atomic fuel. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus it starts, the arms race in the Middle East. as soon as any agreement is signed that allows Iran to go nuclear the Middle East will become a vortex of deals to build nuclear structures for the anti Iran States, the Sunni States.   Lets be clear Saudi Arabia has the money to buy a nuclear missile tomorrow if it wants too.   By trying to get a deal with Iran the Oval Office under President Obama has annoyed Israel and Saudi Arabia, two close US allies.   The Obama deal with Iran is bad for the Middle East and the World, lets hope it fails, a successful deal could be more destructive that a failed bad deal.