Thursday, February 21, 2019

May on the Irish Backstop - Brexit Update 1 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

One can only hope that PM May can get some kind of concession out of the EU, otherwise the HARD REMAINERS could take control of Brexit policy at the end of the month.   The HARD BREXIT supporters might have to hold their nose and vote for the May Deal, otherwise they face losing BREXIT and the UK not leaving the EU on March 29th.   The HARD BREXIT supporters are Conservative AFTER ALL, Conservatives do not believe in revolutions, we still have problems with the French Revolution!!  The PM has to get over to the EU that IF there are no concessions the UK could leave with a NO DEAL BREXIT, this would damage the UK and the EU, the Republic Ireland would need to be bailed out by the EU for the 2nd time.  Next week will be interesting, we should have a result either way, Brexit or an extension of Article 50 and the remainers running the show. 

Corbyn on Labour Defectors - Post Brexit?


Lets Get Real:

The above is NOT GOING TO HAPPEN, the defecting MPs know that if they called by - elections they would be out on their ears.   They are not a political party yet, they have no manifesto, they have no local association, although the left media will give them media time, the Party stamp still carries more weight.   Thus if Corbyn presents another No Confidence vote will the the Independent Group vote for it, if they do that they are turkeys voting for Christmas.   The UK has a first pass the post electoral system, no PR, so no matter what percentage this new group gets in the polls, that does not mean they could win their own seats or any other seats.   Those on the Labour and Conservative benches with a political brain will only move if they think they have a chance of keeping their SEATS, if the new group is seen as a vanity project then they will fail.  The record of third parties in the UK is not good, the Conservative and Labour Parties have a BRAD and loyal voters, just because they might disagree on Brexit, it does not mean they will change their votes.   It will be interesting to see who leads the new group and what other policies they will have, so far they do not have anything beyond Brexit, when they start to have policies that could put off Labour and Conservative MPs.  One only hopes that PM May brings back a DEAL from the EU. 

Tuesday, February 19, 2019

Will Conservative HARD REMAINERS join the Labour Defectors? - Post Brexit?


Lets Get Real:

It is the usual suspects here, this has blog has been clear before, but will restate it, an MPs does not owe his/her vote to anyone as stated by a well known Conservative writer, of course there is a BUT, a MPs needs people to knock on doors to get out the vote, to fill envelopes with campaign material, to keep the voters happy and to make sure he or her gets up to date information from the voters.  Thus the members of the local Conservative Association have to like their MP but also agree with him or her about their policy positions.  If the Association do not it can de-select the MPs, it is called local democracy.   If a MP is de-selected then he or she can stand as individual candidate as long as they pay the registration fee.   A MP should always vote his or her true feelings, but this politics, if you are not in the room, the House of Commons then who cares what you think, for that you need hardy foot soldiers who will go out in ALL weathers to knock on doors and to place campaign material around the Seat.   Democracy is very local, and when it comes to BREXIT, the people have decided in 2016, when a MP can not support the his or her Party and is out of favour with the local Association, then the MP can resign the Party Whip or form a new Party, that is called Democracy.  Politics is about give and take, MPs are not an elite god, who does not have to answer to the voters, they can go their own path, but do not expect blind followers, that is not Democracy. 

The SPLITS within the Labour Party - Post Brexit?


Lets Get Real:

Subjective:  As a true blue Conservative this blog would be very happy to see the Labour Party split, it would mean we would have more years in power.   Labour MPs who supported Tony Blair must be appalled to see their Party being taken over by the LEFT WING.   They have kept their silence, they have tried to fight from within inside the Party, but the Party has left them.  One has to feel sorry but also respect for the seven who have resigned the Labour Whip, it must have been HARD, but it was the right thing to do, if you can not support the LEADER, then it is time move on. 

Objective:  This new group needs to form a Party and quick, they have to be on social media, get a web page going, when this blog tried the new page by the new group it was told by its firewall that there was a problem with it, so first thing the group needs to do is FIX its website, make it sure it is secure, people will not give money to support the new group if the website is not secure.   The new group needs a LEADER, one with charisma, who can attract supporters and money.   On a whole a good start for this new group/party. 

Will Labour SPLIT APART ? - Post Brexit?


Lets Get Real:

The question will other Labour MPs leave the Labour Party, one would think that they would wait in till PM May brings back her new BREXIT deal, and to see how Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn reacts.  Of course a few hard remainers from the Conservative Party could also defect, it would not be a shock.   As to the future of this new group, they are lucky, they can use social media to drum up support, the downside is that they need time, thus if Labour brings another No Confidence vote they might have to not vote or vote with the Government.  It can be expected that they will call for another Brexit vote, in this they could be supported by the Speaker, the Labour Leader can not risk losing those Labour MPs that support Brexit, thus it can be postulated that Corbyn will try not to have a policy.    UK politics just got very interesting, the MPs who have split might have a major impact or their political careers could end with the next general election, it will depend on the voters. 

Friday, February 15, 2019

May Defeated in the House of Commons - Brexit Update - Post Brexit?

Yes folks its Brexit Again!!


Lets Get Real:

The HARD BREXIT supporters are playing a very RISKY game, the PRIZE is leaving the EU, the economic side can wait, IF the PM can get a EXIT out of the Irish Backstop the Hard Brexit supporters have to support the PM.  Otherwise the PM might be forced to agree to the demands of those that want a SOFT BREXIT, or of the Labour Party or worse have a 2nd Brexit vote.   The PM can show the EU that they have to move, otherwise the UK could be heading for a NO DEAL BREXIT, that would mean that the EU would not get its 39 billion.  The crunch vote will come at the end of February, the HARD BREXIT supporters can not seek 100% political purity when it comes to Brexit, if they do that they could LOSE Brexit.   This blog is a hard brexit supporter but also a Conservative, take your winnings and then after PM May resigns gets a Brexit PM in to No 10 Downing Street.   

Sir Winston Churchill a HERO for of any AGE - Fact over Fiction


Lets Get Real:

This is article shows the extreme LEFT WING are re-writing history when it comes to Sir Winston Churchill, the greatest Leader of Great Britain did not cause the death of a miner in 1910, the action was taken by the Police who faced a violent crowd.  The extreme left always wants to smear our great leaders and our Empire, their moral compass has been off since Lenin and Stalin, they covered up for Stalin and only supported the War effort when Adolf Hitler invaded the USSR.   The extreme left or communists have never gotten over the fall of the USSR, an Evil Empire they supported, the left speak and write fiction, Stalin used to remove his former colleagues from pictures when they had been removed from power.  Let's be honest the case of 1910 sounds like there was a need for the RIOT ACT to be read, miners then and in the 1980s seemed to think that they were above the LAW, it took Churchill and Thatcher to remove that fiction.   There should be a states of Churchill and Thatcher in every South Wales town, just to remind them of reality, and to stop living in their fake history.   The disgraceful actions of some South Wales people when Lady Thatcher died showed that the ending of the Mines in the South Wales was the best thing that happened for the UK, at the end of the day, they were just workers who worked underground, after they bought down PM Heath in 1974 they had to be removed, they were a threat to DEMOCRACY.