CIA SECRET PRISONS CLOSED - Obama

The New York Times: Reports that President Obama has ordered that CIA secret prisons be closed. One can argue that President Obama has taken a brave move in political terms, this is a risky new policy as they would say in the Civil Service. Lets recall since 9/11 there has not been a major terrorist attack on the American Homeland. After 9/11 if you had told the experts that there would be no further attacks they would have dismissed this view point as not the real world. After the 9/11 attacks Bush got tough through overt and covert means, thus no more attacks, it only takes President Obama to get one part wrong and his honeymoon period will look like a Liberal New York Times Dream. Lets postulate and the Bush Policies have kept the terrorists off guard, the covert actions and CIA secret prisons have done their job, broken suspects and got the right information, now we have a new regime in Washington D.C. Think after CIA scandals of the 70s, the Carter Administration thought it could get intelligence from spy satellites and did not need spies, thus we get Afghanistan and Iran disasters. Thus Obama Administration thinks the terror threat is over, as the USA had not had any attacks since 9/11. Thus we have a pre 9/11 mind set, the mind set that gave us 9/11. If there is another terrorist attack and the Congress find that policy developments of Obama allowed the terrorists to get through the holes in the system, how much would you bet that Obama would get re - elected.

On the other hand President Obama has been lucky, very lucky, he has not had a major national defeat while in the US Senate or so far in the White House, but the one constant in political history is not how you deal with events when you high in the polls its when your rock bottom. Even the Gipper had a bad time in the recession of the early 80s. Lets postulate that the closing of the Cuban Detention Centre, the banning of rough treatment of terrorists and the closing down of CIA secret Prison has no negative effect; await to be convinced of that policy; lets see what the USA gets out of this policy development, will Middle East be open to the USA, will Iran stop its nuclear development, will Israel and Palestinians come together. The simple answer is no, International Politics does not work like that, this my prediction Obama will be a one term President, he will be defeated in 2012.