Thursday, September 24, 2009

Wider Taliban Attacks in Afghanistan, Orders from Pakistan

The New York Times: Reports that the Taliban of Afghanistan have out foxed the Western Allies, they have moved attacks to once peaceful areas of Afghanistan. The NYT writes the following on the command and control of the Taliban, " showing a.... level of sophistication and organization, are using their sanctuary in Pakistan to stoke a widening campaign of violence in northern and western Afghanistan..." Thus President Obama is facing the same problems that LBJ had over Vietnam, the badlands of the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan allow the Taliban/Terrorists to have bases in Pakistan that are secure from land attack by Western Troops. Any major attack on Taliban/Terrorists bases in Pakistan with Western troops could bring down the secular Government of Pakistan, and Pakistan is nuclear armed. But if the USA does not take action, the War in Afghanistan can not be won, its that simple and brutal. The Army of Pakistan has had recent success against the Taliban of Pakistan in the Swat Valley but Pakistan has its own internal problems, the ISI the Intelligence service of Pakistan has supported the Taliban over the years against the enemies of Pakistan. It is like shadow boxing, you never quite win, and you tire yourself out in the long term. Having started to read General McChrystal full report I can see why President Obama is having third thoughts but it could be to late, the surge in March will bring US troops levels up to near seventy thousand, it Obama's War, it does not matter if he wants it, its his bag, to use a modern term. As he stated in his remarks in March Afghanistan is to important to lose, but it might not be winnable either in the long term, President Karzai has become the new Diem. The question is has Obama become the new LBJ.

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