How Mistakes in a Crisis can lead to conflict - Ukraine Crisis Latest 3

Telegraph: Reports on Russian aircraft close to UK airspace, " RAF Typhoons scrambled to Russian bombers..Quick-reaction fighters were scrambled to investigate two Russian military aircraft north of Scotland ".

Lets Get Real: 

Lets hope the Russian military is fully under the control of the Kremlin, one does not want to see some hotshot Russian airman try something while in the air and this can be miss read by a Western fighter, it could lead to serious mistakes and lead to another Cuban Missile Crisis. This is the risk that Putin is taking, the more he pushes the chance of something going wrong either on the ground or in the air, the West will react if A NATO Country comes under threat.   One would assume that Obama and Putin have a back channel envoy that they both trust who can tell the other that there are REAL red lines, otherwise a crisis in the Ukraine could get out of hand quite fast, there are native Russians in the Baltic States and Poland. 

The Russian Bear and its VIEW of the West - Ukraine Crisis Latest 2

Guardian: Reports the following from the Ukraine, " Russia warns it will respond if interests attacked in Ukraine...Russia accuses Ukraine and US of distorting deal in Geneva to defuse crisis as Moscow announces military exercises ". "

Lets Get Real:

It is interesting in the BBC Drama 37 Days, on the events leading up to WW1, the British Foreign Secretary states the World order can not work if the players can not even agree on night and day, no this blog is not stating we are heading for that end, one doubts that even Putin is that crazy or Obama has the backbone if it got there, but what we face over the next few days and weeks or years is the growing isolation of Russia, the return to a new Cold War 2, the policy of containment for the USSR WILL get a upgrade for Russia, the question is not what the West will DO, is what Putin will do, how will he react to the isolation, how will the international economy, will Russia cause problems in previous joint co - operation schemes with the US, such as Afghanistan and Space.   The BIG question is WHAT kind of action will Putin take in the Ukraine, will he go for the entire Country or just the East, how will the US and EU react, the Great Game just got a new round, interesting. 

New Russian Threat to the Ukraine - Ukraine Crisis Latest

BBC News: Reports the following, " Russia will respond if its interests in Ukraine are attacked, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has said, drawing a parallel with the 2008 Georgian war. "

Lets Get Real:

The Kremlin might be following a policy of boring people to death with this subject, either Russia gets off his backside and follows through with its constant threat or backs off, the Russian troops on the border between the Ukraine and Russia must be bored rigid with the on going alert, it is as if Putin is not quite sure of the reaction, he was sure that the West would not react with the Crimea, the Ukraine would be another matter, the World order after the fall of the USSR would become in to question, also this would bring Russia very close to Poland, an age old enemy, who happens to be part of NATO.   Even a limited strike on East Ukraine could backfire, the West of Ukraine would come under the protection of the West, thus moving the West closer to Russia, something Putin does not want, lets hope the master chess player has not out played himself in this case. 

Foul Murder in East Ukraine, Linked to Russian Protesters - Ukraine Latest

BBC News: Reports the following from the Ukraine, " Ukraine's acting president has relaunched military operations against pro-Russian militants in the east after two men, one a local politician, were found "tortured to death". ".

Lets Get Real:

The Geneva agreement is DEAD, the Russians are not leaving East Ukraine, President Putin sees this as his chance to reform the old Russian Empire, or a more limited USSR, he wants to go down in history as the man that bought back the glory to Russia after the fall of the USSR.   Thus it can be argued that Putin does not care about the sanctions of the West or what the Western media call him, he runs the media in Russia, that ALL that matters to him, the Oval does not have the backbone to help Ukraine and the military forces of the Ukraine are never going to be strong enough to defend its homeland.   Thus Putin has gained the Crimea and now East Ukraine all under the watch of President Obama, one wonders what history will say of the Obama Era. 

The Obama Strategy on Russia - Ukraine Crisis 3

The New York Times: Reports that President Obama is looking to follow a new policy of containment mark 2 when it comes to Russia, the article notes the following, " by cutting off its economic and political ties to the outside world, limiting its expansionist ambitions in its own neighborhood and effectively making it a pariah state. ".

Lets Get Real:

The article gives the impression that President Obama has no interest in Foreign Policy, its almost a bore, that he wants to in the last two hand half years if Office deal with other areas, if this is the TRUTH of the article, then the World is in BIG trouble, AN American President might want a lot of things, the World is does not wait for POTUS to get his finger out, also Putin is not just going to accept what Obama wants, he could cause problems in Afghanistan, with Iran and Syria, and since the US does not have Space Shuttle any more what if Russia says no to taking Americans in to Space and other joint co - operations end, Obama can not go deaf because he wants too, Obama really needs his own Leo ( West Wing ) someone who he trusts but also can take the bark off, someone who can tell him some home truths he might not like to hear. 

End of the Geneva Deal on Ukraine - Ukraine Crisis Latest 2

Guardian: Reports the following on the Crisis in East Ukraine, " The tentative Geneva deal.....is hanging by a thread after as many as five people were killed in a gun battle near the volatile eastern town of Slavyansk early on Sunday. ".

Lets Get Real:

The Russian Bear has  either lost control of these pro Russian protesters or it has opened a box it can not control, either KGB Putin can bring the pro Russian protesters to the DEAL or the world will know his and Russia's word is no good,   The question does Putin want to the protesters to STOP, this is chance to being back part of the old USSR.   If this happens President Obama will not have a good historical record after 2017, the old World order that stopped with the demise of the old USSR would be bought back or a more limited scale but it would be back, the idea that the old threats were over would require serious review, those old Kremlin hands would have their jobs back at the Universities, at least Putin is not a Communist, also this blog has seen TV footage of him with his mother in a Cathedral, so Putin is a man of faith, depends of course if he has gone nuts, if that is the case then ALL bets are off. 

Incident in East Ukraine - Ukraine Crisis Latest

BBC News: Reports the following from East Ukraine, " Russian state media reported that five people were killed in a gun attack on a checkpoint manned by pro-Russian activists near the town of Sloviansk. ".

Lets Get Real:

This has the smell of a set up, the Russians were playing the West at the Geneva meeting, they are going for a policy of annexation of East Ukraine, then the entire Ukraine, the West, and this means the US and the EU have to impose harsh sanctions on the Kremlin, it has to get the message, this is not the days of the old Cold War, Russia is NOT a super power as is the US and a growing EU, its a Country will the oil, if not much else, IT lost the Cold War, POTUS might be right, its ONLY a regional power, who is fighting above its weight, time it grew up and its people got a backbone and threw OUT Putin.