Weekend Polls

Lets have a look at some of the polls folks. There are many, but here is a selection that I think have the 08 race about right.

Gallup: Reports that their Likely Voter Poll; the methodology based on those that have voted and will vote; finds a 5% lead for Obama. The Poll finds the following, Obama 50% - McCain 45%. As my prediction is a six percent win for Obama this polls tracks with this view, also those polls that Obama in double digits lead I don't believe. Lets all say two words New Hampshire. A five to six point win for Obama would be good and would give him a mandate to push through his policies. Also it has to be asked now many voters are telling the pollsters what they think the right answer is but might vote in a different manner in ballot box.

IBD/TIPP: Reports a 4% lead for Obama over McCain. The poll finds the following, Obama 46% - McCain 42%. Why do I think Obama will not win in double digits, the spread the wealth comment has not helped, the concern about his national security record, this connections to a domestic Marxist - anarchist terrorist, his racist ex pastor, the voter fraud of ACORN. Also lets be honest you cant discount the Bradley Effect in till you see some real votes. Lets hope the Bradley Effect in wrong, this writer would rather Obama win by double digits than have the Bradley Effect. I think the Obama Campaign would be happy with a five to six point win and a Democratic Congress.